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Dangote Refinery to Reduce Africa’s Petroleum Importation by 36%, says APPO

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African Petroleum Producers Organisation (APPO) has said that the establishment of Dangote Oil Refinery will bring about a 36 per cent reduction in the importation of petroleum productions into the continent.

Besides, the organisation expressed a belief that the success of Dangote Refinery project could incentivise the rise of similar projects across Africa despite the current focus on energy transition.

The Secretary-General, African Petroleum Producers Organisation, Dr. Omar Farouk Ibrahim, said in an interview that Dangote Refinery shall be supplying over 12% of Africa’s products demand when it becomes operational.

Ibrahim stated, “To appreciate the impact that the Dangote refinery is going to have on African economies and especially on the supply of petroleum products, and to some extent the conservation of scarce foreign exchange, a look at some statistics on the continent’s petroleum products demand and supply is in order.

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“Currently, Africa’s daily petroleum demand is 4.3 million barrels per day (mbd). Of this volume, 57% is produced locally (on the continent) while 43% is imported. When Dangote is fully onstream, the percentage of Africa’s products import shall drop to 36%. This is even as the total volume of products demand rises to 5.4 mbd. You can therefore see the huge impact that Dangote refinery shall be making to overall products supply in Africa. Dangote shall be supplying over 12% of Africa’s products demand.

“That is huge savings for a continent that has scarce foreign exchange and little to export. We shall save from buying abroad and from shipping and insurance costs. Furthermore, the success of Dangote could incentivise the rise of similar projects, the noise about energy transition notwithstanding,” oil analyst noted.

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Ibrahim also hailed Dangote’s decision to go ahead with the construction of crude oil refinery despite a campaign against fossil fuels, adding that the demand for fossil fuel is going to continue for several decades to come.

“We believe that Dangote made a very wise decision to proceed with the project, despite the campaign against fossil fuels. There will be demand for petroleum products for many decades to come. Indeed, we see petroleum products prices rising steadily in the next few years for at least two decades.

“This is because new refineries are not coming up in Europe and North America, where Africa imports 34% of its supplies, because their governments have embraced energy transition, some willingly, others due to pressure. So, some of the sources of Africa’s imports are going to dry up. At the same time, Africa will not be in a position to fast track the development of non-fossil fuels.

“In fact, even the developed countries will not be able to move as fast as is projected. We see Africa and many regions of the world continuing to rely on fossil fuel energy at a time when deliberate decisions are being made to stop funding fossil fuel projects. The world risks abandoning fossil for renewable, but in the end not getting the renewables, and at the same time losing the fossils due to deliberate neglect”, he explained.

Ibrahim urged African refiners to invest more on technology and develop the right expertise to manage their refineries, which are going to serve the continent as western refiners halt the establishment of more refineries.

He stated, “African refiners have no cause to worry about their investments. All they need to do is to ensure that they have developed the right expertise to manage their refineries, get honest managers and staff to run their business and come together to join APPO’s initiative to establish foundries and other equipment manufacturing plants to service their refineries. Once they have these, the market is there for their products.

“For the next three decades or more, Africa shall continue to use fossil fuel-driven vehicles and with its population projected to double within that period, there will be a huge market for petroleum products. Africa cannot rapidly transit into electric vehicles, as the bulk of the vehicles on our roads today and in the next 20-30 years are going to be non-electric. There is the market, and we should not be discouraged from thinking positively”, the APPO scribe noted.

He disclosed that APPO is working with its Member Countries to construct cross border energy infrastructure like pipelines for crude and products as well as for oil and gas terminals, depots etc.

“Once we have this infrastructure on the ground, the markets for African refiners shall not be limited to their home countries. Fortuitously, the African Continental Free Trade Agreement, which came into force in 2021, is there to support this initiative”, he added.

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Special Report:Fuel Hike and the Weight of Distant Wars

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

The faint hum of generators, once the relentless backdrop of life in the heart of its place, a heavier quiet has settled—born of grim resignation as the ripple effects of a distant geopolitical storm crash onto the wallets of ordinary Nigerians.

Here in Mararaba, the complaint is not just about the new numbers on the fuel pump. It is about the arithmetic of survival that no longer adds up. The latest hike in the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), which dealers attribute to the escalating crisis in the Middle East—a conflict many here note involves the United States, Israel, and Iran—has plunged residents into familiar but increasingly unbearable hardship.

To understand the human weight of this policy, I took to the streets and queues of Mararaba, annex to the Federal Capital Territory, to speak with those who feel they are paying the price for a war thousands of miles away.

At a crowded NNPC filling station in Nyanya, where the queue of vehicles stretched nearly a kilometer under the harsh sun, I met Nasir, a commercial bus driver. He leaned against his battered Korope bus, wiping sweat from his brow, watching the attendant update the price board.

“Look at this,” Nasir said, his voice a mix of anger and exhaustion. “Just last week, I was managing. Now they tell us because there is war between Israel and Iran, and because America supports Israel, the price must go up again. What does that have to do with us in Abuja?”

Nasir’s math is simple but devastating. “I used to buy fuel here for around N700. Now we are pushing N1,000 and above, and they say it might go to N1,500 if the crisis continues. My transport fare? If I double it, my passengers—civil servants, traders, students—cannot pay. If I don’t, I go home with nothing. The politicians in America and Israel are fighting a war with our stomachs.”

His lament echoes the reality of transport inflation, which has spiked dramatically since the removal of subsidies, now worsened by global tensions.

Across town on Abacha Road, at a modern but nearly empty restaurant, I found Yakubu, a small business owner who runs a catering service. For him, the fuel hike is a “tax” on everything he buys.

