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How Eminent Nigerian Economists Warned Against Current Economic Hardship

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President Bola Ahmad Tinubu

By Abdullahi Dahiru

There is nothing of the current economic hardship we are witnessing that some eminent Nigerian economists have not predicted. Two former CBN governors Charles Soludo and Sarki Sanusi have repeatedly warned previous governments against some poor economic policies that were the major causes of the economic problems we are witnessing now.

President Obasanjo performed credibly well. In 2005, Nigeria’s foreign debt was $36billion. He secured a debt relief of about $18 billion from international creditors like the Paris and London clubs after settling over $12billion. Then Nigeria’s foreign reserve started growing up.

President Yaradua built the foreign reserve to all time high of $60billion. Nigeria’s foreign debt under him was less than $3billion.

Nigeria started accumulating foreign debt again under President Jonathan. At that time the then CBN governor Sanusi started drawing the attention of the government to that. He recommended removal of fuel subsidy and drew the attention of the government to the leakages in Nigeria’s oil company NNPC. He accused NNPC of not remitting all the money Nigeria was getting from the sale of crude oil into government coffers. That nettled the then President Jonathan who accused Sanusi of insubordination and ‘financial recklessness’ as CBN governor. Sanusi was subsequently removed from the office of CBN governor for blowing the whistle on corruption in NNPC.

Buhari became President when Sanusi was already Emir of Kano. Buhari continued to borrow money from foreign creditors. Sarki Sanusi repeatedly advised Buhari’s government against collecting foreign loans. He recommended the removal of petrol subsidy. He cautioned the CBN against surpassing the recommended 5% of previous year’s revenue as ways and means advances. He cautioned CBN against printing money without revenue to back it. Again, that became a problem for him. The Kano state and federal governments accused him of public criticism of government economic policies instead of private advice to the President and senior government officials. When Kano state government was trying to remove him from the throne of emir of Kano, the federal government looked the other way since one of its critics was going to be punished. Some federal agencies were even utilized for that purpose.

Buhari inherited foreign debt burden of $7.3billion and it ballooned to over $40billion under him. He was borrowing money to fund him government and pay petrol subsidies. The debt burden under Buhari was so outrageous that almost all earnings of the government goes into servicing debts. Government was servicing debt and taking more loans similar to what Hausa people call ‘biyan bashin daddawar kauye’.

President Obasanjo went after governor Alamasheigha who was arrested in London airport for laundering foreign currency and subsequently jumped bail from a British court. Alamasheigha was subsequently impeached. When governor Ganduje was seen in a video collecting kickback from contractors, what did Buhari did? He did nothing. Corruption became so pervasive under him that CBN staff forged his signature to siphon money. There were many other cases of monumental heists under him but yet he did almost nothing to either punish the offenders or stop the haemorrhage.

When Tinubu became President he announced removal of petrol subsidy and liberalization of foreign exchange. Nigeria was thrown into further economic turmoil.

Now some Nigerians especially many Northerners are accusing the advocates of the economic policies of Tinubu administration as the people that recommended government to throw them into the current economic hardship because of their ‘insensitivity’ and ‘capitalistic’ mindsets. These people are saying why not the experts recommend tackling of corruption as a remedy? Didn’t Sanusi lose two coveted positions for blowing the whistle on corruption? The first case was his accusation that NNPC was not remitting money from the sale of crude oil. The second case was his opposition to Kano state governor Ganduje taking $1.8billion loan to construct a light rail in Kano metropolis.

I am not trying to shield Tinubu from criticism of his economic policies. The truth is that he inherited a bad economy from several years of mismanagement. What are his options? I really don’t know.

The truth is that Nigerian scenario is similar to a person that sustained a fracture in the leg. He went to a traditional healer who unskillfully repaired it. The leg became gangrenous. Any sound orthopaedic surgeon will recommend amputation of the gangrenous leg. The leg was amputated. The amputee then blamed the orthopaedic surgeon for his travails not his previous decision.

Opinion

Exposing the fraud in NASS budget-Jaafar Jaafar

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By Jaafar Jaafar

In an unprecedented budget fraud, the National Assembly has appropriated N370 billion on running costs, contingency, vague and duplicated projects for the Senate and House of Representatives in the 2024 Appropriation Act.

I’m not talking about the hundreds of billions of naira padded in other ministries, departments and agency, but what they budgeted for their welfare and running of the National Assembly.

In the N370 billion NASS budget, the lawmakers duplicated projects and created new, unnecessary projects that increased the budget from N170billion in 2023 to N370 billion this year.

