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Will Kwankwaso win Kano?-Ibrahim Dooba

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Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso

 

 

2023 Presidential Election Prediction

NORTHWEST

What’s happening at the gubernatorial level in Kano is crazy. I visited Kano end of last year and took a long drive through the city to my boss’s farm and realized how candidates from even unknown parties are hugely popular.

The presidential level is not less complicated in Kano because Kwankwaso, arguably, the most popular politician in the state is on the ballot. PDP also has a huge following (even the Igbo leaders of Kano have declared support for Atiku) to say nothing of APC which governs both at the national and state levels.

These three huge support bases make Kano a battleground. But Buhari’s loss of some support and the unpopular naira redesign might have weakened APC’s hold.

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The case is more or less similar in Jigawa State.

I think all three candidates (Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwaso) will get at least 25% in all the Northwestern states. Kwankwaso is likely to win Kano. Although some people may not want to waste their votes on him because they know that he’s not going to win in other states.

Kwankwaso is a great mobilizer. I learned that he came to Niger to campaign by road travelling through Lambata, Lapai, Agaie, Bida and so forth. Even as a Nigerlite, I don’t travel through that road because it’s in bad shape. If only he were the PDP candidate, those championing the “Northern Candidate” would have had an easier sale.

I know notable politicians from Kebbi and Sokoto states who are not happy with what Governor Bagudu and Sen Wamako have done.

Therefore, Kebbi and Sokoto may lose gubernatorial seats to PDP on account of APC’s messy handling of members and primaries; but Tinubu is likely to win all the seven states of Northwest except Kano. But it’s going to be a tough battle.

The only reason I’m going to mention Peter Obi here is that his running mate, Dr Datti, is from Northwest. Yet, that will mean very little. But Obi will get the votes of Southern Kaduna.

Atiku: 0/7
Obi: 0/7
Tinubu: 6/7
Kwankwaso: 1/7

Confidence of prediction: 55%

Full disclosure: I’m a member of the APC.

PS: This is the region about which I’m least confident of my predictionn.

Politics

200,000 APC Members in Kano Dismiss Allegations Against Ministerial Nominee Yusuf Abdullah Atta as Baseless

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Over 200,000 members of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Kano State have dismissed allegations of incompetence against the ministerial nominee, retired Hon. Yusuf Abdullah Atta, as baseless. Some APC members in Kano believe the allegations stem from personal grudges held by a few individuals who are not legitimate members of the party.

In a statement, Mustapha Gidan Magani, the secretary of APC Kwaciri Ward, on behalf of the entire executive committee of APC Fagge Local Government Area, rejected the allegations of anti-party activities during the 2023 general election. The executives argued that those intending to submit a petition to the Senate, claiming to represent 50,000 APC members, have no legal standing to make such claims.

The APC executives from Fagge Local Government Area are prepared to counter the petition, asserting that it will have little impact on the confirmation of Atta as Minister of State for Housing and Urban Development. They expressed gratitude to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu for nominating Atta, highlighting his administrative skills and dedication to serving humanity.

 

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PDP Youth Activist Calls for Suspension of Shekarau, Bello Hayatu from the party

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Salisu Usman Karaskabuli, a youth activist of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) in Kano, has called for the immediate suspension of several high-ranking party members, including former governor Ibrahim Shekarau, Bello Hayatu Gwarzo, and Yahaya Bagobiri.

He accused them of sabotaging the party’s efforts in the state and hindering PDP’s progress in the region.

Addressing journalists in Kano, Salisu Karaskabuli alleged that Shekarau has engaged in anti-party activities during the 2023 governorship election.
“Despite being a PDP leader, the majority of his supporters backed the APC candidate,” Salisu Karaskabuli said.
He further claimed that Shekarau is already mobilizing his supporters to work for Senator Barau’s governorship ambitions in 2027, signaling ongoing disloyalty.

Salisu Karaskabuli also blamed the PDP National Vice Chairman for the Northwest Bello Hayatu Gwarzo for failing to unite the party across the region.
He noted that prominent PDP members, such as former governors Ibrahim Shema of Katsina and Ramalan Yero of Kaduna, had defected to other parties due to Gwarzo’s ineffective leadership.
Concerning the recent PDP congress in Kano, Usman expressed frustration, rejecting the outcomes of the ward, local government, and state congresses.
He accused the leadership of the party for partisan zoning and disqualifying candidates without valid reasons.

Further accusations were leveled at Yahaya Bagobiri, the chairman of PDP elders in Kano.
Salisu Usman claimed that Bagobiri had leaked sensitive party information to the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP) leader Rabiu Kwankwaso.

Usman Karaskabuli called on the national leadership of the PDP to investigate the accused members and, if found guilty, take appropriate disciplinary action.

The accusations come at a time when the PDP in Kano and the wider Northwest is grappling with internal divisions, which some fear could weaken the party ahead of the 2027 general elections.

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APC Youth Activist Urges President Tinubu to Appoint Murtala Sule Garo as Minister

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Sadiq Ali Sango

 

Sadiq Ali Sango, a prominent youth activist of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Kano State, has called on President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to consider appointing Murtala Sule Garo as a minister in the forthcoming cabinet reshuffle.
Sango made this known in a statement released to journalists in Kano.

The Federal Government recently announced that President Tinubu would soon reshuffle his cabinet, sparking widespread speculation over potential new appointees.
Sango expressed optimism that Garo, a grassroots politician with a proven track record, would be a fitting choice for a ministerial position.

“Murtala Sule Garo is not only a politician but a true son of the soil, with immense contributions to the APC in Kano,” Sango stated.
“His service as the APC’s deputy gubernatorial candidate in the 2023 election and his unwavering commitment to the party despite not having the reins of government in Kano makes him the ideal candidate for Tinubu’s cabinet.”

Sango further highlighted Garo’s role in holding the party together during difficult times, describing him as the “supporting pillar” of the APC in Kano.
“He has carried the party on his shoulders, providing support to party leaders and members alike,” he added.

With the APC no longer in control of Kano State’s government, Garo’s influence at the grassroots level has been pivotal for the party’s continued strength in the region.
According to Sango, Garo’s appointment would reinforce the party’s position in Kano and contribute to the success of President Tinubu’s administration.

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The call for Murtala Sule Garo’s inclusion in the Federal Executive Council comes amid growing anticipation regarding the composition of the new cabinet and the need for strong political figures to represent Kano at the national level.

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