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OPPOSITION OR INDIRECT ENABLEMENT: THE STRATEGIC QUESTION KWANKWASO’S POLITICAL ARITHMETIC FORCES KANO TO CONFRONT

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Head Of Kwankwasiyya Movement and former Governor of Kano,Engineer Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso

 

 

By Nworisa Michael
Coordinator, Inter-tribe Community Support Forum
nworisamichael1917@gmail.com

It is a common knowledge that Kano politics has never been ordinary. It shapes national outcomes, influences the political direction of the North, and has historically play a significant role in who sits at the centre of power in Abuja. Therefore, to engage seriously with Kano’s political dynamics is, therefore, not merely a regional exercise. It is an engagement with the strategic heartbeat of Nigerian democracy itself.

Today, two figures dominate that conversation: Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, the veteran political architect whose Kwankwasiyya movement commands one of the most disciplined and loyal political bases in the country, and His Excellency, Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf, the sitting governor navigating the complex terrain of governance within a rapidly shifting national power equation. Both men matter. But beyond the chants of loyalty and the colours of party affiliation, Kano’s politically conscious citizens must now confront a harder, more strategic question: are the political decisions being made in their interest actually weakening the dominant structure, or quietly reinforcing it?
The 2023 presidential election offers a case study that demands honest reflection. Nigeria entered that election cycle with a genuine opposition opportunity. Polling data, civil society analysis, and the visible energy of public discontent with the ruling All Progressives Congress all suggested that a consolidated opposition could have fundamentally altered the outcome. That consolidation never materialised. The Labour Party’s Peter Obi drew significant support from the South and among urban youth. The NNPP’s Kwankwaso commanded loyalty in Kano and parts of the North. The PDP’s Atiku Abubakar held his traditional base. The result was a three-way fragmentation that divided the anti-APC vote with mathematical precision, producing exactly the outcome that benefited the ruling party.

Whether this fragmentation was the product of political pride, strategic miscalculation, or something more deliberately calibrated remains a question that Nigerian political analysts continue to debate. What is not debatable is the arithmetic: a divided opposition is a gift to the incumbent. History, from Nigeria’s own political transitions to comparative democratic experiences across Africa, consistently demonstrates that opposition forces which cannot unite around a minimum common platform do not defeat entrenched ruling parties. They extend their tenure.

Returning to the present, there is a visible contrast between the political postures of the two principal figures in this analysis. Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf’s recent political alignment choices are, whatever one’s assessment of their strategic wisdom, characterised by directness and visibility. He has staked a position openly within the national power configuration. Citizens, analysts, and political opponents can measure him against that position. His direction, whether one agrees with it or not, is clear.

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Senator Kwankwaso, by contrast, maintains a posture of vigorous anti-APC rhetoric while his concrete political decisions at critical moments of opposition consolidation have consistently produced alternative lanes rather than unified fronts. The Kwankwasiyya movement remains formidable in its base loyalty and its organisational discipline. But loyalty and organisation are means, not ends. The strategic question is what those assets are being deployed to achieve, and whether the outcomes they produce serve the stated goal of providing a credible alternative to the current political order.

Politics, at its most rigorous, is not judged by the passion of speeches or the size of rallies. It is judged by outcomes. And the outcomes that matter most in opposition politics are coalition-building, electoral consolidation, and the actual transfer of power from one political force to another. Measured against these outcomes, a critical pattern emerges in Kwankwaso’s recent political engagements: when moments arise that could produce a meaningful consolidation of opposition forces, the decisions taken tend to fracture rather than unify the alternative.
This raises a question that is uncomfortable precisely because it must be asked without malice and answered without evasion: if a political actor consistently opposes the dominant structure in language while consistently producing outcomes that strengthen it in practice, at what point does the distinction between opposition and indirect enablement become meaningful? This is not an accusation of deliberate collaboration. It is a structural observation about the consequences of political choices, and consequences, not intentions, are what history records.

The citizens of Kano, and particularly the Kwankwasiyya faithful, are among the most politically engaged communities in Nigeria. Their loyalty is not blind. It is built on decades of political participation, on genuine belief in a leader who gave them a sense of dignity, visibility, and political identity. That loyalty deserves respect. But loyalty, precisely because it is valuable, must be protected from exploitation by strategic clarity rather than surrendered to emotional attachment.
The questions that Kano’s political followers owe themselves are simple and direct. Who benefits consistently when opposition alliances fail to materialise? Who grows stronger each time the alternative cannot consolidate? What is the long-term strategic destination of a political movement that is powerful enough to prevent the opposition from unifying but has not yet demonstrated the capacity to win power independently? These are not attacks on Kwankwaso’s legacy or his genuine contributions to Kano’s political development. They are the questions that any politically serious follower must be willing to ask of any leader, including one they admire.

