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Special Report :Goodluck Jonathan’s Potential 2027 Presidential Contest: Analysts Say His Return Could Unite or Divide Nigeria’s Opposition

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

Ebele Jonathan, since his gentlemanly exit from the Villa in 2015, coupled with his peace building efforts in countries like Cote D’Ivoire, Mali, Kenya, and the rest, has managed to earn himself reputation beyond the country.

Consequently, the Sunhak 2025 peace prize award was given to him; solidifying his contribution to peace building and conflict resolution over the years across the globe. The gentleman has been identified with ‘water’, as it is known to have no enemies.

In what looks like a plot twist in the Nigeria’s political terrain, while the country has its gaze fixated on the coalition leaders and the ruling party for a showdown in the forthcoming presidential election, an anonymous personality revealed that this gentleman has considered running for the office one more time. Although no confirmation has been made from the former president himself on the matter, but it’s concerning that the anonymous personality is said to be a political associate of him, and he keeping mum ever since the revelation.

Assuming the revelation is factual that he is going to contest in the forthcoming presidential election, what are his chances of securing the needed numbers to emerge as the president again? Walk with us as the Nigerian Tracker’s political correspondent, Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa, unravel the puzzle with political analysts:

Political Analysts Unraveled The Puzzle

Dr. Kabir Sufi, a political analyst, was asked if Good luck Jonathan would attract votes from regions beyond his if he decides to contest in the forthcoming presidential candidates and he responded that for the fact that his call to contest again is coming from another region(North), there’s every likelihood that he will enjoy votes from other regions:

“His candidacy would attract votes from other regions apart from the south south, especially from the three regions in the north where the call is coming from.”

On his chances of negatively affecting the opposition potency to truncate Tinubu’s re-election bid, Dr. Sufi analysed that unless the coalition leaders and Jonathan himself rally round a single candidate to race with the ruling party in the forthcoming election, the opposition votes would be split and that would automatically give president Tinubu the win:

“It’s obvious that he would contest under the platform of his own party, PDP. And if that happens while the ADC and SDP field their candidates, there’s definitely going to be vote split which would automatically make president Tinubu to win the election.”

Furthermore, Dr. Sufi disclosed that Jonathan’s candidacy would be appealing to the electorates, especially the conservative politicians due to his style of politics:

“Many people find him appealing because of his mild personality and his non involvement in a do-or-die politics. Definitely, that would boost his chances.”

The analyst noted that people’s perception of Azikiwe Jonathan since his rumored candidacy has been the ‘wait-and-see’ strategy:

“Well, there are a lot of uncertainties in the forthcoming presidential election, but since the rumor about his candidacy, people have adopted the ‘wait-and-see’ strategy to see under which platform he will contest, his running mate, and among other factors.”

In an engagement with another seasoned analyst, Nasiru Danjuma Yunusa, he, like Dr. Sufi, was of the opinion that Jonathan would definitely enjoy the support of other regions aside his:

“Yes, he would attract supports from other regions beyond the South South.”

In his response to Good luck Jonathan’s candidacy affecting the chances of the opposition coalition against Tinubu, Mr. Nasir buttressed thus below:

“Yes, he would affect their chances against Tinubu, except that they adopt him as the sole candidate, the race would be unhindered for the incumbent president.”

The analyst also noted that his role in peace building across the country and beyond is another element that would add to his chances of coming out appealing to the Nigerian populace.

But then, Mr. Nasir remarked that Nigerians should not expect anything different, as he would not do anything different from the present administration:

“Though, Nigerians should not expect any better treatment if he decides to contest and then win eventually because, there’s nothing he can do differently.”

Voices From The Street Of Nigeria

Emmanuel Anuku, a Lagos State resident, recalled that one of Jonathan’s weaknesses was the exacerbated nature of corruption during his administration:

“It was during his administration we heard of numerous cases of money laundering. Though it has been happening since the history of Nigeria, but his was too much.”

