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Some Clarifications Ahead of 2023

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Ameer Abdul Aziz

 

By: Amir Abdulazeez

The primary elections of the two leading political parties, APC and PDP had come and gone. The dusts raised by the exercises across various states of the federation are yet to settle. As things are currently going, it is unlikely that the primary election appeal committees of both parties will adequately or significantly settle these dusts to the extent of amounting to a major change of the status quo. Afterall everything was clear, the contests were majorly a measure of financial power.

As usual, our attempts to digest the intrigues and expectations of the upcoming grand 2023 event has once again resulted to endless debates that often lead to more confusions than clarifications. Certain political dynamics cannot be adequately explained by simple analysis or even complex ones. This is truer for cases like Nigeria where deep insight is considered old fashioned, authentic information is always scarce and genuine narratives are always twisted.
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Ahead of the just concluded APC Primaries, many accused Yemi Osinbajo of being a traitor and betrayer by contesting against his benefactor Tinubu. However, few people will understand that only one out of a million people will go so close to the presidency like Osinbajo did without succumbing to the temptation of taking a shot at it. The cabal-theory notwithstanding, he is perhaps the Nigerian Vice President who was closest to the full privileges of the presidency in recent history. At a time, the Professor himself appeared like the next president in waiting. In sincere terms, Osinbajo may feel that running for the Presidency is more of an attempt to fulfil a destiny than betraying a godfather whose help he may not need any longer.

2023 And The Concomitant Credit Of Collaborating With Kwankwaso
May be, many have forgotten, the Vice President had at a time been an Acting President with virtually full Presidential powers. He is aware of people’s confidence in his competence and he quite knows that there are many factors against Tinubu’s candidacy. With the Southwest as the default region where APC will likely have its next candidate, it is only natural he (the second default candidate) tries his luck in case Tinubu (the default candidate) does not get the nod. If he doesn’t contest, how can he cash in on a Tinubu collapse? If he hadnt contested, his promoters would never have forgiven him. Now that he had contested, he knows the extents and limits of his political strengths which might have been hitherto exaggerated.
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Some analysts have accused Tinubu of trying to become President at all cost despite being sick and unstable. What we have forgotten is that, he had since 1998 invested almost 25 years of his life (and health) trying to reach this point and we all know he will need an ultimate reward at the end of it all. Now that the reward is within reach, only one out of a million people will back off over health challenges that are yet to prevent him from managing a public appearance. When he was making all those sacrifices and concessions, many of us did not bother to understand the larger picture of where he was heading to. If not for democracy, one will suggest that, the APC ticket shouldve been handed over to him unopposed
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Therefore, Tinubu has fought for long, he has been in the opposition all his life, he has helped build a new political order in Nigeria. Without him, power will still likely be with the PDP now and may be forever. It’s not his making that his health appears to be failing him at this moment of near fulfilment, but as a human he will continue believing his condition is good enough to manage him to the finish line. The Late President Ƴaradua’s situation in 2010 should teach us some lessons, that of Buhari in 2017 too. Tinubu is certainly not the best APC had on offer capacity-wise, but he is the most formidable, his political structure is out of this world. Win or lose, at least they have repaid a significant part of the debt they owe him.
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In the build up to the primaries, we all thought everyone was an enemy of the South east since the rest of Nigeria had refused to exclusively zone the presidency to the region. In his speech at the APC convention, Ogbonnaya Onu emotionally shouted for justice against the Igbo marginalization. If not for the APC and PDP Southeast delegates who proved the Igbos unpreparedness by refusing to vote for any of their kinsmen, everyone will simply be emotionally blackmailed. Besides, we have all seen how disorganized the Southeast aspirants were across both parties.

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In 2003 to 2010, the South east was considered a strong political bloc, but they wasted opportunity after opportunity to consolidate, instead they focused on ethnic and religious politics. Conceding the Presidency to the Southwest in 1999 was largely a Military arrangement executed against democratic principles. The southeast demanding same in a maturing democracy is quite difficult. In this era, no one will dash you the Presidency, you have to earn it.

Another aspirant is NNPP’s Rabi’u Kwankwaso whose critics accuse of being a local champion. However, his supporters insist on rating him higher than Atiku and Tinubu base on tangible track record. However, the debate is not as simple as it seems. The same scale cannot be used to measure Tinubu, Kwankwaso and especially Atiku as their political career paths are distinctively different. The truth is Kwankwaso is a national figure who has invested too much energy on local politics and that was why he was able to achieve what he has achieved. This has come with a price though because he has dominated and taken away all the local relevance that he couldve easily allowed his subordinates to coordinate, a feat that wouldve given him a Tinubu-like aura. At the end, he ends up fighting for crumbs with local people that makes him unavoidably more local than national.