Kano deserves political transparency, not only in words but in strategic direction. The gap between what a political actor says and what the outcomes of their decisions consistently produce is not a private matter. It is a public accountability question of the highest order. Senator Kwankwaso may well be engaged in long-term strategic chess, using apparent fragmentation as negotiation leverage toward a larger consolidation that is not yet visible. That possibility deserves acknowledgement. But if that is the strategy, its logic and its destination must at some point be made legible to the millions of citizens whose political futures are shaped by its execution.

The difference between genuine opposition and indirect enablement does not lie in rhetoric. It lies in results. And the time has come for Kano’s political community, in all its sophistication and historical awareness, to evaluate its leadership not by the loudness of the opposition voice, but by the clarity and effectiveness of the path it is building toward the change it claims to seek.

Opinion

Let The Records Speak: Comrade Mohammed Garba, Comrade Waiya And The Future of Kano’s Information Ministry

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By Tijjani Sarki
June 21, 2026

Recent calls for the reappointment of Hon. Muhammad Garba as Commissioner for Information and Internal Affairs has sparked debate in Kano State. His supporters point to his eight years of service and describe him as an experienced professional whose return would benefit the government.

While I respect that view, I believe an important question deserves an answer, after serving for eight years in the same office, what exactly remains unfinished that necessitates a return?

This is not an attempt to diminish Hon. Garba’s contributions. Rather, it is a call for an objective assessment of performance. Public office should be judged by results, not sentiment.
Recent public discussions have repeatedly portrayed Hon. Muhammad Garba as a “professional,” as though that designation alone settles the debate. I respectfully disagree. Professionalism is not defined by the length of time spent in office, nor does it automatically flow from occupying a position for many years. It is reflected in innovation, measurable achievements, institutional growth, responsiveness to public concerns, and the capacity to deliver results. If professionalism is truly the benchmark, then the public deserves a fair comparison of records and accomplishments rather than a reliance on reputation or years of service. The debate, therefore, should be anchored on evidence, not labels.

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Instead of focusing on political developments, I suggest that Kano people compare records. Hon. Muhammad Garba had eight years to lead the ministry. Comrade Ibrahim Abdullahi Waiya has had barely one and a half years. Yet within that short period, many observers have noted renewed activity within the ministry, especially in the often-overlooked Internal Affairs Department that was hitherto inactive and relegated to the background thereby rendering it dead by previous administrations until Waiya came in and salvaged the department from strangulation.

I have seen greater public engagement and a more visible ministry under the current leadership. Whether one agrees with every action taken by Waiya or not, the ministry appears more active and connected to the public.

For this reason, I would welcome an open public debate between the two Comrades. Let them present their achievements, challenges, and vision. The Ministry of Information is not only critical and central to governance rather it is at the same time the voice of government and should be led by the person best positioned to serve the public interest with commitment, dignity, competence and capacity.

Let the records speak. Let the people judge.

Tijjani Sarki writes from Kano and can be reached via responsivecitizensinitiative@gmail.com.

