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Don’t Trigger War On Niger Republic-Experts

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The Discussants

 

By Umar Hamisu Kofar Na’isa

It very dangerous to trigger war on Niger Republic because it will result in serious political and socio-economic consequences said Senator Shehu Sani.

 

Speaking as a discussant at a Roundtable Discussion on Niger Coup and ECOWAS Intervention: Perspective on Multi-sectoral implications for Nigeria organized by Mambayya House, Aminu Kano Center for Democratic Studies, Bayero University, Kano on Wednesday, 16 August, 2023. Shehu Sani opposed the use of Nigeria’s military to invade Niger Republic with the objective of regime change.

He added that, currently there are over half million of Nigeria’s nationales who have been displaced by Boko Haram, ISWAP and bandits in Northern Nigeria who are hosted in Niger Republic, therefore, Nigeria should not take the risk of triggering war on Niger Republic.

Senator Shehu Sani lamented that, the states that are bordering Niger Republic will come under heat in the event of war. He said the forum wishes brings into notice of both ECOWAS and AU that whenever democracy come under attack either through rigged election or violation of fundamental human rights or breach of the constitution, the duo remains silent. He also reiterated that, coup can only be prevented by making sure that our democracy is a game that is played according to law.

The radical activist and politician added that, the forum is to emphasized on the consequences of war and to state clearly that they are not in support of military rule and to also call on the cirizenry to continue to apply pressure on the government because it is clear that the government is under pressure from France and United States to initiate war, therefore, the government must be mounted with pressure to avoid going to war.

Senator Sani also commended the Senate of the Federal Republic of Nigeria over the rejection of President Tinubu’s proposal for military intervention in Niger Republic. He added that, “when you have a nation that is next to your border, any war will be catastrophic and disastrous to your own country, therefore if this war is triggered, you know when it start but you don’t know its end”.

He finally call for putting pressure on the junta to restore democracy not by switching off the light, but by other actions that will only affect the heads of the junta and support civil groups in Niger in order to restore democracy.

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In his presentation on economic implications of the proposed war, Dr. Abdusslam Muhammad Kani, an Economist with Sa’adatu Rimi University of Education, Kano said Nigeria is a key player in ECOWAS because the regional bloc is around four hundred million people and Nigeria is over half of the population of ECOWAS, so the war can lead to devastation in our trade and commerce relationships.

Dr. Kani added that, Nigeria is going to loose investors confidence because ideally, no investor that will invest in an economy which is under military intervention whereby it will lead to reduction in revenue as it witnessed a heightened inflationary pressure due to closure of borders with Niger Republic and other ECOWAS member states.

According to him one of the key implication is that Nigeria’s military defence budjet will be high which will add burden to the country’s debt profile, inflationary pressure leading to too much unemployment, poverty and diversion of the country’s scarce resources that should have been channeled education and other strategic sectors of the economy.

The economists recommended that peaceful dialog should be sustained to ensure peaceful resolution and to restore constitutional order in Niger Republic. He opined that military intervention is a violation of cardinal principles why ECOWAS is established with is promotion of economic integration or cooperation among West Africa.

Also speaking, Amb. Ibrahim Wayya, The President, Kano Civil Society Forum, KCSF stated that the governing system we are practicing in Africa is not really fit to the continent and its not commiserate to our own need and local content. He added that, the democracy that we copied and pasted from England and US is not working.

He further said up till now there are issues of election rigging and stealing the legitimacy of the elected ones and lots af criminality is been committed on the electoral process meanwhile the electoral umpire could not conduct election that is credible and acceptable.

In his address, the Director of Mambayya House, Professor, Habu Muhammad said the rationale behind organizing the Roundtable Discussion was to sensitize Nigerians particularly the Nigerian government about the sectoral implications waging war on a next door neighbour country like Niger Republic.

Professor Habu said it is wrong for ECOWAS to come overnight as a result change over of government which for the attention and perception of all participants, it is something that has to do with internal affairs and the regional bloc should not delve into the affairs of Niger Republic or even undertake military operation in the county.