What of Peter Obi? He appears to have more packaging than substance but, he is yet another litmus test for the Southeast. They feel denied, marginalized and short-changed. Their response should be a massive vote for him even if he may not win, they will succeed in sending a strong message ahead of 2027. However, there is a wiser option. They can use Peter Obi as bargaining tool with someone like Kwankwaso for example; form an alliance, challenge the red-cap man to deliver the Northwest zone while they offer southeast and see whether something will come out of it.

The bottom line is that we don’t need to be too much upset or over obsessed with anybody’s ambition, any region’s miscalculations or any party’s misdirection. There are so many choices in the political landscape which our myopia is hindering us from utilizing. For example, if you truly want an Igbo president, Labour party has fielded Peter Obi, if you want somebody whose hands is not shaking, NNPP has fielded Kwankwaso, etc. Quietly do the needful and enjoin others to do same. Give it try, the strong parties and candidates are only frontliners because you and me made them so.

Nigerian public discourse often makes complex political analysis look simple and simple political analysis look complex. And finally, we end up achieving no political analysis at all.

Twitter: @AmirAbdulazeez

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Abba Kabir Yusuf and the Politics of Strategic Realignment: Why the APC Option Makes Sense

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By Comrade Najeeb Nasir Ibrahim
Kano Concern Citizens for Good Governance

In politics, leadership is measured not by emotional loyalty to platforms, but by the courage to make strategic decisions that protect stability, relevance, and the collective interest of the people. Recent reports indicating that the Executive Governor of Kano State, Abba Kabir Yusuf, may defect from the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP) to the All Progressives Congress (APC) should therefore be assessed with political maturity rather than sentiment.

Kano State, Nigeria’s most populous state, occupies a critical position in national politics. Any political decision taken by its governor has implications far beyond party structures—it directly affects governance, development, and Kano’s bargaining power at the federal level.

The Political Reality Behind the Decision

Governor Yusuf emerged under the NNPP, largely supported by the Kwankwasiyya movement. However, evolving political realities—particularly internal divisions within the NNPP and increasing national realignments—have made the status quo difficult to sustain.

The open invitation extended by the APC, reportedly backed by key party stakeholders, reflects recognition of Governor Yusuf’s political weight. More significantly, indications that a large majority of NNPP lawmakers in the Kano State House of Assembly may follow him suggest that this is not an isolated ambition but a calculated collective shift.

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Why the APC Alignment Is a Wise Decision

First, alignment with the ruling party at the federal level enhances access to national resources, infrastructure funding, and policy collaboration. In Nigeria’s political system, federal-state harmony often determines the pace and scale of development. Kano cannot afford isolation at the centre.

Second, internal crises within the NNPP have increasingly become a distraction to governance. Political stability is essential for effective leadership. A move to the APC could consolidate political forces, reduce factional conflicts, and allow the governor to focus squarely on service delivery.

Third, with the 2027 general elections approaching, political foresight is essential. The APC’s nationwide structure, institutional depth, and electoral machinery offer a broader and more sustainable platform than a fragmented opposition party. This positioning strengthens both the governor’s future prospects and Kano’s influence in national decision-making.

Fourth, the move could contribute to building a wider northern political coalition—an important factor in shaping national leadership and policy outcomes in Nigeria.

Responding to the Critics

Critics frame the potential defection as a betrayal of loyalty to the Kwankwasiyya movement. While loyalty has its place, governance must always come before political sentiment. Political movements are vehicles for progress, not permanent constraints.

Others raise concerns about ideological inconsistency. However, Nigerian politics has long been shaped by strategic realignments. What ultimately matters is not party branding, but the ability to deliver dividends of democracy to the people.

Implications for Kano Politics

This moment represents a turning point in Kano’s political history. It signals a possible fragmentation of the Kwankwasiyya structure, a redefinition of long-standing political alliances, and a reshaping of opposition strength within the state. More importantly, it underscores early preparations for the decisive 2027 elections.

Conclusion

Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf’s reported move toward the APC should be seen as a strategic and forward-looking political decision, driven by the need for stability, development, and relevance in national politics. While the decision carries political risks, leadership often demands difficult choices.

History will ultimately judge this decision by its outcomes. If Kano secures greater development, stronger federal collaboration, and political stability, then this move will stand as a wise and timely decision made in the best interest of the people.