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Opinion

The Unsung Guardians of Nigeria’s Prosperity-Edekhe Glorious Maria

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By Edekhe Glorious Maria

In the grand narrative of Nigeria’s quest for economic self-reliance and sustainable development, popular discourse frequently centers on fiscal policies, central banking reforms, and foreign direct investments. Yet, the finest policy frameworks remain mere ink on paper without a robust mechanism to police the entryways of commerce. Standing resolutely at this critical intersection of trade, finance, and defense is the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS). Far from being a mere tax collection agency, the modern NCS functions as the quintessential bulwark of our economic sovereignty and a premier shield guarding national security.
To fully appreciate Nigeria’s survival and resilience within a highly volatile global market, one must look closely at the unsung guardians keeping watch over our borders, seaports, and airports.
The Economic Bedrock: Fueling the Machinery of State
In an era where volatile oil revenues demand aggressive fiscal diversification, the financial contributions of the Nigeria Customs Service have transformed from a supportive budget buffer into an absolute lifeline for the federation.
Under the reform-minded leadership of Comptroller-General Bashir Adewale Adeniyi, the Service has consistently shattered its own revenue records. In recent fiscal cycles, the NCS smashed historic expectations by generating unprecedented trillions of naira in revenue comfortably surpassing its initial treasury projections. This momentum has carried fiercely into recent quarters, with non-oil export processing volumes revealing massive year-on-year surges in value. These trillions of naira flow directly into the Federation Account, funding critical public infrastructure, healthcare, education, and public sector operations nationwide.
Beyond raw revenue generation, the NCS acts as the ultimate protector of local industries. Without the tactical enforcement of import prohibitions and anti-dumping regulations by customs officers, Nigeria’s fragile agricultural and manufacturing sectors would be utterly overwhelmed by cheap, subsidized foreign goods.
When customs officers intercept shipments of smuggled rice, expired pharmaceuticals, or contraband textiles, they are not merely enforcing paperwork. They are actively saving Nigerian jobs, keeping local factories open, and preserving the structural integrity of the Naira.
The Border Shield: Where Trade Meets National Security
In the contemporary global landscape, the threats to a nation’s survival are asymmetric, fluid, and deeply intertwined with international trade routes. Herein lies the dual nature of the modern customs officer: a facilitator of trade by day, and a frontline defense asset by night.
The proliferation of small arms, light weapons, and illicit narcotics across West Africa represents a clear and present danger to Nigeria’s internal stability. The NCS stands as the first ,and often most effective,line of defense against these lethal inflows.
Multi-billion naira intercepts at strategic flashpoints across Lagos, Port Harcourt, and land borders have successfully kept military-grade rifles, pistols, and live ammunition out of the hands of bandits and insurgent networks. Simultaneously, large-scale seizures of tramadol, codeine, and illegal synthetic substances actively dismantle the financing chains of criminal syndicates while protecting Nigerian youth from the scourge of drug abuse.
Furthermore, customs operations directly suppress resource economic sabotage. The rapid interception and enforcement around smuggled petroleum products (PMS) block economic saboteurs from starving local communities of critical fuel supplies and bleeding the national economy dry.
Modernization and the Future of Border Management
The victories of the NCS are not accidental. They are the direct result of a deliberate, ongoing transformation toward digital trade facilitation anchored by the comprehensive Nigeria Customs Service Act.
Through the implementation of advanced technology, such as automated risk-assessment systems, the expansion of the Authorized Economic Operator (AEO) scheme, and advanced Time Release Study (TRS) diagnostic tools, the Service is rapidly reducing human interface, cutting down cargo clearing times, and plugging revenue leakages. This structural evolution ensures that the dual mandate of the Service remains perfectly balanced: legitimate trade is accelerated to boost economic growth, while illicit trade is ruthlessly intercepted.
Conclusively recognizing the Sentinels at the gate; The sovereignty of a nation is defined by its ability to control its borders and dictate its economic destiny. For Nigeria, that awesome responsibility rests heavily on the shoulders of the officers and men of the Nigeria Customs Service. They operate in high-risk environments, facing down heavily armed smuggling cartels and navigating complex maritime and land entryways, often without the public adulation reserved for other security arms.

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As Nigeria marches toward a more prosperous future under the banners of industrialization and regional integration via the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), the NCS will remain our most vital institutional shield.

It is time to rewrite the public narrative. The Nigeria Customs Service must be recognized for what it truly is: a patriotic, highly strategic, and indispensable cornerstone of Nigeria’s prosperity, national security, and enduring sovereignty.

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Opinion

Deadly Conspiracy To Topple Commissioner Waiya And Unseen Hands Behind The Persistent Attacks

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Comrade Ibrahim Abdullahi Waiya addressing the Press after the meeting

 

By Shariff Aminu Ahlan

Politics has always been a battlefield where success attracts admiration from supporters and resentment from adversaries. However, there comes a time when criticism ceases to be constructive and transforms into a calculated campaign of character assassination. Such appears to be the case in the relentless and coordinated attacks being launched against Commissioner Waiya, one of the most visible and effective members of the Kano State Government.

It is both shocking and disturbing to witness the growing wave of sponsored attacks against a public servant whose only “offence” seems to be his commitment to duty and his unwavering dedication to the ideals of the administration. Across various media platforms, particularly radio stations, certain individuals have embarked on what appears to be a well-funded mission aimed at tarnishing the image of the commissioner, undermining his achievements, and ultimately convincing the Governor to remove him from office.

