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PMB And The Side Effects Of Selecting A Successor

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President Muhammad Buhari

 

By Bala Ibrahim.

All Attention have shifted to the forthcoming national convention of the ruling All Progressives Congress, APC, as the party unveiled 18 sub-committees, which will take charge of activities of the convention, scheduled to start on the 6th of this month. There are many issues at stake, but the biggest and most talked about, is the question of who the party would field as its presidential flag bearer.

The issue became more momentous, after the main opposition party, the PDP, had elected Alh. Atiku Abubakar, the Waziri of Adamawa to fly its own presidential flag. The conundrum confronting the APC now is, getting someone with the political clout to beat Atiku at the polls.

Ordinarily, it ought to be purely a party affair, of course with the input of the President as the head of the party. But news from the grapevine, partially supported by official by-line, say PMB, in his meeting with the APC Governors, had made it clear to them that, like he gave them free hand to pick their successors, they should also give him the freedom to select his own successor.

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This is good. But when one looks at the history of political successions in Nigeria, especially with regards gubernatorial seats, one may be quick to say to the President, hold on, there are a lot of side effects to such resolution. And the Governors, from whom the President is seeking the concession, have the most sour tale to tell about the perfidy of anointing, or single-handedly selecting a successor.

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The journey would start in a rosy way, with promises that are suggestive of a good future and sustained political fortune for the benefactor, but within a short period of time, the situation would deteriorate to a rusty relationship, that often results in the opposite of happiness for both the benefactor and the beneficiary. The reason is because, in Nigeria, leadership is mostly piloted by pretence, deceit, and highbrow or high level hypocrisy.

It is such deceptive attitude from the benefactor, that when eventually discovered by the beneficiary, that always leads to treachery, and a new story emerges in town, talking about the betrayal of trust on the side of the new leader. That is the side effect of selecting a successor.

In Nigeria, since the coming of the fourth Republic in 1999, the first governor to anoint and hand over to his deputy was Ahmed Sani Yarima, the first elected Governor of Zamfara state. Ahmed selected Alhaji Mahmud Aliyu Shinkafi to succeed him in 2007, after Yarima had completed two terms as the governor of the then newly created state.

Less than a year on the throne, the hitherto good rapport, cheerfulness and conviviality that existed between the two, suddenly turned into a sour relationship, culminating in Shinkafi dumping Yarima and the then ANPP for the PDP. Things got to extreme unfriendliness, that they were virtually at daggers drawn, politically. In 2011, Yarima fielded Abdulaziz Yari as the ANPP flag bearer, who eventually defeated shinkafi at the polls. That is the side effect of selecting a successor.

Another case of selecting a successor and the situation turning sour multi-folds is in Osun state, where Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu is the victim. Former governor Aregbesola was selected by Tinubu to be the governor of Osun state, after serving as his commissioner in Lagos state. In turn, Aregbesola anointed Oyetola as his successor at the government house. Less than four years later, Oyetola is at war with Aregbesola and Aregbesola is at no love lost with Tinubu. That is the side effect of selecting a successor.

The story is the same in Kano, between Kwankwaso and Ganduje. The same in Gombe, between Danjuma Goje and Dankwambo. The same in Kaduna, between Makarfi and Namadi Sambo. The same in Akwa Ibom, between Bassey Atta and Godswill Akpabio, and Akpabio and Emmanuel Udom. The same in Edo, between Adams Oshiomhole and Godwin Obaseki.

Perhaps the most prominent is the case of Anambra State in 2004, when political godfather Chris Ubah kidnapped his political Godson, Governor Chris Ngige, for allegedly failing to keep to the terms of their agreement.

If we paraphrase the saying of former President Olusegun Obasanjo, that, “In Africa, we don’t have a Crown Prince because rivals will make sure he dies before the King”, we can see the wisdom of PMB saying he doesn’t want to make public, the name of his successor, because if he does, they would kill him.

But who are the THEY? The president didn’t give us the clue, yet he was said to have said to the governors, that they should allow him select the person to succeed him.