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Politics

Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf’s Defection:A Strategic Path To Peace,Development And Stability

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By Tijjani Sarki
Good Governance Advocate & Public Policy Analyst
31st December,2025

Politics, when stripped of emotions and partisan sentiments, is ultimately about results. The reported decision of Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf to align Kano State with the ruling party at the centre should therefore be examined from the standpoint of peace, development, security, and long-term stability, not mere party loyalty. When viewed objectively, this move holds strong potential to reposition Kano for inclusive growth and internal harmony.

KANO AND THE COST OF POLITICAL ISOLATION
Historically, Kano State has often found itself operating on a political wavelength different from that of the Federal Government. Across different eras PRP/NPN, ANPP/PDP, PDP/APC, NNPP/APC this misalignment has repeatedly come with consequences. Despite Kano’s enormous population, commercial dominance, and strategic importance in Northern Nigeria, the state has frequently complained of inadequate federal presence in key appointments, budgetary considerations, and flagship national projects.
Political isolation, whether real or perceived, has a cost. It limits access, weakens bargaining power, and fuels a sense of exclusion. Over time, this environment also breeds internal political tension, deepens factional rivalries, and distracts leadership from governance to constant political firefighting.

DEFECTION AS A TOOL FOR PEACE AND STABILITY
One often overlooked advantage of aligning with the ruling party is the reduction of political hostility between the state and the centre. When a governor enjoys smoother access to federal institutions and decision-makers, it lowers the temperature of confrontation and creates room for cooperation.

For Kano, this has direct implications for internal peace and security. Federal-state synergy improves intelligence sharing, strengthens coordination between security agencies, and enhances federal responsiveness to security challenges. In a state as politically vibrant and densely populated as Kano, stability is not optional it is foundational.

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Furthermore, internal political crises thrive where there is uncertainty and fragmentation. A clearer political direction and stronger centre-state relationship can reduce elite conflict, calm rival power blocs, and allow the government to focus on governance rather than survival.

DEVELOPMENT FLOWS WHERE ACCESS EXISTS
Development does not occur in a vacuum. While competence and vision matter, access and influence often determine which states attract federal projects, pilot programmes, and strategic investments. Aligning with the ruling party gives Kano a louder voice at the national table a platform to push for
Improved federal road and rail infrastructure
Expanded security and social intervention programmes
Increased representation in federal boards and agencies
Stronger consideration in national budgetary planning
Kano’s population size alone justifies greater federal attention. Its markets, agricultural value chains, and human capital make it a natural hub for industrial expansion. Political alignment enhances the state’s ability to convert these advantages into tangible outcomes.

SECURITY, INVESTMENT, AND SOCIAL CALM
Investors, both local and international, are drawn to environments of predictability and political stability. A Kano that enjoys harmonious relations with the Federal Government sends a strong signal of confidence. Improved security cooperation, reduced political friction, and steady policy direction all combine to create a more attractive investment climate, which in turn generates jobs and reduces social tension.
Relative peace is not merely the absence of conflict, it is the presence of opportunity.

When people see development projects, employment prospects, and functional governance, political agitation naturally declines.

KANO INTEREST FIRST THE REAL TEST
While the defection itself is strategic, its success will be measured by how well it is used. Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf must ensure that this political repositioning is not reduced to symbolism. Kano’s interest must come first always.
This means, Aggressively negotiating federal presence in Kano
Demanding recognition proportionate to Kano’s contribution to national life Prioritising security, youth employment, and infrastructure
Using access to power to unify, not polarise, the state

CONCLUSION: PRAGMATISM OVER SENTIMENT
In politics, stubborn isolation rarely produces progress. Strategic alignment, when done with clarity of purpose, can unlock peace, development, and stability. Governor Yusuf’s move should therefore be seen as a pragmatic response to Kano’s historical experience, not a betrayal of ideals.
If this opportunity is used wisely, Kano stands to gain relative peace, improved security coordination, stronger development outcomes, and a more stable political environment. The real task now is delivery.

History will not judge the governor by the party he joined, but by what Kano gained because of the decision.

Sarki write from Kano
Can be reached via responsivecitizensinitiative@gmail.com

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Politics

Kano 2027 : As DSP Barau Attracts Wider Endorsements

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By Abba Anwar

Multitude of groups are queuing up to make an official endorsement of the Deputy Senate President and First Deputy Speaker of ECOWAS Parliament, His Excellency, Distinguished Senator Barau I Jibrin CFR, for the 2027 Kano governorship position.

