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Special Report :Goodluck Jonathan’s Potential 2027 Presidential Contest: Analysts Say His Return Could Unite or Divide Nigeria’s Opposition

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

Ebele Jonathan, since his gentlemanly exit from the Villa in 2015, coupled with his peace building efforts in countries like Cote D’Ivoire, Mali, Kenya, and the rest, has managed to earn himself reputation beyond the country.

Consequently, the Sunhak 2025 peace prize award was given to him; solidifying his contribution to peace building and conflict resolution over the years across the globe. The gentleman has been identified with ‘water’, as it is known to have no enemies.

In what looks like a plot twist in the Nigeria’s political terrain, while the country has its gaze fixated on the coalition leaders and the ruling party for a showdown in the forthcoming presidential election, an anonymous personality revealed that this gentleman has considered running for the office one more time. Although no confirmation has been made from the former president himself on the matter, but it’s concerning that the anonymous personality is said to be a political associate of him, and he keeping mum ever since the revelation.

Assuming the revelation is factual that he is going to contest in the forthcoming presidential election, what are his chances of securing the needed numbers to emerge as the president again? Walk with us as the Nigerian Tracker’s political correspondent, Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa, unravel the puzzle with political analysts:

Political Analysts Unraveled The Puzzle

Dr. Kabir Sufi, a political analyst, was asked if Good luck Jonathan would attract votes from regions beyond his if he decides to contest in the forthcoming presidential candidates and he responded that for the fact that his call to contest again is coming from another region(North), there’s every likelihood that he will enjoy votes from other regions:

“His candidacy would attract votes from other regions apart from the south south, especially from the three regions in the north where the call is coming from.”

On his chances of negatively affecting the opposition potency to truncate Tinubu’s re-election bid, Dr. Sufi analysed that unless the coalition leaders and Jonathan himself rally round a single candidate to race with the ruling party in the forthcoming election, the opposition votes would be split and that would automatically give president Tinubu the win:

“It’s obvious that he would contest under the platform of his own party, PDP. And if that happens while the ADC and SDP field their candidates, there’s definitely going to be vote split which would automatically make president Tinubu to win the election.”

Furthermore, Dr. Sufi disclosed that Jonathan’s candidacy would be appealing to the electorates, especially the conservative politicians due to his style of politics:

“Many people find him appealing because of his mild personality and his non involvement in a do-or-die politics. Definitely, that would boost his chances.”

The analyst noted that people’s perception of Azikiwe Jonathan since his rumored candidacy has been the ‘wait-and-see’ strategy:

“Well, there are a lot of uncertainties in the forthcoming presidential election, but since the rumor about his candidacy, people have adopted the ‘wait-and-see’ strategy to see under which platform he will contest, his running mate, and among other factors.”

In an engagement with another seasoned analyst, Nasiru Danjuma Yunusa, he, like Dr. Sufi, was of the opinion that Jonathan would definitely enjoy the support of other regions aside his:

“Yes, he would attract supports from other regions beyond the South South.”

In his response to Good luck Jonathan’s candidacy affecting the chances of the opposition coalition against Tinubu, Mr. Nasir buttressed thus below:

“Yes, he would affect their chances against Tinubu, except that they adopt him as the sole candidate, the race would be unhindered for the incumbent president.”

The analyst also noted that his role in peace building across the country and beyond is another element that would add to his chances of coming out appealing to the Nigerian populace.

But then, Mr. Nasir remarked that Nigerians should not expect anything different, as he would not do anything different from the present administration:

“Though, Nigerians should not expect any better treatment if he decides to contest and then win eventually because, there’s nothing he can do differently.”

Voices From The Street Of Nigeria

Emmanuel Anuku, a Lagos State resident, recalled that one of Jonathan’s weaknesses was the exacerbated nature of corruption during his administration:

“It was during his administration we heard of numerous cases of money laundering. Though it has been happening since the history of Nigeria, but his was too much.”

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When asked if Jonathan’s candidacy would jeopardize Peter Obi’s chances of winning the election in the next presidential election, Emmanuel responded that it will considering the fact that they are from the south region:

“To be accurate, his candidacy would truncate Peter Obi’s chances because the supporters of the later from the south south region who voted for him during the 2023 election will not again do that if their brother is in the race.”

He continued, “Nigerians have been yearning for Jonathan’s days in the office as the president considering his policies targeted towards livelihood which went extinct immediately Buhari took over. So, his decision to come back will be a setback for Obi. But if they decide to go consensus wise, with Good luck Jonathan stepping down for or supporting Peter Obi, such unity will give Obi the win.”