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“It is a chain. I cook with gas, but the price of gas goes up because the dollar is high and the market fears the war. I transport food to clients, but fuel for my van is now this much,” he said, snapping his fingers. “The government tells us it is ‘market forces’ and the war in the Middle East. I am not a fool. I know the Middle East is unstable because of the US and its allies. But why is Nigeria’s economy tied so tightly to their conflicts? Why are we still importing fuel when we have refineries? We are suffering for their wars and our leaders’ incompetence.”

At Mararaba market, the complaints are less about geopolitics and more about the immediate struggle to fill a pot. Anwar, a tailor, sat idle at his sewing machine. The shop beside him, a provisions store, was dark.

“My neighbor cannot afford to run his generator today,” Anwar said, gesturing to the dark shop. “He sells cold drinks and water. If he has no light, he has no business. If he uses a generator, his profit is gone because diesel is over N1,000 in some places. This is the reality. America, Israel, and Iran are fighting, and my neighbor loses his livelihood.”

The sentiment is backed by data. According to a recent NOIPolls report, 85% of Nigerians disapprove of the fuel subsidy removal, and 93% believe the country is heading in the wrong direction. For people like Anwar, the official explanations ring hollow.

“They say it is deregulation, that it is global politics,” he continued, shaking his head. “I say it is abandonment. We are being buried alive by policies made in Washington and Tel Aviv, carried out by Abuja.”

The geopolitical angle is a particularly bitter pill to swallow. In a country already grappling with high living costs, the idea that a conflict far removed from Africa’s Sahel could dictate the price of commuting to work or powering a small clinic breeds deep resentment.

Ibrahim, a retiree and civil servant, sat on his veranda in Angwa Katsinawa listening to the rare silence where generators once roared.

“Since 2023, when President Tinubu said ‘subsidy is gone,’ we have been on a rollercoaster to poverty. Now this war gives them the perfect excuse to finish us off. The government says the NNPC made this decision based on ‘market realities.’ What reality? The reality that America supports Israel, and Iran threatens retaliation? Why must my pension suffer for that?”

His frustration touches on a key point raised by experts: the escalating conflict threatens to push the subsidy burden—or the cost passed to consumers—past a staggering N644 billion monthly if oil prices spike.

As the sun set over Mararaba, taxis and buses were fewer on the roads. Many drivers, like Sadiq, a university graduate who drives for a ride-hailing app, simply parked for the day.

“I cannot make money if I spend all day in a fuel queue or if 70% of what I earn goes into the tank,” Sadiq said, scrolling through his phone, which showed a fraction of his usual earnings. “They talk about the crisis in the Middle East. But we have a crisis here. It is a crisis of hunger. Until the US, Israel, and Iran stop fighting, we suffer. Until our government decides to fix our refineries, we suffer. We are just pawns.”

As I left him, Sadiq called out, “Tell them we are tired. We are tired of paying for wars we did not start.”

It is a sentiment that hangs heavy in Nigeria’s air—a feeling of being trapped between the anvil of global politics and the hammer of local economic policy.

 

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CNG Expansion: Tinubu Orders 100,000 Kits to Ease Fuel Pain

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

President Bola Tinubu has ordered the urgent deployment of 100,000 Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) conversion kits within the next two to three weeks, aiming to mitigate the burden of soaring petrol and diesel prices on the Nigerian public.

Ismaeel Ahmed, the Executive Chairman of the Presidential Initiative on Compressed Natural Gas (Pi-CNG), disclosed this to State House correspondents on Tuesday following a briefing with the President in Abuja.

According to Ahmed, the directive was prompted by escalating global petroleum prices linked to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which has led to a sharp increase in domestic transportation costs.

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“The President is keenly monitoring global developments, particularly the situation in the Middle East and its direct impact on the rising cost of petrol and diesel here at home,” Ahmed stated. “He summoned this meeting to assess our progress at Pi-CNG and determine how we can rapidly scale up the availability of gas across the country to ensure Nigerians benefit from lower transportation costs.”

Ahmed revealed that Tinubu issued a firm mandate to accelerate the distribution of conversion kits, facilitating a widespread shift from traditional fuels to natural gas.

“Mr. President has given a clear directive for the immediate deployment of approximately 100,000 kits,” Ahmed said. “We are collaborating with a broad coalition of stakeholders to incentivize this process and push these kits into the market without delay. The goal is to convert a significant number of vehicles and tricycles, enabling more citizens to access and utilize gas.”

The Pi-CNG boss confirmed that the rollout is scheduled to begin within the next two to three weeks. He added that conversion centres across the country are expected to become highly active as the programme gains momentum.

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Just In:Governor Yusuf  Sacks Head of Service 

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Governor of Kano State, Alhaji Abba Kabir Yusuf, has relieved the State Head of Service, Alhaji Abdullahi Musa, of his appointment with immediate effect.

This was contained in a statement issued by the governor’s spokesperson, Sunusi Bature Dawakin Tofa, on Tuesday evening.

The decision is part of the ongoing efforts by the present administration to reposition the state civil service for greater efficiency, discipline, and improved service delivery across all government institutions.

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Governor Yusuf expressed appreciation to the outgoing Head of Service for his contributions and dedication to the service of Kano State during his tenure.

“We wish him the best in his future endeavours and pray for his continued success in all aspects of life.”

The Governor also directed that Hajiya Bilkisu Shehu Maimota, the Permanent Secretary, Admin and General Services at the Cabinet Office, to serve in acting capacity pending the appointment of a substantive Head of Service.

By this announcement, the outgoing Head of Service is directed to handover the affairs of the office to the Ag. Head of Service latest tomorrow, Wednesday 11th March, 2026

 

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