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Opinion

Seven Political Predictions of Musa Iliyasu Kwankwaso That Came True

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By Kabiru Inuwa

In today’s turbulent political arena, where many voices echo but only a few stand the test of truth, one name has emerged as a rare compass of foresight: Hon. Musa Iliyasu Kwankwaso. Known across the land as a man of political intuition, he has consistently made predictions that, like planted seeds, have blossomed into undeniable reality.

Some call it wisdom, others call it the gift of destiny, but whichever way one looks at it, he has proven to be a mirror of Nigeria’s unfolding political story.

Long before others found the courage, the lion who stood with Tinubu defended President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and his government. At a time when many abandoned ship, retreating into silence and fear, he stood firm, proclaiming that Tinubu had a structured plan that would eventually bring relief and benefits to Nigerians. Today, that boldness has become a badge of foresight.

Here are seven notable predictions he made that came true with striking accuracy:

 

1. Warning Against Kwankwasiyya’s Empty Promises
February 18, 2023 – Before the Kano Governorship Election

Even before the governorship elections, Musa Iliyasu Kwankwaso gave Kano people a piece of advice:

“Do not entrust your destiny to Kwankwasiyya. They will wreck your economy and shatter your markets.”

He cautioned them with a seriousness few dared to exhibit. Today, traders lament the collapse of businesses and markets, confirming that his words were not a mere political jab but a sober warning.

2. Exposing the Real Thieves in Kano Politics
March 12, 2024 – Kano

During a media interview, he made a bold declaration:

“Forget the noise. The real thieves in Kano politics are not from Ganduje’s administration. Time will prove it.”

Not long after, scandals surfaced in the NNPP-led Kano government: diversion of rice meant for the poor, disappearance of student scholarships, and billions missing without a trace. Even the presidency halted the supply of rice to Kano to avoid further theft. What many dismissed as political talk became undeniable fact, just as he had foreseen.

 

3. The Return of APC Defectors
April 7, 2024 – Kano

When NNPP secured victory through alleged manipulations, he calmly told journalists:

“These APC defectors who helped Kwankwasiyya win will return home. Mark my words.”

Indeed, figures like Kawu Sumaila, Kabiru Alhassan Rurum, and others found their way back to the APC fold. As he predicted, Kwankwasiyya proved not to be their true home.

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4. The Fall of Baffa Bichi
May 16, 2024 – Kano

Musa Iliyasu Kwankwaso also foresaw the dramatic exit of Baffa Bichi. He warned:

“Baffa Bichi will one day abandon Kwankwasiyya. Beware—he carries rotten eggs that will soon break and expose the stench.”

Soon enough, Baffa Bichi began openly speaking against Kwankwasiyya, threatening to expose the corruption he had witnessed. His actions confirmed yet another of Musa Iliyasu Kwankwaso’s predictions.

 

5. The Uncertainty of Political Loyalty
June 3, 2024

In a timeless piece of wisdom, he remarked:

“In politics, you never know who will stand with you tomorrow. Those you think are yours may betray you; those far from you may return.”

Events since then have underscored this truth. Nigeria’s political stage continues to shift, with alliances breaking and unexpected partnerships forming—exactly as he had warned.

 

6. Tinubu’s Food Intervention
July 22, 2024

At the height of food scarcity, when citizens rushed to hoard grains, the lion who stood with Tinubu offered clear advice:

“Do not waste your money stockpiling food. President Tinubu will soon provide abundant supply.”

Many ignored him, even borrowing from banks to hoard food. When government supplies later flooded the market, they suffered heavy losses. Those who listened were spared the pain. Once again, his foresight proved true.

 

7. Tinubu’s Landslide Victory and the El-Rufai Factor
September 6, 2025 – Interview with DCL Hausa

Most recently, Musa Iliyasu Kwankwaso predicted with certainty that President Bola Ahmed Tinubu would secure another term in office, winning the 2027 election by a landslide. He dismissed the opposition as weak and ineffective:

“Let me tell you, Zaharaddeen, wallahi, the opposition is full of lies. All their rallies are pretenses. President Tinubu is far stronger than them.”

He described the movements of Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi as nothing more than a “political graveyard,” he said.

At the same time, he took aim at former Kaduna Governor Nasir El-Rufai, who had suggested Tinubu could be toppled using the same 2015-style propaganda that unseated Goodluck Jonathan:

“El-Rufai and his allies claim they will defeat President Tinubu by exploiting insecurity and northern discontent. But they are deceiving themselves. Nigerians are already convinced by the reforms Tinubu has introduced to stabilize the country.”

This forecast has cemented his reputation as a bold, controversial political calculator whose words repeatedly align with unfolding realities.

 

Beyond his predictions, he emphasized the need for unity within the ruling party, warning against internal divisions that could weaken the APC:

“My appeal is simple: let us unite and abandon unnecessary internal conflicts. If we come together, defeating the Kwankwasiyya movement will be easy. Personally, I have no political enemies. My only desire is unity, because there can be no victory if we remain divided.”