Taking into cognizance the administration of former president Jonathan, AbdulMajid Bello, a Kogite who resides in Zaria, Kaduna State, also noted that the former president faulted so badly in the security architecture of the country:

“The economy was actually stable during the administration of former president Jonathan. Food prices were stable unlike the current administration that everything has gone bad.”

“But, his major weaknesses were high rate of corruption and insurgency which made Nigerians to vote him out,” he added.

Mr. Bello also pointed out that with the system of electioneering manipulations in the country at the moment, Jonathan doesn’t have any chance of winning if he should contest. On that note, he was asked if he will vote for the former president if the rumor turns out to be true and he responded, with affirmation:

“I will definitely vote for him.”

The respondent also posited that Ebele Jonathan has the support of the north more than Obi if he decides to contest. Buttressing further to express how strong Jonathan’s candidacy would be, he predictably assured that the votes from the south would be shared equally between the two.

Interacting with another respondent, Nazir Kashim, also a Kogite but Abuja based, he applauded the former president deducing from his managerial style of the nation’s economy during his tenure:

“Good luck Jonathan actually managed the economy very well during his tenure. The level of poverty then was very low compared to now which is very bad.”

He continued, “But the issue of insecurity birthed by the Boko Haram insurgency that almost wiped out Borno State gave his administration a serious blow which made it easy for the APC to come into power.”

Mr. Nazir, while noting the achievements and setbacks of the former president, scored him 6/10.

When asked if he would cast his vote for Jonathan if he decides to contest in the forthcoming presidential election, Mr. Nazir dejectedly answered ‘No’:

“No, I won’t vote him!”

He remarked that Ebele Jonathan is politically weak, and too holy to be at the helm of affairs of this country; hence his reason why he would not cast his vote for him.

Abubakar Mohammed Kaffe, an indigene of Sokoto State, recalled and also extolled the former president on how he showed concern for welfarism and stable economy while in office while, at the same time, outlining his shortcomings:

“He actually boost the economy and showed concern for welfarism.”

“Basic needs for livelihood were subsidized during his tenure,” he continued.

“But just like the human being that we are, he faulted in some areas of which insecurity topped the list”

On his choice of casting his vote for the former president if he decides to run for the office again, Mr. Kaffe sat on the fence:

“It depends.”

When pressed to come out clear, he responded that the future is pregnant, and no one knows what might come as regards his decision to contest or not. And also for the fact that there are other contestants warming up for the moment to come, his choice of who to vote for remains undecided for now.

Interestingly, a Niger State indigene, Mahmoud Kudu Baba, while responding to the conversation, objected vehemently, the claim that the former president has made up his mind to contest again:

“It’s a blatant lie, and a propaganda obviously to fidget the opposition coalition.”

He claimed that it’s the handiwork of the mischievous players in the PDP camp who want to truncate the coalition’s triumph in the forthcoming election.

“Assuming it’s true, and he later contest, he will not win. Nigerians would not suddenly develop amnesia as to how he piloted the affairs of this country during his tenure because he conceded defeat in 2015.”

The potential re-entry of Goodluck Jonathan into Nigeria’s presidential race is more than just a political storyline; it is a pivotal variable in an already complex equation. While his esteemed international reputation as a peacemaker and his perceived gentle demeanor hold a unique appeal across regional divides, his candidacy ultimately presents a double-edged sword. On one hand, it embodies a promise of unity and non-combative politics. On the other, it threatens to fracture the opposition and inadvertently pave an easier path for the incumbent’s re-election.

The analyses of Dr. Sufi and Mr. Nasir converge on a critical point: Jonathan’s impact is entirely contingent on the strategic cohesion or lack thereof among the opposition parties. The prevailing “wait-and-see” attitude among the electorate underscores that his intentions alone are not enough; the platform, the alliances, and the running mate will ultimately define his viability.

Therefore, the question remains unanswered. Will Goodluck Jonathan be the catalyst that unites a fractured opposition, or will he become the spoiler who splits the vote? For now, the nation watches and waits, as the gentleman peacemaker from Otuoke holds the cards that could redefine the 2025 political showdown.

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Akpabio Drops Law Suits Against Natasha, Others in the Spirit of New Year Sermon

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

In a move prompted by a New Year’s spiritual reflection, Senate President Senator Godswill Akpabio has instructed his legal team to withdraw all pending defamation lawsuits against a number of individuals, saying he was moved by counsel during a New Year Mass.