The question on the minds of many observers remains simple: Why Commissioner Waiya?

Why has a man widely recognized as one of the finest performers in the current administration suddenly become the target of such sustained hostility? Why is a commissioner who has consistently demonstrated competence, loyalty, and effectiveness being subjected to daily attacks by individuals who offer little beyond insults and baseless allegations?

The answer may not be difficult to find. Commissioner Waiya has established himself as a hardworking and result-oriented public official who has distinguished himself through service, innovation, and inclusiveness. Since assuming office, he has worked tirelessly to promote the policies and achievements of the government while fostering unity among media practitioners across the state.

One of his most commendable achievements was the revival and strengthening of the historic “Gauta Club,” a platform that brought together diverse media commentators and radio presenters under one umbrella. Through dialogue, engagement, and mutual understanding, he succeeded in reducing the culture of reckless attacks, inflammatory statements, and unnecessary political insults that had gradually become common across many radio programs.

His intervention restored a measure of professionalism, dignity, and decorum to political discourse. It helped transform the media environment from one dominated by hostility and personal attacks into one that increasingly emphasized constructive engagement and responsible commentary.

Even more remarkable is his open-door policy, which has become a defining feature of his leadership style. Unlike many public officials who isolate themselves from the people they serve, Commissioner Waiya has remained accessible, accommodating, and respectful to all, regardless of political affiliation, social status, or ideological differences.

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Media practitioners, political stakeholders, and ordinary citizens alike can testify to his willingness to listen, assist, and provide support whenever necessary. Under his stewardship, many individuals and groups have benefited from various forms of assistance, encouragement, and interventions designed to address their challenges.

Ironically, some of the loudest voices attacking him today are individuals who once sought his assistance, benefited from his generosity, and enjoyed his goodwill. The sudden transformation of these beneficiaries into fierce critics raises legitimate questions about the motives behind their actions.

What is even more troubling is the growing belief that these attacks are not spontaneous but carefully orchestrated. There are indications that certain ambitious individuals, desperate to occupy the commissioner’s position, may be financing and directing this campaign behind the scenes. Unable to match his performance, achievements, and growing influence, they have allegedly resorted to smear tactics as a shortcut to political relevance.

Their objective appears clear: weaken his reputation, create unnecessary controversies, and manufacture a perception of failure where none exists. Unfortunately for the conspirators, facts remain stubborn.

Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf has repeatedly demonstrated confidence in Commissioner Waiya’s capabilities. This confidence is evident not only in the responsibilities entrusted to him within the ministry but also in his recent appointments to sensitive committees that play crucial roles in advancing the government’s developmental agenda. Such appointments are not given as political favours; they are earned through competence, trustworthiness, and proven performance.

The Governor’s continued reliance on Commissioner Waiya is itself a powerful testament to the value he brings to the administration. It reflects a level of trust that many public officials can only aspire to attain. This growing confidence from the highest levels of government appears to have unsettled his opponents. Unable to tolerate his rising profile and expanding influence, they have intensified their efforts to bring him down by any means necessary.

Yet history teaches us that genuine performance often survives propaganda. Public servants who deliver tangible results ultimately earn the respect and support of the people, regardless of the noise generated by their detractors.
Commissioner Waiya’s record speaks for itself. His commitment to service, his efforts to foster unity within the media landscape, his accessibility to the public, and his dedication to the Kano First Agenda have earned him recognition far beyond the walls of his ministry.

The ongoing attacks against him therefore reveal more about the desperation of his adversaries than they do about the commissioner himself. As Kano continues its journey toward development and progress, citizens must remain vigilant against campaigns designed to sacrifice competence on the altar of personal ambition. The state needs dedicated public servants focused on delivering results, not victims of politically motivated conspiracies.

In the final analysis, the campaign against Commissioner Waiya appears less like a quest for accountability and more like a desperate attempt by unseen forces to eliminate a performer whose growing influence has become uncomfortable for those driven by selfish interests. Whether these conspirators succeed or fail remains to be seen. What is certain, however, is that Commissioner Waiya’s achievements, dedication, and service to the people have already left a mark that no amount of sponsored propaganda can easily erase.

Shariff Aminu Ahlan
APC Intellectual Warrior.
Realahlan0101@gmail.com

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