As he wisely observed:

“Tsintsiya sili daya ba ta shara. A single broom cannot sweep, but when bound together, it clears even the toughest dirt.”

In politics, words often vanish like smoke, but the words of Musa Iliyasu Kwankwaso have become guiding flames. Each of his predictions, once ridiculed or doubted, has unfolded into reality.

In an era where politicians gamble with promises, his voice stands out as a rare compass of truth. To call him the “mirror of political destiny” is no exaggeration—it is a recognition of a gift that Nigeria’s political landscape can neither ignore nor deny.

 

 

Opinion

Your Excellency, the Governor of Kano State Engr. Abba Kabir Yusuf: Welcome to APC the People’s Party

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By Abbati Bako,psc,bsis,mti,Kent,UK, former special adviser on public affairs to former Governor H/E Ganduje

It is with a heart full of joy and a spirit of unity that we welcome a true son of Kano State Engr. Abba Kabir Yusuf into the fold of the APC, the people’s political party and the largest political party in Africa.

Governor Yusuf, an‑engineer by profession and the elected leader of our great State since May 2023 has already made a lasting imprint on Kano State. Sir, thanks.

His bold intention to declare a state of emergency on education allocating a remarkable 30 % (more than 26% of prescription by UNESCO) of the state budget to schools has turned the tide for countless children of downtrodden to be educated and enlightened. From solar‑lit streets that brighten our nights to a N50,000 monthly support for 5,200 women entrepreneurs to cushions economic precarity, his initiatives echo the APC’s vision of a prosperous future, inclusive of the benefits of former councillors in the 44 LGA of Kano State. Also, the benefits of pensioners which have not been paid a long time ago. I’m sure that the next special advisers’ benefit will be on the line.

Hence, the countless roads construction and rehabilitation at both metropolitan and rural areas has been going on without delay. Your Excellency, these gigantic policies by His Excellency have been the same with the central government under His Excellency President Bola Tinubu.

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The APC, under the steadfast guidance of Chairman Prince Abdullahi Abbas and the former national chairman His Excellency Dr. Abdullahi Umar Ganduje, has repeatedly affirmed its readiness to receive Governor Yusuf “with open arms”. This invitation is not a political maneuver but a sincere call for unity, reconciliation, and collective responsibility values that will combine our strengths for the progress of Kano State and the entire nation. Take note that today Nigeria is on the way to political, economic and social reforms under President Bola Ahmed Tinubu as Nigeria will be on the same pathway with other economic emerging markets of the Global Southern Hemisphere.

As we extend this warm embrace, we also look forward to the synergy of your seasoned leadership and the APC’s grassroots energy. Together, we shall:

*Strengthen our education sector, ensuring every child has a desk, a book, and a future especially on science, technology and innovation

*Boost agriculture, healthcare system, transport, security and strengthen women‑empowerment programmes that lift families out of poverty. Drive infrastructural development that lights up our streets and connects our markets. And again, this writing and understanding that there’s the need to create “New Kano” as has been done in other nations like Brazil, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Nigeria and other developing nations of the world.

Governor Yusuf, your presence today is a testament to the power of partnership and with that Kano State will be the next commercial centre of Africa. We pledge to walk hand‑in‑hand with you in APC, to build a Kano that shines brighter than ever before the creation of the State in 1967. With your presence in APC the election year of 2027 will be a work over in Kano State and the nation at large.

Thank you, and welcome home!

Abbati Bako,psc,bsis,pl.sc,political strategy and communications consultant and care taker chairman former special advisers to former Governor Dr. Abdullahi Umar Ganduje

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Opinion

The Price of Betrayal: How History Caught Up with Kwankwaso

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Kwankwaso

 

By Dr Usman Sarki Madobi

Political power rarely collapses overnight. More often, it unravels slowly, weighed down by history, memory, and the quiet reckoning of past actions. The steady decline of Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso’s once-formidable political dynasty in Kano is best understood not as coincidence or bad luck, but as political payback. It is a reminder that in politics, as in life, those who help you rise matter, and the cost of betrayal is eventually collected.

Kwankwaso did not emerge in a vacuum, his political journey was shaped, guided, and sustained by mentors and allies who believed in his potential long before he became a household name. Among them was the late Senator Hamisu Musa, a crucial figure in Kwankwaso’s early political career. Hamisu Musa mentored him, opened doors, and helped him establish the contacts necessary to enter the House of Representatives before contesting the governorship at later time, and without such foundational support, Kwankwaso’s rise would have been far more difficult. Yet, history records that this alliance ended in bitterness, with both men eventually standing on opposite sides due to what many viewed as Kwankwaso’s betrayal. The same pattern repeated itself with other political benefactors such as late Musa Gwadabe and Engr. Magaji Abdullahi, both of blessed memory who invested their time, trust, and political capital in Kwankwaso. However, instead of being rewarded with loyalty or respect, they were sidelined when their interests no longer aligned with his ambition.