Speaking at Sacred Heart Parish in Uyo on Thursday, Akpabio disclosed he had initiated close to nine separate defamation cases against individuals over allegations he described as false and damaging.

“I had almost nine cases in court against some individuals who defamed me, who lied against me, who slandered my name,” Akpabio stated.

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“But I listened to the priest and suddenly realised he was talking to me, so I hereby direct my solicitor to withdraw all lawsuits against them.”

The decision brings to a close several high‑profile legal confrontations from the past year.

Most notably, Akpabio had filed a ₦200 billion defamation suit against Senator Natasha Akpoti‑Uduaghan after she accused him of sexual harassment—an allegation he denied and challenged her to prove in court.

Earlier in 2025, Akpabio’s wife also initiated defamation proceedings against Akpoti‑Uduaghan for claims she said tarnished the family’s reputation.

The rift between the two senators deepened when Akpoti‑Uduaghan accused Akpabio of orchestrating her suspension from the Senate in March 2025, following her public allegations of misconduct.

She had herself previously filed a ₦100 billion defamation suit against Akpabio and others over remarks she claimed harmed her reputation.

With Thursday’s directive, Akpabio has formally ended all ongoing defamation‑based litigations, marking a conclusive step away from these widely publicised legal battles as the new year begins.

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End-of-Year Special: Major Events That Shaped 2025 in Politics, Power Shifts and High-Profile Deaths

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

Year 2025 birthed numerous events that sparked controversies, debates, and anxieties in Nigeria. It also marked initiations and implementations of strategic decisions by various institutions.

Among these events, as compiled by the Nigerian Tracker News, are some notable ones enlisted below:

The month of January for the year 2025, on the 18th, recorded the fuel tanker explosion near Suleja, Niger State. The gruesomely tragic moment claimed the lives of 86 people killed and 70 others injured.

The month also marked the beginning of the Telecom Tarrif Hike journey in Nigeria. The Nigerian Communication Commission(NCC) approved 50% tarrif increase for telecom operators which sparked public rejection.

In February, the country witnessed series of backlashes between the camps of the former Head of State, Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida, and the household of the Late General Sani Abacha.

The tumultuous period was as a result of the book written by General Babangida entitled: “A Journey in Service.”

In the book, the retired General acknowledged the shortcomings of his regime in their orchestration against the late Abiola not to be installed as the next civilian president for the nation after a successful election which had him as the winner. General Babangida annulled the election and arrested the late Abiola.

However, in that book he launched in February 20, 2025, after expressing remorse for his action, Babangida claimed Abacha, his then-chief of defence staff, led the forces behind the annulment decision.

But in a statement issued by Mohammed Abacha, the late general’s son, the family described Babangida’s claims as a “deliberate distortion of historical facts”.

The family accused Babangida of attempting to rewrite history, urging Nigerians to be wary of “revisionist narratives” that shift responsibility away from those truly accountable.

In Nigeria, the month of February for the year 2025 was filled with stories surrounding the trio: Babangida, MKO Abiola, and Abacha.

Moving forward in the month of March, the country further witnessed another round of drama in its political sphere.

On the 6th of March, 2025, the Senator representing Kogi Central, Natasha Akpoti Uduaghan was suspended for six months following accusations of sexual harassment and abuse of office against the Senate President.

While rigorous exercises of law suits from both parties is still ongoing, the embattled Senator resumed seating in the house in September after expiration of her suspension.

Also, the month of March for 2025 bore the suspension of the Rivers State Governor, Siminalayi Fubara, by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu on the 18th.

President Tinubu imposed a six-month suspension on the Rivers State government and appointed a caretaker governor, Vice Admiral Ibok-Ete- Ibas(rtd).

Although the President cited unaddressed attacks on oil pipelines which had led to unrest in the state as reason behind the suspension, the real issue was the leadership tussle between Wike and the governor, Fubara.

On 10th March, the country witnessed the resignation of the former Kaduna State Governor, Nasir Ahmad El-rufai, from the APC.

The development came as a shock to the Nigerian populace owing to the fact that he was a staunch supporter and advocate of the party. Following his resignation, he vowed to contribute to sending President Tinubu packing from the Villa in the coming 2027 president election.

Moreover, in April 2, 2025, the NNPC Board was dismissed by President Tinubu, marking the end of the then Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kolo Kyari, and the beginning of an era for the incumbent CEO, Bayo Ojulari.