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When asked if Jonathan’s candidacy would jeopardize Peter Obi’s chances of winning the election in the next presidential election, Emmanuel responded that it will considering the fact that they are from the south region:

“To be accurate, his candidacy would truncate Peter Obi’s chances because the supporters of the later from the south south region who voted for him during the 2023 election will not again do that if their brother is in the race.”

He continued, “Nigerians have been yearning for Jonathan’s days in the office as the president considering his policies targeted towards livelihood which went extinct immediately Buhari took over. So, his decision to come back will be a setback for Obi. But if they decide to go consensus wise, with Good luck Jonathan stepping down for or supporting Peter Obi, such unity will give Obi the win.”

Taking into cognizance the administration of former president Jonathan, AbdulMajid Bello, a Kogite who resides in Zaria, Kaduna State, also noted that the former president faulted so badly in the security architecture of the country:

“The economy was actually stable during the administration of former president Jonathan. Food prices were stable unlike the current administration that everything has gone bad.”

“But, his major weaknesses were high rate of corruption and insurgency which made Nigerians to vote him out,” he added.

Mr. Bello also pointed out that with the system of electioneering manipulations in the country at the moment, Jonathan doesn’t have any chance of winning if he should contest. On that note, he was asked if he will vote for the former president if the rumor turns out to be true and he responded, with affirmation:

“I will definitely vote for him.”

The respondent also posited that Ebele Jonathan has the support of the north more than Obi if he decides to contest. Buttressing further to express how strong Jonathan’s candidacy would be, he predictably assured that the votes from the south would be shared equally between the two.

Interacting with another respondent, Nazir Kashim, also a Kogite but Abuja based, he applauded the former president deducing from his managerial style of the nation’s economy during his tenure:

“Good luck Jonathan actually managed the economy very well during his tenure. The level of poverty then was very low compared to now which is very bad.”

He continued, “But the issue of insecurity birthed by the Boko Haram insurgency that almost wiped out Borno State gave his administration a serious blow which made it easy for the APC to come into power.”

Mr. Nazir, while noting the achievements and setbacks of the former president, scored him 6/10.

When asked if he would cast his vote for Jonathan if he decides to contest in the forthcoming presidential election, Mr. Nazir dejectedly answered ‘No’:

“No, I won’t vote him!”

He remarked that Ebele Jonathan is politically weak, and too holy to be at the helm of affairs of this country; hence his reason why he would not cast his vote for him.

Abubakar Mohammed Kaffe, an indigene of Sokoto State, recalled and also extolled the former president on how he showed concern for welfarism and stable economy while in office while, at the same time, outlining his shortcomings:

“He actually boost the economy and showed concern for welfarism.”

“Basic needs for livelihood were subsidized during his tenure,” he continued.

“But just like the human being that we are, he faulted in some areas of which insecurity topped the list”

On his choice of casting his vote for the former president if he decides to run for the office again, Mr. Kaffe sat on the fence:

“It depends.”

When pressed to come out clear, he responded that the future is pregnant, and no one knows what might come as regards his decision to contest or not. And also for the fact that there are other contestants warming up for the moment to come, his choice of who to vote for remains undecided for now.

Interestingly, a Niger State indigene, Mahmoud Kudu Baba, while responding to the conversation, objected vehemently, the claim that the former president has made up his mind to contest again:

“It’s a blatant lie, and a propaganda obviously to fidget the opposition coalition.”

He claimed that it’s the handiwork of the mischievous players in the PDP camp who want to truncate the coalition’s triumph in the forthcoming election.

“Assuming it’s true, and he later contest, he will not win. Nigerians would not suddenly develop amnesia as to how he piloted the affairs of this country during his tenure because he conceded defeat in 2015.”

The potential re-entry of Goodluck Jonathan into Nigeria’s presidential race is more than just a political storyline; it is a pivotal variable in an already complex equation. While his esteemed international reputation as a peacemaker and his perceived gentle demeanor hold a unique appeal across regional divides, his candidacy ultimately presents a double-edged sword. On one hand, it embodies a promise of unity and non-combative politics. On the other, it threatens to fracture the opposition and inadvertently pave an easier path for the incumbent’s re-election.