The political scientist reiterates the need for becoming more conscious and decisive in terms of managing the the crisis through diplomatic processes. He added that these diplomatic and political processes are more constructive, far-reaching and realistic to undertake rather than military action.

The round-table discussion got the participants that cut across the academia, Women groups, Civil
Society Organizations (CSOs), Non-governmental Organizations (NGOs), professional groups,
Security agencies, Labour unions, public commentators, students and the media among others. Discussants and participants critically discussed the current developments in Niger Republic, its multi-sectoral implications for Nigeria and the unity of the ECOWAS. However at the end of the sessions, a communique is issued which stated clearly the resolution, and recommendations for Nigeria, ECOWAS and all other stakeholders at the international level.

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President Tinubu Adds Days to Working Vacation, Returns at Weekend

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu will return to Nigeria this weekend after extending his working vacation in Europe by a few days, the State House announced Monday evening.

The President departed Nigeria on August 30 for London to begin the working vacation, which was initially expected to last three weeks. According to a statement issued by Bayo Onanuga, Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, the President has since relocated to Paris, France, where he held meetings with French President Emmanuel Macron and businessman Mr. Vincent Bollore, whose media group includes Canal+, Multichoice, and Universal Music Group.

Despite his absence, the statement emphasized that President Tinubu has remained actively engaged with domestic affairs, particularly directing an independent panel to investigate the deaths of 37 illegal miners in Minna following their detention by the Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps.

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The President has delegated Vice President Kashim Shettima to represent him at official functions. However, Vice President Shettima departed Abuja on September 20 for New York to attend the 81st United Nations General Assembly. In his absence, Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Senator George Akume, will continue to represent the President at official engagements.

On the political front, the statement noted that Senator Abubakar Yari, Director-General of the Presidential Campaign Council (PCC), has been leading consultations with prominent traditional rulers across the country alongside other notable party leaders.

The extension comes as the President’s initial three-week vacation timeline elapsed, with the State House confirming he will now return to the country at the weekend.

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Court Adjourns El-Rufai’s N1 billion Suit Against ICPC, AGF, Police

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

The Federal High Court, Abuja Division, on Monday adjourned a N1 billion rights suit filed by former Governor of Kaduna State, Nasir El-Rufai, against the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPC) and others until October 27 for a definite hearing.

Others named in the suit are the Inspector-General (IG) of police and the Attorney-General of the Federation (AGF) as the second and third respondents, respectively.

Justice Joyce Abdulmalik adjourned the suit to allow counsel to the former governor, Akinyemi Aremu, to respond to the counter affidavit filed by the AGF opposing the claims.

When the case was called, Mr Aremu informed the court that the matter was scheduled for hearing.

Counsel for the AGF, Maimuna Lami-Shiru, however, told the court that the AGF had filed a counter affidavit.

She prayed the court for leave to move their motion seeking an extension of time to deem their counter affidavit as being properly filed and served.

El-Rufai’s lawyer, Mr Aremu; Ezekiel Rimamsomte, who appeared for the IG, and the ICPC counsel did not oppose the application, and the judge granted it as prayed.

Mrs Abdulmalik then adjourned the case until October 27 for a definite hearing.

Earlier in the suit, the ex-governor sued the ICPC, the chief magistrate at the Magistrate’s Court of the FCT, Abuja, the IG, and the AGF as first to fourth respondents, respectively.

He, however, dropped the name of the magistrate from the case following his inability to specify the name of the magistrate who was sued as the second respondent, after the judge made the observation.

Mr El-Rufai is, therefore, demanding N1 billion in damages against ICPC, the IG and the AGF.

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In an originating motion on notice marked FHC/ABJ/CS/345/2026, dated and filed February 20 by Oluwole Iyamu, SAN, the former governor sought seven reliefs.

He prayed the court to declare that the invasion and search of his residence at House 12, Mambilla Street, Aso Drive, Abuja, on February 19 at about 2:00 p.m. by the ICPC and IG amounts to a gross violation of the applicant’s fundamental rights.

He said it violated the dignity of the human person, personal liberty, fair hearing, and privacy under Sections 34, 35, 36, and 37 of the Constitution.