In budget (under Statutory Transfers ), the NASS budgeted 36,727,409,155 for the National Assembly Office; N49,144,916,519 for the Senate; N78,624,487169 for the House of Representatives; N12,325,901,366 for the National Assembly Service Commission and; N20,388,339,573 for Legislative Aides.

A senator recently told me that each of them (and members of the House of Reps) is entitled to five aides, while the four presiding officers (Senate President, Speaker and their deputies) have at least 3,000 aides. In total, you are talking about over 5,000 aides!

Despite the foregoing, the NASS budgeted N30,807,475,470 for “General Services” and N15billion as “Service-Wide Vote” – known in administrative parlance as “contingency” or “security vote”. The NASS never had anything like service-wide vote in the past as “service-wide vote” is always exclusive to the Executive arm. Insiders said this is a clear case of budget padding as the purpose for the huge appropriations are vague.

Even the retired clerks and perm secs (despite receiving their pensions) are not left out in this public funds buffet as they got N1.2billion padded for them.

Apart from padding the intangibles, the NASS will spend N4billion to build recreation center; about N6billion to furnish committee rooms for the two chambers and; another N6billion to build car parks for senators and members (don’t ask me whether they lack any parking space).

And despite this, the lawmakers padded N30 billion in the FCDA budget for “Completion of NASS Chambers” and N20billion for “completion of NASS Service Commission”! In the same budget, the lawmakers set aside another N10billion (under NASS budget) for the completion of National Assembly Service Commission building! How did this happen? No be juju be dis?

Still hungry to devour public resources, the avaricious parliamentarians budgeted another N3billion for the “Upgrade of NASS Key Infrastructures”. How come? What about the N30billion budgeted for “Completion of NASS Chambers”?

NASS Library Complex, named after President Tinubu’s Chief of Staff, Femi Gbajabiamila, got N12billion as take-off grant and another N3billion for purchase of books.

Like other institutions under NASS, the National Institute for Legislative and Democratic Studies got N9billion without clearly stating how or where the resources will apply to. The same institute also got another N4.5billion (is this ‘jara’?) for completion of its headquarters.

Despite the dedicated powerline and powerful generators backing up power supply in the National Assembly, the lawmakers budgeted N4billion to install solar power system. I guess this will give them a reason to pad billions for the purchase of batteries every year.

The committee that superintended this butchery of public resources, the Appropriations Committees of the Senate and the House of Reps, got N200m each for a job well done.

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Opinion

Workers’ Day and The Nigerian Workers In Perspective

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By AbdurRaheem Sa’ad Dembo

Every 1st of  May workers celebrate their day globally .It is always a day of reflection, celebration and emancipation of workers around the world.

In Nigeria,May Day as a holiday was first declared by the People Redemption Party (PRP) Government of Kano State in 1980.Afterwards it became a national holiday on May 1, 1981

Before venturing to restrict myself to Nigerian workers let me take a broad look at how May Day emerged in the world.Workers’ Day, stemmed in part, from an ancient European Spring festival,but its modern manifestations arise from the organised efforts of socialist and communist groups to establish a time for honouring workers and the working class.To be specific, the holiday was first promoted by the International Workers Association in 1904 to commemorate the slaughter of protesting labourers in Haymarket Square in Chicago ,United States of America in 1886 and it was to be a day to push for the eight-hour work day and other demands.

The date May 1st was chosen because,in the USA, the eighth- hour workday first came into effect on that date in 1886.It was predicated on the demands of the Federation of Organized Trades and Labour Unions.There was a general strike and a riot in Chicago in 1886, and eventually, the eight -hour workday was legally recognised.

Many people tend to attend the National May Day celebration in Abuja and other State capitals.The president or State Governors would be there as the case may be to make a speech, and thousand would fill the Eagle Square or state stadium to listen to the President or Governor.Some people attend number of other events that hold across Nigeria on May Day,organized by schools,labour unions,hospitals,and other various institutions.People use the day for relaxation since it is a public holiday.

In Nigeria,some people participate in nationwide marches and rallies on workers’ Day or Labour Day.More often their major concerns are usually to clamour for an increase in the minimum wage,an end to workers being left unpaid for months,the need for government action to address the high unemployment rates of recent years ,and the necessity for government action to address the high unemployment rates of recent years, and the need to move Nigeria off of over dependence on petroleum exports.