The analyses of Dr. Sufi and Mr. Nasir converge on a critical point: Jonathan’s impact is entirely contingent on the strategic cohesion or lack thereof among the opposition parties. The prevailing “wait-and-see” attitude among the electorate underscores that his intentions alone are not enough; the platform, the alliances, and the running mate will ultimately define his viability.

Therefore, the question remains unanswered. Will Goodluck Jonathan be the catalyst that unites a fractured opposition, or will he become the spoiler who splits the vote? For now, the nation watches and waits, as the gentleman peacemaker from Otuoke holds the cards that could redefine the 2025 political showdown.

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At MAN AGM In Kano, Manufacturers Throng Dangote Pavilion Over ‘Peoples IPO’

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From Left: Alh Sabo Wada of the Kano Fire Service; Dangote Group Representative Abdulrazak Sambajo, Mr. Isah Musa of the VIO Office Kano, Mr Kassim Ibrahim Zonal Director, NAFDAC; Jonh Samuel Zonal Technical of the Dangote Cement Plc, Halima Muhammad, Dangote Feertiliser Limited and Ebaje Noah Dangoye of NASCON (Dangote Salt & Seasoning) at the 54th KANO-Jigawa MAN AGM Wednesday.

 

 

 

Manufacturers under the aegis of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) thronged the Dangote Group’s pavilion at the exhibition to seek information and clarification on the ongoing Public Initial Public Offering (IPO) of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP).

The three-day Annual General Meeting (AGM) of the Kano-Jigawa Branch of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), the 54th in the series, ended on Thursday, with the Dangote Group’s representative hosting participants and engaging manufacturers who expressed keen interest in the ongoing Initial Public Offering (IPO) of the Dangote Refinery.

The Dangote Refinery Peoples’ IPO offers Nigerians and other eligible investors an opportunity to buy shares in the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals, thereby becoming part-owners of one of Africa’s largest industrial projects and participating in its future growth.

The Dangote Refinery IPO runs from 14 September to 13 October 2026.

Dangote Industries Limited is one of the sponsors of the 54th MAN AGM.

Earlier, in his opening remarks, the Chairman of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), Sharada/Challawa Branch, Alhaji Nura S. Madugu, highlighted the mounting burden of multiple taxes, levies and charges on manufacturers, warning that the situation is increasing the cost of doing business and undermining the competitiveness of local industries.

Madugu urged the Kano State and Federal Governments to ease the tax burden on manufacturers and accelerate efforts to harmonise taxes and levies imposed on businesses.

He particularly decried the practice of double and multiple taxation, which he said continued to place additional financial pressure on manufacturers already grappling with high energy costs, inadequate infrastructure, expensive financing, insecurity, foreign exchange challenges and unfair competition from imported goods.

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“We are especially concerned about instances of double and even multiple taxation, where the three tiers of government impose what is essentially the same levy under different names and different guises. This practice places our products at a serious disadvantage in their constant competition with imported goods, a disadvantage made worse by the high cost of alternative power supply and the volatility of the foreign exchange rate.

Madugu reminded the meeting of MAN’s enormous contribution to the society and provide employment to thousands of Nigerians, as well as participating actively in tax revenue generation for the country.

“We provide employment to thousands of Nigerians. We participate actively in tax revenue generation for the states and the federation through the deduction of Value Added Tax on our products, the remittance of Pay-As-You-Earn on behalf of our staff, and the payment of Withholding Tax, Education Tax, Tertiary Education Tax, Company Income Tax, and a whole host of other levies too numerous to mention individually. Beyond taxation, we also discharge our Corporate Social Responsibility diligently to the communities in which we operate.

“Even though what we receive in return remains modest, we continue, in strength and in good faith, to serve this nation and to hold up its economy. We do this because we believe in Nigeria and in Kano State. But it must be said plainly,” Madugu added.

In his remarks also, MAN Chairman, Bompai/Jigawa Branch, Mohammed Bello I. Umar, appreciated the association’s members for their resilience, commitment and continued investment in the Nigerian economy despite the difficult operating environment.