The month of May, however, was ridden by killings and attacks that recorded about 20 persons being killed in Benue and 57 persons in Borno. There was also a record of devastating flood in Niger State, Mokwa, and Okrika in Rivers State.

On June 5 2025 the nation woke up to the announcement of the passing away of Former Minister of education,former NUC executive Secretary ,former minister of petroleum Professor Jibril Aminu.

Another high profile death was the passing away of the former chief justice of Nigeria Justice Muhammad Lawal Uwais on June 6th 2025.

Furthermore, in June 28, 2025, the nation received a shocking news of the passing of a renowned industrialist and philanthropist, Alhaji Aminu Dantata. He died at the age of 94, and he was buried in Madinah as per his wish.

Also, the Tax Reform Acts was signed into law in June 26, 2025. It introduced major changes in the Nigerian tax policy. The Tax Reform Acts will be effective January 1, 2026, including raising the VAT recovery for businesses and exempting small companies (turnover under ₦50m) from several taxes.

In July 2, 2025, the official unveiling of the African Democratic Congress(ADC) as the third force in the political landscape of the nation took place.

Opposition leaders namely: Atiku Abubakar, Peter Obi, Nasir Ahmad El-rufai, Rauf Aregbesola, David Mark, Aminu Waziri Tambuwal, and others, came together for the coalition.

Similarly in the very month of July, the sudden news of the death of the former President Muhammadu Buhari shook the nation. The late General, at the age of 82, died in London on 13th of July, 2025, after a brief illness.

He was flown back to the country and buried at his modest abode in Daura according to the Islamic rites.

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In the month of August, 23 to be precise, about 76 persons were rescued from gunmen following airstrike by the Nigerian AirForce in Kankara, Kastina State.

The month of September marked the resumptions of the suspended Senator Natasha Akpoti from the Kogi Central on the 23, and the Governor of Rivers State, Siminalayi Fubara, on the 19.

History, again, would have been written in the October month of 2025. The month was filled with issues spanning security breach and alleged coup plot against the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

It resulted into the arrest of 16 army officers linked to the coup plot in October 4, 2025, the raiding of houses of former Minister of State for Petroleum, Timipre Sylva, who was accused of funding the operation that would have led to the successful coup plot, and the dismissal of the service chiefs on 24th of the same month.

In the same month of October, on 9, the President, through his Special adviser on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga, announced the nomination of Prof. Joash Amupitan as the new INEC Boss after the expiration of tenure of Prof. Mahmoud Yakubu. He was later sworn in by the President in the State House on the 23, after facing a rigorous screening session at the Senate.

November month began with the U.S President Donald Trump’s pronouncement of Nigeria as “Country of Particular Concern.” In his tweet on X, on 1 November, Trump stated that Nigerian Christians are facing existential threat in the country as they are being killed discriminately by some Islamic radicalists. He further remarked that Nigeria is a disgraced nation, threatening to invade it with military action if the situation persisted.

The month of November was also marked by several cases of abductions of school children and attacks by bandits and terrorists.

The news of the abduction of 20 girls from Maga School broke the internet on the 17th of November, 2025.

Barely a week after the incident, another case of abduction was recorded in Niger State. Over 300 persons–teachers and school children–were abducted from the school in Papiri, Agwara local government area.

Attacks were recorded in most states in the North Central region of the country.

Similarly, the shocking news of a slain General of the Nigerian Army, General Uba Musa, Commander of the 25 Brigade, reeled the internet. HumAngle, an online news platform that focuses on insecurity, conflicts, and human reporting, narrated how the late General was ambushed by the ISWAP terrorists while on an operation with his troops along Wajiroko Village in Borno State. He was later executed on the 17th of November, 2025.

In the wave of all this, the then Minister of Defense, Abubakar Badaru, tendered his resignation letter. Although, reports have it that he was asked to step aside, but the presidency covered it up with resignation from him on health grounds which was announced on 1 December.

However, political activities took turns during the month as well as defections of politicians and divisions of parties into factions were also recorded.

Alhaji Atiku Abubakar formally joined the African Democratic Congress(ADC) on the 24th of November, 2025.

The month also recorded the sentencing of the separatist leader of Biafra, Nnamdi Kanu. He was sentenced to life imprisonment on the 20th of November, 2025, and sent to a correctional facility in Sokoto State.

Lastly, the Nigerian government under the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu thwarted the coup plot in Benin Republic on 7 December following a distress call by the democratically elected government to its fellow member countries in the ECOWAS.