He urged the court to declare that “any evidence obtained pursuant to the aforesaid invalid warrant and unlawful search is inadmissible in any proceedings against the applicant, as it was procured in breach of constitutional safeguards.”

Mr El-Rufai, therefore, sought an order of injunction restraining the respondents and their agents from further relying on, using, or tendering any evidence or items seized during the unlawful search in any investigation, prosecution, or proceedings involving him.

He sought an order directing the first and third respondents (ICPC and IG) to forthwith return all items seized from the applicant’s premises during the unlawful search, together with a detailed inventory thereof.

He also sought an order awarding N1,000,000,000.00 (one billion naira) as general, exemplary, and aggravated damages, among others.

In its counter affidavit, the ICPC said it received a petition against Mr El-Rufai and, acting on it, commenced an investigation that led to the search at his residence.

It argued that its operatives acted under a valid search warrant issued on February 18 and executed on February 19 between 1:37 p.m. and 3:56 p.m. at 12 Mambilla Street, Asokoro, Abuja.

The commission said its officials were accompanied by Nigeria Police Force personnel and that the exercise was witnessed by Mr El-Rufai’s wife, Hadiza El-Rufai, and his son, Mohammed El-Rufai.

The ICPC, which urged the court to dismiss the suit, listed the items allegedly recovered from the residence.

The police, also in its counter affidavit deposed to by Ewa Anthony, argued that it had the statutory power to detect, arrest, investigate and prosecute offenders.

It argued that the search at Mr El-Rufai’s residence was carried out pursuant to a search warrant issued by a competent court of law.

The anti-graft agency disagreed with the ex-governor, insisting the search warrant was a genuine court order.

It said its officers who carried out the operation complied with all applicable legal procedures in executing the search warrant.

According to the police, the applicant is trying to use the honourable court to shield him from the security investigation and prosecution in court.

It, therefore, prayed the court to dismiss the suit in its entirety.

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Tinubu Becomes First Post-1999 Nigerian President to Miss Three Consecutive UNGAs

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

President Bola Tinubu has again delegated Vice President Kashim Shettima to lead Nigeria’s delegation to the 81st United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) in New York, marking the third consecutive year he has personally skipped the global summit since taking office in 2023.

The Minister of Information and National Orientation, Mohammed Idris, said on Monday that Tinubu is “currently on annual leave,” describing the delegation to Shettima as “neither unusual nor a diminution of the country’s diplomatic standing”. Idris insisted Shettima “carries the full mandate of the President and the Federal Republic of Nigeria” and will deliver the national statement.

However, the explanation has done little to quell public scrutiny. Tinubu last personally attended UNGA in September 2023 for the 78th session, shortly after his inauguration. He has since been absent from the 79th session in 2024, the 80th in 2025, and now the 81st in 2026—a pattern unmatched by any Nigerian president since the return of democracy in 1999.

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Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, through his media aide Phrank Shaibu, demanded a “full explanation,” arguing that three consecutive absences “could no longer be dismissed as coincidence or routine delegation” but constituted “a pattern of presidential evasion”. Atiku questioned whether Tinubu’s “documented history with United States law-enforcement agencies has become a burden on Nigeria’s foreign relations”.

At the centre of the opposition’s claim is a long-standing U.S. forfeiture case in which $460,000 was held in an account linked to Tinubu, after American authorities alleged the funds represented proceeds of narcotics trafficking or were involved in prohibited financial transactions. Atiku also questioned why the administration spent up to $9 million on American lobbyists to improve Nigeria’s standing in Washington while the President repeatedly stays away from New York.

The Presidency has not directly addressed the drug-case allegation. A ruling party chieftain, Olatunbosun Oyintiloye, dismissed the claims as “political propaganda,” noting that no U.S. court has reopened a criminal case or pronounced Tinubu guilty of drug trafficking.

Nigeria’s Permanent Representative to the UN, Jimoh Ibrahim, had earlier announced that Tinubu would attend and that a seat had been secured for him near U.S. President Donald Trump. That seat remained empty.

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