He pointed out that the meeting provides the members of the association with an opportunity to reflect on its activities, review the challenges confronting their businesses, acknowledge the progress they have made, and chart a stronger course for the future of manufacturing in the country.

However, he said, the members must acknowledge that manufacturing remains under serious pressure.

He highlighted that the high cost of energy, multiple taxes and levies, inadequate infrastructure, high financing costs, insecurity, foreign exchange challenges and unfair competition from imported goods continue to affect our competitiveness.

“One issue that requires our collective attention is the importation of contraband and substandard goods. These products undermine local manufacturers who invest heavily

“Reliable and affordable electricity remains one of the most important requirements for industrial development.

He however welcomed the ongoing electricity reforms and efforts by the Kano State Government and the State House of Assembly towards establishing a more effective electricity framework for the State.

He called for the swift implementation of reforms that will create a more reliable, competitive and affordable electricity market for industries.

He noted that manufacturers continue to provide employment, generate wealth, support local communities and contribute significantly to government revenue in production, employ Nigerians and comply with government regulations.

“We must therefore stand together and call for stronger enforcement at our borders and markets.

He urged the relevant government agencies to intensify the fight against smuggling, counterfeiting and the importation of goods that compete unfairly with locally

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NLC President Ajaero: It Is Wrong to Negotiate Minimum Wage Without Minimum Pension

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The President of the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC), Comrade Joe Ajaero, has called for the simultaneous negotiation of minimum wage and minimum pension, saying it is wrong for government and organised labour to focus on workers’ wages without addressing the welfare of retirees.

Ajaero made the call while speaking at the National Pre-Retirement Summit, held at Shehu Musa Yaradua centre in Abuja where he raised concerns over the declining purchasing power of retirement savings and pensions as a result of inflation and other economic challenges.

According to the NLC President, the experience of retirees over the years has demonstrated the need for workers and policymakers to consider what happens to employees after they leave active service.

Ajaero said the depreciation of the value of money means that savings made during a worker’s active years could lose significant purchasing power by the time the worker retires.

He explained that a worker who saves ₦1 million at a particular period could find that the real value of the savings has substantially declined over time because of inflation and the rising cost of living.

“It is wrong for us to start negotiating minimum wage without negotiating minimum pension,” Ajaero said, stressing that retirement benefits must be treated as an important component of workers’ welfare.

The NLC President said the objective of the summit was to examine ways of protecting workers from falling into poverty after retirement, particularly by ensuring that pension contributions and retirement savings are effectively managed.

Ajaero said pension fund administrators and other stakeholders in the pension industry must ensure that workers’ contributions are preserved and managed in a manner that protects their value against economic depreciation.

He said the challenge facing retirees goes beyond the amount accumulated in their pension accounts, arguing that the real value of such funds must also be considered in the face of inflation and increasing living costs.

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According to him, the purpose of the discussion should be to develop mechanisms that would enable workers to enjoy a reasonable standard of living after retirement instead of becoming financially vulnerable when they leave active service.

Ajaero also questioned the adequacy of the existing provision allowing retirees to make a 25 per cent withdrawal from their retirement savings, saying such an amount may not provide sufficient financial support for retirees facing the realities of life after employment.

The NLC President called for consideration of mechanisms that would allow retirement contributions to serve as collateral for accessing funds, particularly for retirees who want to establish or manage businesses.

He argued that allowing workers to leverage their retirement savings as collateral could provide them with access to capital while preserving the broader objective of retirement security.

Ajaero said retirees who have acquired skills and experience during their years of service should be supported to use those skills to remain economically active after retirement rather than being left without adequate means of livelihood.

The labour leader also linked the removal of fuel subsidy to the declining purchasing power of pensioners, saying rising transportation and living costs can make existing pension payments inadequate.

Ajaero explained that a pensioner receiving ₦30,000, for instance, could face serious difficulties meeting basic transportation and other expenses when the cost of fuel and other essential commodities rises.

According to him, pension policy must therefore take inflation into account so that pension benefits do not lose their purchasing power as the cost of living increases.