President Tinubu sent military personnels to the country to restore normalcy in the midst of sudden junta action by some group of officers who are not pleased with the administration of the Benin’s incumbent President.

In other news, on 9th of December, some Nigerian military personnels on a mission to Portugal made an emergency landing in Burkina Faso. The government of Burkina Faso arrested the officers, citing trespasses on their airspace which they termed as “threat” to the sovereignty of their nation. Although, after series of diplomatic engagement by both countries, the officers were released and they continued their journey onward to Portugal.

The December month also recorded the most dramatic moment in the oil industry of Nigeria.

The President of the Dangote Group, Alhaji Aliko Dangote, on the 15th of December, 2025, accused the former NMDPRA Boss, Engr. Ahmed Farouk, of financial misconduct, including misappropriation of public funds and spending approximately $7 million—without a clear lawful income source—on the education of his four children at exclusive schools in Switzerland.

Dangote further alleged that Farouk undermined Nigeria’s domestic refining sector by colluding with international traders through the continued issuance of import licences. He submitted a petition before the ICPC on the allegations and the commission has summoned him to come for public presentation of documents that can prove him right.

In the midst of this pandemonium, the accused, Engr. Ahmed Farouk, resigned his position as the Chief Executive Officer of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority(NMDPRA).

The month also bore the outrage sparked by the denting narrative that accompanied the book launched by the family of the late President Buhari on the 17th.

The book entitled “From Soldier to Stateman: The Legacy of Muhammadu Buhari” was authored by Dr. Charles Omole. It had contributions from the late President’s family–wife and children.

Loyalists of the late President Buhari didn’t take it likely with the information divulged by the wife, saying it shows hypocrisy as it doesn’t give the deceased any chance of responses to the claims made by the wife in the book.

On the other hand, the Critics of the late Buhari opined that the revelations by the wife is a vindication of their view about him. Stating that the deceased was a fraud sold to the myopic citizens of the country.

Above all, the information provided by the book is a confirmation to the claim made by Nigeria’s sensational writer, Prof. Farooq Kperogi, who once mentioned that late President Buhari and his Wife, Aisha, were not in good terms before his demise.

To round the recap up, a bomb explosion occurred at Gomboru Market, Maiduguri, on Wednesday evening of 24th. The tragic incident happened in a Mosque during a Magrib prayer session. It recorded five lives lost and 35 others injured.

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Jonathan Urges Renewed Duty From Leaders, Citizens in New Year Message

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

Former President Goodluck Jonathan says citizens and leaders must match patriotism with a renewed sense of duty as Nigeria enters 2026.

In his New Year message to Nigerians, Jonathan said leadership at all levels must be rooted in service and guided by humility, integrity, and a sincere commitment to the welfare of the people.

“It is through shared responsibility, mutual respect, and steadfast dedication to the national interest that Nigeria can continue on the path toward stability and inclusive development,” he said.

While giving thanks for the gift of life and new beginnings, the former president described 2026 as “a year that invites hope and reflection”.

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Jonathan acknowledged that the outgoing year was marked by economic pressures and persistent insecurity, which, he said, tested the nation’s resilience and brought hardship to many families.

“The period behind us has not been without its trials. As a nation and as individuals, we have confronted economic pressures and persistent insecurity, challenges that have tested our resilience and, for many families, brought hardship and loss,” he said.

“These experiences remind us of the responsibility we bear toward one another and the importance of people-orientated leadership.

“Yet, even in these difficult circumstances, the enduring character of the Nigerian people has remained evident. Across our communities, we have continued to see courage, solidarity, and a quiet determination to persevere. Our shared values, our diversity, and our collective belief in a better tomorrow have sustained us through uncertainty.

“This spirit of resilience is one of our nation’s greatest strengths. It is the foundation upon which unity, peace, and lasting progress must continue to be built.”

He added that resilience remains one of the country’s greatest strengths and the foundation for unity, peace, and lasting progress.

“As we move forward into 2026, let us renew our commitment to the ideals that bind us together as one people,” the former president said.

“Patriotism must be matched with a renewed sense of duty by citizens and leaders alike. Leadership at all levels must be anchored in service, guided by humility, integrity, and a sincere commitment to the welfare of the people.

“It is through shared responsibility, mutual respect, and steadfast dedication to the national interest that Nigeria can continue on the path toward stability and inclusive development.

“I wish you and your families a peaceful, healthy, and fulfilling year ahead, and I pray that our nation advances steadily toward unity, justice, and shared prosperity.”

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