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Cover Story – Changing the Game: Key Factors That Will Shape the 2027 Elections Differently from 2023

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Again, the permutations for the next presidential election, which will be held in 2027, have started. In a deliberate attempt to compare and analyze possible events of 2023 that may likely occur again in the forthcoming 2027 election,  Nigerian Tracker’s Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa, filed the story below:

The electioneering for the 2027 presidential election will, in the next six months, kick-start. The opposition is still scavenging for a potent platform to ride into the field with the ruling All Progressives Congress.

Will the platform be the Social Democratic Party (SDP), which El-Rufai, one of the founders of the ruling All Progressives Congress now belongs to, or the newly sought-after bride, the African Democratic Congress (ADC)?

Asking Dr. Kabir Sufi Sa’id a Public Affairs Analyst based in Abuja whether the political dynamics of the 2023 election will emerge again in the forthcoming 2027 election, he responded:

“There may be some similarities between the 2023 and 2027 contests, as well as some differences,” Dr. Kabir asserted. He noted that there are major changes in the affairs of each of the political parties that contested in the 2023 election.

“During the 2023 election, the case was an incumbent president trying all he could to support his party’s candidate. But that is not the case for the coming 2027 presidential election, as the incumbent president is the one contesting himself.”

“Also, with developments in the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), there are indications that Alhaji Atiku Abubakar will leave the party for another in order to contest for the office of the presidency,” he stressed further.

On that account, it’s safe to say that a faction of the party will definitely leave with Alhaji Atiku. This will undoubtedly bring about a change in the country’s politicking compared to that of 2023.

The political scientist and public affairs analyst further divulged that “with the intended coalition between the ADC and SDP, Nigerians should expect further alignments from some other bigwigs from the opposition parties, just as it was recorded when El-Rufai initially left APC for the SDP,” even as he pointed out that they have still not found common ground among themselves.

He also opined that the only similarity between the 2023 and 2027 elections that is in play at the moment is the fact that the APC, which was the ruling party then, is still the ruling party now. He stated that it may be a rosy journey for the party again into the villa, except if the citizens react to harsh economic policies by voting it out of power.

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Dr. Kabir was further asked if he reads meaning into the absence of former President Buhari and some of his loyalists at the National Summit held at the banquet hall by the ruling All Progressives Congress on the 23rd of May, 2025, where the 22 governors of the party, the leaders of the National Assembly, and its members passed a vote of confidence in President Bola Ahmed Tinubu for a second tenure in the presidency.

The analyst didn’t hesitate to mention that even the Katsina State Governor wasn’t in attendance at the summit. “The former President Buhari wasn’t the only person absent from the summit; his state governor, Dikko Radda was not in attendance either,” he pointed out.

“But the governor’s absenteeism was attributed to a state function, which was beforehand slated to hold on the same day that the APC announced its summit,” he added in the governor’s defense.

“As for the absenteeism of some of Buhari’s loyalists at the summit, it was clearly understood that the CPC faction of the APC, as led by Abubakar Malami, the former attorney general of the federation during Buhari’s administration was absent. However, the Al-Makura faction was in attendance.”

It could be deduced from Dr. Kabir’s revelation above that the APC family is also divided, as Malami’s faction is against the Tinubu administration, while the Al-Makura faction supports it.

Analysis from the last presidential election in all the geopolitical zones in the country shows that the ruling party garnered most of its votes from the North West, which comprises seven states, the K states, Zamfara, and Jigawa. It clinched a total of 2.6 million votes, with its closest rival the PDP, recording nearly the same figure at 2.3 million votes.

Furthermore, in the Northeastern part of the country, which includes Adamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Taraba, and Yobe states, the ruling party was defeated, with the opposition PDP coming first with 1.7 million votes while it secured 1.1 million votes.

For the two zones above, Peter Obi’s Labour Party managed to secure fourth and third places, respectively, overtaking Kwankwaso’s NNPP in the North East.

However, in what didn’t come as a shock, the Labour Party took the lead in the South-South, which comprises Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa, Edo, and Delta states. It recorded 1.2 million votes, with the ruling party and PDP coming second and third, respectively.

In the South-West, which is the stronghold of the ruling party’s candidate, the APC overwhelmed the opposition parties, with PDP being the closest, having recorded 941,941 votes, and LP recording 846,478.

The so-called “neutral ground” states also known as the North-Central, comprising six states (Kogi, Niger, Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa, Kwara) and the FCT gave the lead to the opposition PDP with a record of 5.2 million votes. The ruling party came second with 1.7 million votes, while LP came third with 1.4 million votes.

Convincingly and without surprise, LP, in a landslide victory, defeated the ruling party and the opposition PDP with a total of 1.9 million votes in the South-East region. Thus, it is now substantiated that each of the three leading candidates, Tinubu, Atiku, and Obi won their respective zones. It is evident that the battlegrounds for these candidates were the North-West, South-South, and North-Central.