Perhaps the earliest and most symbolic fracture was with Abubakar Rimi. Rimi, being a political heavyweight, expected to play the role of godfather and chief conductor of the Kwankwaso administration and this was not unusual in Nigerian politics, where senior figures often guide protégés from behind the scenes. Kwankwaso, however, asserted his independence and insisted on running the government himself. While this stance earned him admiration from some quarters, it also marked the beginning of a reputation for political ingratitude and intolerance of shared power. Rimi’s eventual withdrawal of support was not just personal; it signaled to others that alliances with Kwankwaso were conditional and expendable.

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Moreover, the rivalry between Kwankwaso and Alhaji Musa Gwadabe further deepened this narrative. Both of them were influential figures within the PDP in the early 2000s, and their conflict over party leadership, candidacies, and control of the party structure became one of Kano’s most defining political battles. Allegations that Kwankwaso sought Gwadabe’s removal from ministerial office only reinforced perceptions of intolerance and power consolidation. What could have been managed as internal party disagreement instead became another chapter in a growing list of broken relationships.
Ironically, at his lowest point, when Rimi, Musa Gwadabe, and Dangalan distanced themselves due to what they described as Kwankwaso’s political excesses and constant crises, one man stood firmly by him. Ambassador Aminu Wali became the only leader among the Kano PDP conveners that remained loyal, and helped Kwankwaso during the turbulent times. History, however, shows that even such loyalty did not translate into lasting trust, as Kwankwaso later fall out with many who once defended him against the odds.

The Ganduje episode provides perhaps the clearest illustration of history coming full circle. In 1999, Dr. Abdullahi Umar Ganduje won the PDP gubernatorial primaries but was persuaded by party stakeholders to accept Kwankwaso as his running mate in the interest of unity. Years later, when Ganduje became governor in 2015, Kwankwaso attempted to exert control over his administration. Ganduje’s refusal to submit led to a dramatic and bitter split. Today, critics argue that Kwankwaso is repeating the same controlling approach with Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf, reducing him to a political puppet in pursuit of personal interests again, at odds with the wishes of many in Kano State.

Recent defections within the NNPP appear to be the final confirmation of a long-standing pattern. The departure of figures such as Hon. Aliyu Madakin Gini, Hon. Kabiru Alhasan Rurum, Secretary to the Kano State Government Dr. Baffa Bichi, and other key stakeholders is widely seen as vindication for those who left Kwankwaso years earlier. Leaders like Dr. Abdullahi Umar Ganduje, Alhaji Rabiu Suleiman Bichi, Arch. Aminu Dabo, and others had warned of Kwankwaso’s autocratic and self-centered leadership style long before it became publicly undeniable but Kwankwaso remained adamant.

In the end, the collapse of Kwankwaso’s political dynasty is less about external opposition and more about internal erosion. A movement built on personal control rather than mutual respect cannot endure. The ladder that lifted him was kicked away rung by rung, not by enemies, but by the memories of those who felt used, discarded, and betrayed.

Politics never forgets. And in Kano, history has finally returned the favor.

*Usman Suleiman Sarki Madobi, Ph.D.*

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Opinion

OPINION: The Seniority of Barau Jibrin and the Political Reality of Kano APC

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Senator Barau

​By Ibrahim Aliyu Karaye

 

​The political atmosphere in Kano State has recently been thick with rumors and “jubilations” regarding the potential defection of Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf from the NNPP to the All Progressives Congress (APC). While some elements within our party are celebrating this as a strategic move to “block” certain ambitions, it is crucial to temper this excitement with a dose of hard political reality. In the hierarchy of power and party leadership, some seem to have forgotten that the APC is a party of order, respect, and established leadership.
​First and foremost, it must be stated clearly: Senator Barau Jibrin is not just a member of the APC; he is the No. 5 Citizen of Nigeria and the Deputy President of the Senate. By virtue of this high office, he is the highest political office holder from Kano State. In the eyes of the National Leadership and the Presidency, Senator Barau remains the most influential political leader and the primary point of call within the Kano APC fold—take it or leave it.
​To those busy jubilating with the belief that a serving governor’s arrival will truncate Senator Barau’s 2027 aspirations, we see you. We are fully aware of the “secret romance” many of these detractors have maintained with the NNPP since the 2023 elections. These elements, who were neither here nor there during our party’s hours of need, now believe they can dictate the terms of engagement. However, they should realize they are not part of the top-level decision-making process. When the time comes for high-level negotiations regarding any return or defection to the APC, it is Senator Barau Jibrin, along with other elected party leaders, who will facilitate the process. Your “paymasters” will likely find themselves waiting on the balcony while the real decisions are made inside.
​Senator Barau Jibrin has proven himself to be a patient, focused, and strategic leader. He is not in a desperate hurry to realize his political dreams. While others play “spoiler” games, he is busy building the party, recently facilitating the defection of high-ranking NNPP officials into the APC. The APC is a big tent, but no one should mistake a new entry for a takeover. Senator Barau remains the primary gatekeeper of the party’s interests in Kano, and those celebrating his perceived “setback” should save their tears for later. The future of Kano APC will be negotiated by those who have stayed loyal, led by the Deputy President of the Senate himself.

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​Ibrahim Aliyu Karaye
APC Member, Kano State
ibrahimkaraye27@gmail.com

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