He called for pension investments and benefits to be reviewed in line with prevailing inflationary trends, arguing that the value of retirement income should be protected against sustained increases in prices.

Ajaero further urged the National Pension Commission (PenCom), pension fund administrators and other policymakers to establish stronger channels of communication with workers and contributors.

He said workers who make regular contributions to pension schemes should have opportunities to interact directly with regulators and policymakers so that their experiences and concerns can influence decisions affecting the pension system.

The NLC President said such interaction would enable policymakers to better understand the challenges faced by contributors and retirees, particularly those struggling with the effects of inflation and the rising cost of living.

Ajaero said the labour movement would continue to advocate policies that protect workers not only during their active years but also after retirement, stressing that retirement security should remain an integral part of labour negotiations.

He said the discussions at the National Pre-Retirement Summit were therefore aimed at finding practical solutions to the challenges confronting workers and retirees and preventing poverty in old age.

The NLC President maintained that a comprehensive approach to workers’ welfare must cover both minimum wage during active employment and adequate pension after retirement, saying the two issues should not be treated separately.

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Prof Yusuf Adamu Delivers BUK’s 63rd Professorial Inaugural Lecture, Reflects on Medical Geography and Academic Legacy

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Professor Yusuf M Adamu delivering the lecture

 

By Abbas Yushau Yusuf

Professor Yusuf Adamu, a scholar of Medical Geography at Bayero University Kano (BUK), has delivered the university’s 63rd Professorial Inaugural Lecture, reflecting on his academic journey, research, mentorship and contributions to the development of health and medical geography.

Professor Adamu delivered the lecture under the theme, “Putting Health and Disease in Place: My Story and Legacy,” where he traced the evolution of his interest in geography, his transition into medical geography and the research contributions of his students and collaborators.

Speaking during the lecture, Professor Adamu described medical geography as a sub-discipline of geography concerned with understanding the spatial dimensions of health, disease and healthcare, noting that scholars in the field are sometimes known by different professional descriptions.

According to him, human beings should be regarded as citizens of the world from the perspective of physical and natural processes because health and disease are influenced by the environments in which people live.

Professor Adamu said BUK has emerged as an important centre for the study and development of Medical Geography, attributing the progress to sustained research, teaching, mentorship and collaboration among scholars and students.

Reflecting on his childhood and early intellectual development, the professor said his earliest geographical thoughts were connected to ideas about heaven and earth, before his interest gradually expanded to physical geography and the natural environment.

He said he remained fascinated by physical geographical features, including landforms, rivers and valleys, which later contributed to the development of his broader interest in the relationship between people, places and health.

Professor Adamu also recalled that his father worked with the World Health Organisation (WHO) between 1967 and 1970, saying his early exposure to health-related issues contributed to the intellectual environment that shaped his later academic interests.

The professor said his academic journey also took him to Ibadan, where he produced his first research paper on Dakin Duhu, or “The Dark Room,” while his Master’s research focused on eclampsia, a serious pregnancy-related medical condition.

Speaking on his research into maternal health, Professor Adamu explained that maternal morbidity and mortality should not be treated as fixed phenomena because their patterns can change across time and locations.

He cited data from his research to illustrate fluctuations in maternal health indicators, noting that figures recorded in 1992 were different from those recorded in 1993, demonstrating the importance of examining health conditions spatially and over time.

According to him, his research also examined the differences between urban and rural health challenges, including issues surrounding eclampsia and anaemia epidemics.

Professor Adamu argued that health geography must move beyond a narrow concentration on hospitals and healthcare facilities to examine the wider social, environmental and economic factors that influence people’s health.

He said gender analysis should also form an important part of health geography, while challenging researchers to examine how social and spatial conditions affect men and women differently.

On his role as an academic mentor, Professor Adamu disclosed that he had supervised more than 200 undergraduate students during his career and had also supervised seventeen PhD students between 2010 and 2026.

He said some of his doctoral students had expanded their research beyond conventional health geography, working on subjects including depression and anxiety, medical tourism and other emerging areas of health research.