The aforementioned was the political situation in the country as of 2023. There were fierce political permutations and strong political oppositions.

However, as we approach the 2027 presidential election, the story may likely change, considering the political atmosphere of the nation. Currently, there is no serious opposition.

So, the questions remain: What will be the fate of the opposition as the 2027 presidential election draws nearer?

With the division in the ruling All Progressives Congress, will it return its candidate, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to the presidency for a second term?

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Hike in Fuel Prices Looms as Trump Announces Ceasefire With Iran

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday here that “the ceasefire with Iran ‘is over,’ and he does not want to deal with Iran anymore.”

Speaking to journalists alongside “NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, Trump said he no longer wants to engage with Iranian officials.” “For me, I think it is over. I don’t want to deal with them anymore .They are sick people, they are led by sick people, they are vicious, violent people,” he noted.

“If they had nuclear weapons, they would use them. As far as I am concerned, it (the ceasefire) is over,” said Trump.

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Trump expressed skepticism regarding future negotiations, saying “he would consult his negotiators but characterised dealing with Iranian officials as a ‘waste of time,’ accusing them of dishonesty.” Trump further said “Iranian representatives agree privately to terms regarding nuclear weapons but publicly deny those agreements after the meetings conclude.” “We make a deal. Everyone’s agreed: no nuclear weapon,” Trump said. “We make a deal, they go outside and talk to the press. They say we never even talked about it.” He concluded that “while negotiations could technically continue, he considers the current process to be at an end.”

In “a new round of escalation of tensions beginning Tuesday, the United States has launched strikes against 80 Iranian targets, and in response, Iran’s Islamic Revolution Guard Corps attacked 85 U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait.”

And to this development, the world, once again, is about to witness another round of hike in price of crude oil.

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EFCC Arraigns ex-Port Harcourt Refinery Ltd MD over Alleged Money Laundering

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) on Wednesday arraigned a former Managing Director of the Port Harcourt Refining Company Ltd (PHRC), Ahmed Dikko, over alleged money laundering.

Mr Dikko, who was arraigned before Justice Inyang Ekwo of the Federal High Court, Abuja Division, on a 12-count charge, pleaded not guilty.

Recall that the EFCC, in the charge marked: FHC/ABJ/CR/360/2026, named Mr Dikko and Masterpiece Projects & Investment Ltd as first and second defendants.

In the charge dated and filed on June 22 by the commission’s counsel, Ekele Iheanacho, SAN, the anti-graft agency accused Mr Dikko of using N218 million to buy property in Abuja.

When the case was called, Mr Iheanacho informed the court that the matter was scheduled for the defendants to take their plea and that they were ready to proceed.

Ikechukwu Ajunwa, SAN, did not oppose the application but urged the court to enter a not guilty plea for the second defendant (the company).

In view of the not guilty plea, the prosecution applied for a trial date.

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Mr Ajunwa did not oppose the application but informed the court that a bail application had been filed on behalf of Mr Dikko.

He said a copy of the bail application had also been served on the EFCC.

Mr Iheanacho acknowledged receiving the process and told the court that a counter affidavit had equally been filed in opposition to the bail request.

Moving the motion, MrAjunwa said it was dated and filed on July 3 in line with Sections 34(4) and 36 of the 1999 Constitution and Sections 158 and 156 of Administration of Criminal Justice Act (ACJA), 2015.

According to him, the application is seeking for a leave for the defendant to be granted bail.

“The grounds for the application are there my lord,” he said.

The lawyer, who said Mr Dikko would not jump bail or interfere with the trial, said the 1st defendant had been reporting to the EFCC’s office as part of administrative bail terms.

Responding, Mr Iheanacho said the commission, on July 7, filed a counter affidavit opposing Mr Dikko’s request.

“We rely on all the paragraphs in our counter affidavit in urging the court to deny bail to the defendant. We also filed a written submission and adopted same in urging the honourable court to reject the bail application,” he said.

In his ruling, Justice Ekwo held that the court had the discretionary power to either grant or not to grant a bail.

He said since bail is a constitutional rights of the defendant, substantial evidence must be placed before the court why the defendant ought to be denied the request.

The judge consequently admitted Mr Dikko to a N150 million bail with one surety in the like sum who must possess a landed property within the jurisdiction of the court.

He ordered that the surety must be a responsible citizen and must submit the documents of the landed property which should be verified by the court registrar.

Justice Ekwo, who ordered Mr Dikko to submit his passport with the court, directed that the defendant must not travel without the permission of court.

The judge subsequently adjourned the matter until Oct. 12, October13 and 14 for commencement of trial.