I hope history would not repeat itself, by making the President suffer the unfair side effect of selecting a successor.

Ameen.

Opinion

Arewa Media Summit:Big Promises, Little Substance-Tijjani Sarki 

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Tijjani Sarki

I was genuinely amazed that the inaugural Arewa Media Summit ended with a communique. For an event presented as a defining conversation on media, governance and accountability in Northern Nigeria, the silence was difficult to understand. It was only after analysts and observers questioned the omission that a comprehensive communiqué eventually emerged.

I have read the document carefully. It is professionally written, politically appealing and rich in democratic vocabulary. Unfortunately, it is also painfully short on substance.

Beyond the impressive language, there is no implementation framework, no timelines, no measurable targets and no independent mechanism to ensure that its resolutions become reality. That is not how transformational policy conversations are measured. It is how public relations documents are often written.

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Even more disappointing is what the communiqué failed to confront. The media space in Arewa is under siege, not only from misinformation but from increasing political manipulation. Today, media platforms are too often deployed to inflame unnecessary controversies, deepen divisions, promote personality cults, settle political scores and manufacture enemies instead of advancing public enlightenment and good governance. This dangerous trend deserved to be the centrepiece of the summit, yet it received only passing attention.

If the gathering truly sought to reshape the future of media in Northern Nigeria, it should have produced practical strategies to strengthen investigative journalism, protect editorial independence, support indigenous media institutions and insulate the media from political capture.

Arewa does not need another annual media jamboree with polished speeches and elegant communiqués. It needs a platform that speaks truth to power, promotes professional journalism, unites rather than divides our people, and produces measurable reforms. Until then, many will continue to question whether this summit advanced the public interest or merely refined the language of political communication.

Tijjani Sarki
Good Governance Advocate and Public Policy Analyst

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Opinion

IDP Is More Than A Humanitarian Case-Ekanem Joan

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By
EKANEM JOAN

When discussions about Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) arise, attention often turns to numbers and relief packages. Yet behind every statistic is a family that has lost a home, a child whose education has been disrupted, and a community torn apart by conflict. While compensation may replace damaged structures, it cannot restore the memories, dignity, and sense of belonging that displacement takes away.

Recompensation does not make it fine; How do you compensate a child staring at the fire and iron as it takes their lands, while uniforms hang up in a room? How do you price the memory of a mother who once called these lands home. She cuddled her children and the savoury flavour of meals each smiles on her family’s faces, or, the men who spent decades building a life, a family, a shelter, only to watch unconventional disasters take it away. The youths! With their lives sketched on a rough map, all gone – indefinitely. IDPs are just victims of a conflict or a humanitarian crisis waiting to be part of a scheme but humans with lives.

Nigeria is transitioning into durable solutions and we must remind the policy makers that a house is not merely a structure to be replaced but a sanctuary that has been entirely erased, some are memories. These compensations do not weigh the emotional fabric of what has been torn away. At first, it was a crisis to put an end to but then the plan changed, by the end of year 2023, statistics recorded by United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees to about 1.1 million IDPs (approximately 1,134,828 persons) with 50.3% below 18 years old and 49.7% above 18 years old. The same year saw 81.2% Boko Haram insurgency, 1.6% banditry and 16.2% herder clashes. This crisis was most prominent in the North-West region. The issue was worsening, leading to a humanitarian disaster and as the years grew the IDP numbers rose to 3.5 million persons.

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This rise in persons is alarming. An increase of 2.4 million estimated is not fine. Compensation is not enough! as the number of internally displaced persons increased the government shifted its focus from protection and curbing the disaster to putting infrastructure in place. These infrastructures included the 2025 financial injection and the African Union Convention for Protection and Assistance of IDPs into law to provide food and shelter (United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees). The policy makers have decided to place these infrastructures but numbers alone cannot capture the true weight of internal displacement. Statistics do not feel hunger, do not grieve the sudden loss of an ancestral home, and do not carry the psychological weight of an uncertain tomorrow.

