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2023 And The Toughtened Top Dog In Tinubu

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By Bala Ibrahim.

If there is anything that played prominent in the build up to this particular general election is the word sentiment. Yes, sentiment, which the dictionary describes as a held or expressed opinion, had hoodwinked many people, such that some of them lost their senses of good judgement, alongside the quality of thinking rightly or wisely. As the results of the Presidential election continue to trickle in, two lessons are revealing themselves relevantly, viz: the pleasure of taking the path of the truth and the pains that could follow fallacy or falsehood.

My friend, Ameenu Ayama had written a fantastic article, in fact, an award winning essay, captioned, THE PLACE OF NORTHERN CHRISTIANS IN NATIONAL & NORTHERN POLITICS IN THE POST-2023 ERA. Because of the failure of some people, particularly the northern Christians, to position themselves on the path of the truth, religious sentiment was played wrongly, and that misguided judgement is now coming with some unpalatable consequences. A portion of the consequences of the misguided judgement was captured by Ayama, thus:

“Northern Christians have shown themselves to be a people whom the larger Muslim population in the North would never trust with to act as their representative or with political power, even on a sub regional level. No national politician worth his salt such as Tinubu will ever trust them or their leadership again”.

Atiku Abubakar and his co-travellers in the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, thought they could reap from the misjudgement of our friends, the northern Christians, but because like them, the PDP played treacherous to the zoning arrangement, which would have equitably taken power to the south, they couldnt escape the wrath or anger of those who see their action as a betrayal of trust. In simple terms, they are now going through the pains that follow fallacy or falsehood.

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As I write this article, the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC, is positioning itself to commence releasing the results of the election, but already, from the exit poll, the Presidential candidate of the All Progressive Congress, APC, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, has undoubtedly been portrayed as a tough dog. Although voting is still ongoing in some states, due to reported violence, Tinubu and his supporters have reasons to remain smiling, based on the opinions of those who voted.

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If we go by the provision of the electoral law, that the President of Nigeria is elected using a modified two-round system, and to be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive a plurality of the votes and over 25% of the vote in at least 24 of the 36 states, alongside the opinion poll of people after leaving their polling stations, including the expressed opinion of President Muhammadu Buhari, there is enough reason to believe that Nigerians have danced to the widely held opinion, that power should shift to the south.

The opinion of people that voted in Lagos, Ogun, Ekiti, Ondo, Oyo, Osun, Kwara, Kogi, Niger, Nasarawa, Kaduna, Kastina, Kebbi, Zamfara, Sokoto, Borno, Yobe, Gombe and Bauchi, are expressly in favour of power shift. With the exception of states like Adamawa and Taraba, where sentiment was used against common sense, the general mood is to respect the arrangement of power shift. The implication of course is that the tough dog in Tinubu has been toughened.

I don’t want to delve much on the issue of Kano, which is Nigeria’s richest reservoir of crude votes, and the rationale behind Kwankwaso’s stance, but as an APC apologist, I would say to him, THANK YOU MADUGU. Yes, a big thank you to Kwankwaso for depriving Atiku and the PDP, the luxury of playing political polo in Kano.

In 2019, Atiku Abubakar of the PDP, got 391,593 votes from Kano, which represents 21.1 per cent of the total votes cast in the state. He lost to Buhari, who scored nearly 1.5m votes, or 78.9 per cent of the total votes cast. With Kwankwaso, a son of the soil in the race now, Atiku’s show in Kano would surely be a show of shame. This would toughen the tough dog in Tinubu, who Buhari said, is poised to be the next President of Nigeria.

Kwankwaso and his supporters may not be in favour of power shift, and I am not challenging them on that, but depending on how Kwankwaso play his cards in the coming gubernatorial elections, he has the chance to make or mar his political future. If he plays rightly and wisely, by taking a borrow from the idiom, he who fights and runs away, lives to fight another day, his political future can be prosperous.