The EFCC said the offence is contrary to Sections 2 (1) (a), 19(1)(d) of the Money Laundering (Prevention and Prohibition) Act, 2022 and punishable under Section 19 (2) (b) of the same Act.

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Kano Pilgrims Board to Announce 2027 Hajj Deposit Soon as It Reviews Successful 2026 Exercise

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The Kano State Pilgrims Welfare Board says it will soon announce the official deposit amount for the 2027 Hajj, assuring intending pilgrims that preparations for next year’s pilgrimage are already underway despite the absence of an official fare announcement.

The Director General of the Kano State Pilgrims Welfare Board, Alhaji Abubakar Ibrahim Matawalle, disclosed this during a press briefing at the Board’s headquarters in Kano while presenting the major achievements recorded during the 2026 Hajj operations.

Matawalle explained that although some states have already announced their Hajj fares and deposits for 2027, Kano State would not be in a hurry to make such an announcement until the necessary consultations and planning were completed. According to him, the Board is working diligently to ensure that intending pilgrims receive accurate information at the appropriate time.

The Director General described the 2026 Hajj exercise as one of the most successful in the history of the Board, attributing the achievement to careful planning, effective coordination and the commitment of all stakeholders involved in the pilgrimage operations.

He expressed gratitude to Almighty Allah for the successful completion of the pilgrimage and commended Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf for his unwavering support, guidance and commitment to the welfare of Kano State pilgrims. Matawalle also acknowledged the contributions of the National Hajj Commission of Nigeria (NAHCON), Saudi authorities, airlines and other partners for ensuring a smooth operation.

Highlighting the Board’s achievements, Matawalle said every intending pilgrim from Kano State received official uniforms and hand luggage to promote uniformity, convenience and easy identification throughout the pilgrimage.

He further revealed that the Board renovated the mosque at the Hajj Terminal of Mallam Aminu Kano International Airport to provide a more conducive environment for worshippers and pilgrims. According to him, chairs and electric fans were also donated to improve the comfort of pilgrims awaiting their departure flights.

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Matawalle stated that each of the 3,611 Kano State pilgrims received financial support of 200 Saudi Riyals upon arrival in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to assist with their immediate expenses.

The Director General added that the Hajj demonstration field and toilet facilities at the Hajj camp were renovated to improve the quality of pre-departure orientation programmes, while the Board also donated four Uninterruptible Power Supply (UPS) units to the Nigerian Immigration Service at the Mallam Aminu Kano International Airport Command to facilitate efficient immigration services during the Hajj operations.

According to Matawalle, the Board, with support from ASIA Group of Companies, distributed free detergent and toothpaste to all Kano pilgrims as part of efforts to improve their welfare throughout the pilgrimage.

He also disclosed that shuttle buses were provided to transport pilgrims between their accommodation and the Holy Mosque (Al-Haram) in Makkah for the five daily prayers, significantly improving their comfort and ease of movement.

Matawalle said the Board successfully airlifted all 3,611 registered pilgrims to Saudi Arabia and safely returned every one of them to Nigeria, achieving what he described as a 100 percent completion rate without leaving any Kano pilgrim stranded in the Kingdom.

He noted that close collaboration with NAHCON, airlines, Saudi authorities and service providers ensured the smooth execution of all stages of the Hajj exercise, while continuous medical services were provided in collaboration with relevant health authorities to address pilgrims’ healthcare needs.

The Director General explained that intensified enlightenment and orientation programmes before departure resulted in better compliance with Hajj regulations and exemplary conduct by Kano pilgrims throughout the pilgrimage.

Matawalle further disclosed that proper identification and documentation of pilgrims significantly reduced cases of missing pilgrims during movements between the holy sites despite operational challenges experienced at some Saudi airports.

He revealed that the Board successfully recovered about 30 pieces of luggage left behind in various pilgrims’ accommodations, in addition to more than 100 pieces of abandoned main and hand luggage at Saudi airports.

According to Matawalle, an international cargo operator was engaged to transport all recovered luggage back to Kano, where they would be distributed to their rightful owners.

He said the Board’s performance during the 2026 Hajj has once again strengthened Kano State’s reputation as one of Nigeria’s leading pilgrims’ welfare agencies, noting that the achievements were made possible through teamwork, transparency, dedication and the unwavering support of the Kano State Government and other stakeholders.

Matawalle expressed appreciation to all Kano pilgrims for their discipline, patience and cooperation throughout the exercise, saying their conduct reflected the values and dignity of the state and contributed significantly to the overall success of the pilgrimage.

The Director General assured residents that the Board would continue improving its services by applying lessons learned from the 2026 Hajj exercise in preparations for future pilgrimages. He reiterated that the official deposit for the 2027 Hajj would be announced soon after the necessary arrangements are concluded.

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