Professor Adamu said his philosophy of mentorship was centred on producing competent medical geographers who could eventually conduct independent research and mentor others.

He described himself as a demanding supervisor, saying his students were aware of his high expectations, but added that he also gave them choices, made himself available to them and provided access to his office at virtually all times when they needed academic guidance.

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The professor said he also referred students to experts in specialised areas whenever such external expertise was necessary, adding that compassion remained an important part of his relationship with students.

Professor Adamu paid tribute to the late Zainab Bello, one of his students who worked on low vision, describing her contribution as part of the academic legacy of the students he had mentored.

He said his collaborative research network had continued to grow, adding that he had worked with 16 students on published research papers as part of his effort to expose young scholars to collaborative academic research.

According to him, the ultimate measure of mentorship is not simply the number of students supervised but the quality of work produced by those students and their ability to become independent researchers and mentors themselves.

Professor Adamu said many of his former students had now begun producing independent research, with some focusing on diseases such as malaria and meningitis.

He described the work as part of a sustained research tradition, stressing the importance of building academic capacity that would continue beyond the careers of individual scholars.

The professor also spoke about the development of a school of Medical Geography in Kano, describing it as part of the continuing institutionalisation and expansion of health and medical geography research in the North.

Looking into the future, Professor Adamu outlined the vision and prospects of health and medical geography, saying the discipline has an important role to play in identifying health problems and understanding their geographical distribution.

He noted that marginalised communities should not be regarded as simply missing from health statistics, but should be deliberately identified and studied to understand the factors responsible for their exclusion from healthcare and other social services.

Professor Adamu highlighted the practical value of medical geography, including the identification of disease hotspots, analysis of access to obstetric care, modelling and the use of empirical studies to support better understanding of health challenges.

He called on medical geographers to intensify their research and ensure that their findings contribute to solving real-world health problems.

The professor said the fight against disease had not yet been won, but maintained that researchers and policymakers were now better equipped to locate disease patterns, understand their causes and develop approaches capable of addressing them.

In his welcome address, the Vice-Chancellor of Bayero University Kano, Professor Haruna Musa, described Professor Adamu as a scholar who had spent more than three decades teaching, researching and contributing to the development of the university.

Professor Musa said the inaugural lecture provided an opportunity for Professor Adamu to showcase his intellectual journey and contributions to academia, adding that the professor was not only an academic but also a poet and novelist.

The Vice-Chancellor called on other professors who had not yet delivered their inaugural lectures to take advantage of the opportunity, saying the university was working to revive its culture of professorial and academic lecture series.

According to Professor Musa, the university would continue to organise lectures and other intellectual programmes that would provide opportunities for academics to share their knowledge and research with the wider university community.

Also speaking, the Dean of the Faculty of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Professor Abdulaziz Raji, described Professor Yusuf Adamu as a distinguished scholar whose academic career had made significant contributions to the university and the field of Medical Geography.

Professor Raji said Professor Adamu was born in March 1968 in Katsina and progressed through his academic career before attaining the rank of professor in 2010.

He said Professor Adamu’s academic development was strengthened by his international scholarship at the University of Alabama in the United States, where he studied from 2001 to 2003 under a Fulbright scholarship programme.

Professor Raji said the professor’s academic and mentorship contributions had helped produce a large body of scholarly work, with his students and collaborators contributing to more than 230 publications.

He added that Professor Adamu himself had produced more than 135 publications, including over 40 works written in Hausa, demonstrating his contribution to both international scholarship and scholarship accessible to local audiences.

The dean said Professor Adamu’s body of work reflected a career that combined teaching, research, mentorship, international collaboration and engagement with issues affecting communities.

The inaugural lecture therefore provided an opportunity for the university community, academics, students and invited guests to reflect on the evolution of Medical Geography at BUK and Professor Adamu’s contribution to the discipline.

Professor Adamu’s lecture also underscored the importance of continuing research into the geographical dimensions of disease, healthcare access and the social and environmental factors that shape health outcomes.

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