But should he miscalculate, like the northern Christians did, the consequences could be politically disastrous, particularly because, in Nigeria, there is no guarantee to permanent political loyalty. Also, the President in waiting is a politician with prescience, and one that is known to deliberately plan and calculate well, how to get what they wants, regardless of the status of who he wants it from. The political sagacity of Tinubu is such that he can make easy, political conversion.

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Special Report:Fuel Hike and the Weight of Distant Wars

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

The faint hum of generators, once the relentless backdrop of life in the heart of its place, a heavier quiet has settled—born of grim resignation as the ripple effects of a distant geopolitical storm crash onto the wallets of ordinary Nigerians.

Here in Mararaba, the complaint is not just about the new numbers on the fuel pump. It is about the arithmetic of survival that no longer adds up. The latest hike in the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), which dealers attribute to the escalating crisis in the Middle East—a conflict many here note involves the United States, Israel, and Iran—has plunged residents into familiar but increasingly unbearable hardship.

To understand the human weight of this policy, I took to the streets and queues of Mararaba, annex to the Federal Capital Territory, to speak with those who feel they are paying the price for a war thousands of miles away.

At a crowded NNPC filling station in Nyanya, where the queue of vehicles stretched nearly a kilometer under the harsh sun, I met Nasir, a commercial bus driver. He leaned against his battered Korope bus, wiping sweat from his brow, watching the attendant update the price board.

“Look at this,” Nasir said, his voice a mix of anger and exhaustion. “Just last week, I was managing. Now they tell us because there is war between Israel and Iran, and because America supports Israel, the price must go up again. What does that have to do with us in Abuja?”

Nasir’s math is simple but devastating. “I used to buy fuel here for around N700. Now we are pushing N1,000 and above, and they say it might go to N1,500 if the crisis continues. My transport fare? If I double it, my passengers—civil servants, traders, students—cannot pay. If I don’t, I go home with nothing. The politicians in America and Israel are fighting a war with our stomachs.”

His lament echoes the reality of transport inflation, which has spiked dramatically since the removal of subsidies, now worsened by global tensions.

Across town on Abacha Road, at a modern but nearly empty restaurant, I found Yakubu, a small business owner who runs a catering service. For him, the fuel hike is a “tax” on everything he buys.

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“It is a chain. I cook with gas, but the price of gas goes up because the dollar is high and the market fears the war. I transport food to clients, but fuel for my van is now this much,” he said, snapping his fingers. “The government tells us it is ‘market forces’ and the war in the Middle East. I am not a fool. I know the Middle East is unstable because of the US and its allies. But why is Nigeria’s economy tied so tightly to their conflicts? Why are we still importing fuel when we have refineries? We are suffering for their wars and our leaders’ incompetence.”

At Mararaba market, the complaints are less about geopolitics and more about the immediate struggle to fill a pot. Anwar, a tailor, sat idle at his sewing machine. The shop beside him, a provisions store, was dark.

“My neighbor cannot afford to run his generator today,” Anwar said, gesturing to the dark shop. “He sells cold drinks and water. If he has no light, he has no business. If he uses a generator, his profit is gone because diesel is over N1,000 in some places. This is the reality. America, Israel, and Iran are fighting, and my neighbor loses his livelihood.”

The sentiment is backed by data. According to a recent NOIPolls report, 85% of Nigerians disapprove of the fuel subsidy removal, and 93% believe the country is heading in the wrong direction. For people like Anwar, the official explanations ring hollow.

“They say it is deregulation, that it is global politics,” he continued, shaking his head. “I say it is abandonment. We are being buried alive by policies made in Washington and Tel Aviv, carried out by Abuja.”

The geopolitical angle is a particularly bitter pill to swallow. In a country already grappling with high living costs, the idea that a conflict far removed from Africa’s Sahel could dictate the price of commuting to work or powering a small clinic breeds deep resentment.

Ibrahim, a retiree and civil servant, sat on his veranda in Angwa Katsinawa listening to the rare silence where generators once roared.