The last IDP count done in 2026 by United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees shows total displaced persons as over 3.7 million. The causes still remain armed insurgency, farmer-herder conflicts, banditry and climate change across the affected regions including the North-East, Middle Belt and North-West (Borno, Zamfara, Sokoto and Benue).
87% of the IDPs live below the international poverty line and 60% face high levels of food insecurity, close to decades of displacement leads to limited access to healthcare and schooling. How do we fight a problem without digging out its roots. Across Nigeria millions of Nigerians have lost their land, homes and monuments of memories because of armed conflicts, terrorism, communal clashes, flooding and other disasters.
This does not end in loss of structures but lives too. Imagine a mother who carried a child for 9 months – nurtured and bred, that child wasted! or a father who struggled to give a child all that is needed to watch his own flesh and blood lay on the floor, lifeless.

Displacement hits the most vulnerable demographics hardest. Children are exposed to interrupted education and emotional distress or what about gender-based violence? The uncertainty and emotional weight of being displaced in your own country, your own land.

The Government must address the security gap. There must be increased, professionalized, and transparent security presence in vulnerable regions to prevent the “unconventional disasters” that turn citizens into refugees in their own country. Banditry and herder-farmer clashes are often hyper-local. Success requires empowering local traditional leaders, civil society, and grassroots peace committees to mediate disputes before they escalate into armed conflict.

As the policy makes provision for emergency food, clean water and canvas tents. Yet we know that the deepest wounds of displacement are ones that don’t bleed. Displacement is not just a change of address; it is a sudden, violent fracturing of life, identity and dignity. It is the theft of a person’s yesterday and the total blinding of their tomorrow. The approach is shifting from short term “crisis management” to long term poverty reduction and healing but our main focus should be the roots – reduce or eradicate banditry, set infrastructure to settle communal crisis and provide resources for all citizens, it is not just about moving the CSR to invest in vocational rehabilitation but removing the cause for a better Nigeria.
Fight for IDP and fight for a better Nigeria! It could be you and it could be I. Together we fix this humanitarian crisis.

EKANEM JOAN
200LVL STUDENT OF DEVELOPMENT AND STRATEGIC COMMUNICATION, UNIVERSITY OF ABUJA.
1ST JULY, 2026.

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Opinion

Arewa Media Summit:A Political Jamboree-Tijjani Sarki 

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By Tijjani Sarki

The recently concluded Arewa Media Summit in Kano was presented as a platform to redefine the role of the media in Northern Nigeria. From my observation, however, it fell short of the expectations of a summit and looked more like a political jomboree than a strategic forum for regional renewal.

A summit that claims to speak for Arewa should reflect the diversity of the region’s media ecosystem by bringing together journalists, editors, broadcasters, communication strategists, digital influencers, academics, policymakers and development partners. My observation is that many of these critical voices were either missing or insufficiently represented, giving the event the appearance of a gathering of familiar faces rather than the North’s broad media constituency.

Another observation is that no communiqué or clear resolutions emerged in the public domain after the event. If a summit ends without publicly outlining its decisions, implementation framework or policy direction, it becomes difficult to measure its value beyond the speeches and photographs.

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I also observed concerns that the Honourable Commissioners of Information and Internal Affairs from the Northern states, particularly Kano State’s Comrade Ibrahim Abdullahi Waiya the host state, were not visibly integrated into the programme. If that perception is accurate, it represents a missed opportunity to build a truly inclusive regional media agenda.

Politically, this was also a missed opportunity to provide an inclusive platform for constructive engagement on national issues, including the policies of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration. Genuine dialogue requires broad participation, not selective representation.

Arewa deserves a media summit defined by vision, inclusiveness, measurable outcomes and institutional credibility, not by optics alone. Until those elements become evident, many will continue to question whether the gathering advanced the North’s aspirations or merely added another event to the calendar.

Tijjani Sarki
Good Governance Advocate and Public Policy Analyst
Can be reach via responsivecitizensinitiative@gmail.com

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