Impressed by his life saving interventions across the state, political groups, non political groups, urban-based, rural-based, semi-urban based, former elected officials, from the state, to local governments, down to wards levels, business community groups, students bodies and civil society groups, among others, have been trooping to the DSP to register their presence and loyalty.

Apart from the immediate past local governments chairmen, few weeks back, he got more endorsements from former chairmen of the 44 local government areas of Kano State, who served from 2003–2011 at his office in Abuja. The little fraction in the circle of the immediate past local governments bosses, after their endorsement of the DSP, didn’t discourage those who served between 2003 to 2011, anyway. Who are larger in size and upgraded in commitment.

The 2003 to 2011 loyalists were led by the former chairman of Tofa L.G. Hon. Garba Idris Unguwar Rimi, who also doubles as a former Commissioner during Dr Abdullahi Umar Ganduje’s reign. During the visit, they unanimously endorsed Sen. Barau for the 2027 Kano governorship. Making reference to his contributions to the people and the party All Progressives Congress (APC). They pledged full support for his victory.

From the higher circle of political actors, who also see reason in declaring their total and absolute support for the DSP’s gubernatorial race, former federal Legislators paid a solidarity visit to the Senator. The group was led by Hon Umar Sadiq, who represented Kumbotso Federal Constituency in the House of Representatives, between 1979 and 1983.

Among the former legislators, there are those who were at the House of Representatives twice or even thrice. And those who served during the second, third and current fourth republics They requested the Deputy Senate President, to transmit their message of solidarity to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, for his bid for the second term.

Hon. Mustapha Bala Dawaki, the Chief of Staff to the current APC National Chairman, was among the delegation. Another prominent lawmaker Hon Faruk Lawan, who represented Bagwai/Shanono of Kano State for 16 years, emphasized their unwavering commitment for ensuring the victory of President Tinubu and Senator Barau come 2027.

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The leader of the delegation said it point blank that, “We don’t have any candidate other than Senator Barau. Insha Allah, he is the next governor of Kano State. Senator Barau has been working like a governor – his track record of performance is outstanding. We, therefore, urge him to sustain his good work.”

Accepting their call with deep appreciation, DSP Barau acknowledged that, “This is my constituency as a member of the forum, and it is a thing of joy that you have queued behind the movement to rescue Kano State from the present misrule. This is a rescue mission.

It is the failure of leadership that pushed Kano State to the path of retrogression. Kano is being run like a private enterprise. We will not sit idly and allow things to continue deteriorating. It is not about you or me; it is about our state. Let us all work together to change the situation and utilise all resources for the benefit of all.”

Distinguished Deputy Senate President encourages that, “We are on a rescue mission.”

The delegation of the former federal lawmakers to the Senator, signifies his encouraging human management style. The way he manages decades of relationship, says a lot in his capacity as a leader.

Senator Barau is not only a fast lane to responsible political leadership and progressive governance, as an art and an institution, he is a democratic melting pot, where responsibility, eligibility, ingenuity, acceptability and availability are conjoined together for a better Kano.

His grassroots touch and glue-like atmosphere in democratic parlance create more corridors for real democratic foot soldiers, from the bottom of our society – our local governments – to internalize and institutionalize his genuine feeling for the state. Hence, their support and endorsements from left, right, and centre.

It is under this arrangement and political arithmetic that, the immediate past local governments Secretaries, from across the 44 local governments in the state, paid similar solidarity and endorsement visit to the DSP. Under the leadership of Abdullahi Tanko Yakasai.

Being the most qualified for the position, in their political choice and estimation, they assured him of their total support from their respective communities. Challenging that, they would not blow their trumpet, but the difference would be clear when the chips are down.

To display a deeper touch for the Senator’s bid for Kano gubernatorial seat, come 2027, another all-important group under the platform of an Association of Former Supervisory Councilors, who were in government from 1999 to the last reign of the former Governor in the state, were with the DSP, live and direct, as they endorsed his candidature.

To show how important and engaging the former Councilors were in connection to the endorsement, they were in Abuja in their hundreds. Assuring all that, they would do everything humanly possible to make sure that, DSP becomes governor come 2027 election period.

One important point to note is, all those paying solidarity visits to the Senator, they, at the same time, endorsed the candidature of President Tinubu, to run for a second term.

What surprisesd all during the Councilors solidarity visit, was when they disclosed to the Distinguished Senator that, when the time comes they would purchase gubernatorial Intent Form for him.

This alone speaks volumes of how he sits well in what can be described as Barau Comfort Zone.

Anwar writes from Kano
Sunday, 21st December, 2025

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