“Since 2023, when President Tinubu said ‘subsidy is gone,’ we have been on a rollercoaster to poverty. Now this war gives them the perfect excuse to finish us off. The government says the NNPC made this decision based on ‘market realities.’ What reality? The reality that America supports Israel, and Iran threatens retaliation? Why must my pension suffer for that?”

His frustration touches on a key point raised by experts: the escalating conflict threatens to push the subsidy burden—or the cost passed to consumers—past a staggering N644 billion monthly if oil prices spike.

As the sun set over Mararaba, taxis and buses were fewer on the roads. Many drivers, like Sadiq, a university graduate who drives for a ride-hailing app, simply parked for the day.

“I cannot make money if I spend all day in a fuel queue or if 70% of what I earn goes into the tank,” Sadiq said, scrolling through his phone, which showed a fraction of his usual earnings. “They talk about the crisis in the Middle East. But we have a crisis here. It is a crisis of hunger. Until the US, Israel, and Iran stop fighting, we suffer. Until our government decides to fix our refineries, we suffer. We are just pawns.”

As I left him, Sadiq called out, “Tell them we are tired. We are tired of paying for wars we did not start.”

It is a sentiment that hangs heavy in Nigeria’s air—a feeling of being trapped between the anvil of global politics and the hammer of local economic policy.

 

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CNG Expansion: Tinubu Orders 100,000 Kits to Ease Fuel Pain

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

President Bola Tinubu has ordered the urgent deployment of 100,000 Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) conversion kits within the next two to three weeks, aiming to mitigate the burden of soaring petrol and diesel prices on the Nigerian public.

Ismaeel Ahmed, the Executive Chairman of the Presidential Initiative on Compressed Natural Gas (Pi-CNG), disclosed this to State House correspondents on Tuesday following a briefing with the President in Abuja.

According to Ahmed, the directive was prompted by escalating global petroleum prices linked to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which has led to a sharp increase in domestic transportation costs.

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“The President is keenly monitoring global developments, particularly the situation in the Middle East and its direct impact on the rising cost of petrol and diesel here at home,” Ahmed stated. “He summoned this meeting to assess our progress at Pi-CNG and determine how we can rapidly scale up the availability of gas across the country to ensure Nigerians benefit from lower transportation costs.”

Ahmed revealed that Tinubu issued a firm mandate to accelerate the distribution of conversion kits, facilitating a widespread shift from traditional fuels to natural gas.

“Mr. President has given a clear directive for the immediate deployment of approximately 100,000 kits,” Ahmed said. “We are collaborating with a broad coalition of stakeholders to incentivize this process and push these kits into the market without delay. The goal is to convert a significant number of vehicles and tricycles, enabling more citizens to access and utilize gas.”

The Pi-CNG boss confirmed that the rollout is scheduled to begin within the next two to three weeks. He added that conversion centres across the country are expected to become highly active as the programme gains momentum.

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Just In:Governor Yusuf  Sacks Head of Service 

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Governor of Kano State, Alhaji Abba Kabir Yusuf, has relieved the State Head of Service, Alhaji Abdullahi Musa, of his appointment with immediate effect.

This was contained in a statement issued by the governor’s spokesperson, Sunusi Bature Dawakin Tofa, on Tuesday evening.

The decision is part of the ongoing efforts by the present administration to reposition the state civil service for greater efficiency, discipline, and improved service delivery across all government institutions.

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Governor Yusuf expressed appreciation to the outgoing Head of Service for his contributions and dedication to the service of Kano State during his tenure.

“We wish him the best in his future endeavours and pray for his continued success in all aspects of life.”

The Governor also directed that Hajiya Bilkisu Shehu Maimota, the Permanent Secretary, Admin and General Services at the Cabinet Office, to serve in acting capacity pending the appointment of a substantive Head of Service.

By this announcement, the outgoing Head of Service is directed to handover the affairs of the office to the Ag. Head of Service latest tomorrow, Wednesday 11th March, 2026

 

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