On a May Day in Nigeria, politicians and labour leaders will give out speeches on the strength and the challenges of Nigerian economy , and on how to improve it for the general good of the country.

It is significant to say that Nigerian workers both in public and private sectors are facing enormous challenges.The disparity in the salary structure and irregular payments of salary as witnessed before the coming of Buhari’s administration in 2015, where a lot of state Governors could not pay their workers for several months.

The Buhari administration ensured that bailouts were given to states to enable them offset their unpaid salaries to workers.That was a plus for the Daura man administration.

Meanwhile, President Tinubu’s administration has also sustained the legacies of prompt payment of workers salaries in the last one year.It is expected , because even as Lagos State Governor he had no history of owing workers.

In a larger context, welfare of Nigerian workers are not properly taken care of, most especially those in private sectors.There are situations where teachers in private schools are being paid peanuts as salaries,whereas the owners or proprietors charge the parents homongous school fees.This is not a hearsay I was once in that shoe as an English language teacher.

The area where the civil servants in both Federal and States are feeling the heats is the non regular payment of promotion arrears.According to sources some agencies under federal government are being owed promotion arrears since 2018.This is not a healthy practice, though some sources said the federal government has put the payment in batches and it is now being paid bit by bit.In some states the promotions are not even implemented let alone payment of its arrears

As Nigerian workers join others around the world to mark 2024 workers’ Day,it is expected that the ongoing negotiation by the federal government and labour leaders on new minimum wage will yield good results.

It is imperative to say that the Federal Government should fix the economy for the collective good and progress of the country.No minimum wage can ameliorate poverty, if there is consistent economic instability.

The level of inflation ravaging Nigerian economy is worrisome.Any minimum wage that is less than hundred thousand naira today won’t make any appreciable impacts in the lives of average Nigerian workers.

Essentially,Corruption can only be tackled effectively and holistically,if there is a reasonable living wage for the civil servants.You can’t fight corruption in a country where workers welfare and retirement package are relegated to the background.According to the human rights lawyer,Femi Falana ” corruption cannot be meaningfully fought by governments that pay poor wages to workers,owe workers and pensioners arrears.”

To the NLC and TUC leaders, providing sincere leadership is key to the quality ,emancipation and progress of Nigerian workers.Adam Oshiomhole was an example of a good labour leader in the history of Nigeria.He stood for the workers even in the face of oppression.So the current leaders should take a cue from his tireless comradeship for the benefit of Nigerian workers.

 

Nigeria is a blessed country and a land of prosperity; her workers have no reason for penurious lives.

Happy Workers’ Day

abdurraheemsaaddembo@gmail.com

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Opinion

Minimum Wage Increment: Be Proactive My Governor.

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Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf

 

By-Abba Hamisu Sani

1st of May every year is a special day for workers in Nigeria working with the government or with the Private sector.

The main issue ahead of this year’s celebrations is the expectation of the new minimum wage Increment.

President Bola Tinubu is expected to announce the new salary scale as Vice President Senator Kashim Shatima hinted recently that by the 1st of May, the new minimum wage will be ready for implementation.

Here I want to salute the courage exhibited by the Edo State governor Godwin Obaseki who has increased the minimum wage for workers in the state from 40,000 naira to 70,000 naira ahead of the 2024 Workers Day celebrations.

This prompted my attention to urge my state governor Abba Yusuf to follow the suit of Edo State governor in this direction.

Kano workers suffered a lot in the hands of the immediate past administration, ranging from different kinds of deductions which causes uncertainty on the amount to be collected by a worker and even pensioners every month.

Governor Abba if you do the same as Obasaki, the Kano people will be happy with you as it will boost the state economy and currency circulation.

It is very imperative at this time to be proactive and not wait for the Federal government announcement before taking your step in making Kano workers happy.

Infrastructural development is quite needed but at this time social security is the most critical as it has been said “A hungry man is an angry man”.

Workers’ salaries are too low to cater to their basic needs, such as food, rent, transportation, and school fees for their children while they see politicians cruising in jeeps and other expensive cars.

Finally, Governor Yusuf remember that these workers have sacrificed a lot during the 2023 elections to see that you emerged as Kano governor.

Is very important to consider their plight at this moment of critical economic hardship.

I urged all comrades in different forms of struggle including civil society Forum to join me in pushing the Kano State government to implement a new minimum wage in a dignified manner as the Edo State governor did.

Abba Hamisu Sani is a
Media Consultant /CEO Time Base TvAfrica & Africa Press.
Can be reached via timebasetv@gmail.com

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