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Tinubu Colloquium:Ganduje Cajoling The Cynics To Peeve The President?

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President Buhari and Bola Tinubu

 

By Bala Ibrahim.

Barring any last minute changes, on Monday, March 29, 2021, President Muhammadu Buhari will chair the 12th colloquium to celebrate the 69th birthday of Jagaba, Chief Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the national leader of the All Progressives Congress, APC. The Tinubu Colloquium was conceived in 1999 by the close friends of the politician, who were obviously banking on the imperative of using such platform to stimulate and oil the machinery of capturing power in future.

Unlike how it was done in the past, where the lectures hold in one location, mostly Lagos, this time around, new dimension and direction have been added to the chase game, with the obvious intent of testing the waters, by cajoling the perceived adversaries of the President, to attempt the test of their strengths, preparatory to 2023.

According to sources, this year’s colloquium would hold concurrently in three places of three different states, viz: Lagos, Abuja and Kano, and the President will preside virtually over the events, which are organised by the office of the Vice-President, Chief Yemi Osinbajo, SAN. The theme of the colloquium is, ‘Our Common Bond, Our Common Wealth: The Imperative Of National Cohesion For Growth And Prosperity.

While no one is raising eyebrows about the event holding in Lagos or Abuja, there is a lot of cautious distrust on why Governor Abdullahi Umar Ganduje is hosting the event in Kano, in fact it’s billed to hold at the state’s government house. What has Tinubu’s birthday got to do with the government of Kano State, when Lagos, his state of residence and the one he governed before, is not hosting him to such event at the state house?

Pundits are perceiving an underhand purpose, tricky or questionably planned to bring together the President’s opponents, to commence the process of pulling the carpet off his feet, from Nigeria’s biggest reservoir of crude electoral votes. A plan to embarrass the president?

Of late, the relationship between PMB and Bola Tinubu has been a subject of suspicion and public discourse, just as the 2023 presidential election inches closer. It is an open secret that Tinubu is ambitious in succeeding Buhari as the next President of Nigeria, but some are of the believe that it is a dream that would not come to fruition, because of silent distrust. Prominent amongst those with this believe is Chief Ayo Adebanjo, a Tinubu’s kinsman and leader of the pan-Yoruba socio-political organisation, Afenifere.

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The question begging for answer now is, if Adebanjo is doubtful, why is Ganduje prayerful, and willing to use Kano state resources to bankroll the political agenda of a non indigene, against the interest of the presidency?

Yesterday, some papers went to the press with the story that there is a rift between President Muhmmadu Buhari and the national leader of the APC, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, a rumour the presidency described as the handiwork of mischief makers.

In a statement by the Senior Special Assistant to the President on Media and Publicity, Mallam Garba Shehu, which is widely believed as mere whitewashing, the presidency noted that one of the reasons cited by authors of the rumour was that Asiwaju Tinubu had not been frequently seen around President Buhari at the Presidential Villa in Abuja. It said, “The Presidency wishes to make it clear that there is no rift between President Muhammadu Buhari and his strong ally, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu. The President and the Asiwaju have a very strong commitment to the All Progressives Congress (APC) towards bringing change and this is a commitment they have made to the Nigerian people. If the Asiwaju is not a frequent face in the Aso Rock Villa, it is on account of the fact that he is not a cabinet member of this government. The fact that he is not every day around the Villa does not make him less of a friend to the President and this administration”, the statement said.

Since the shocking and infamous “Gandollar” scandal of 2019, and the woeful performance of the APC national delegation at the last Edo gubernatorial election, under the leadership of governor Ganduje, relationship between the governor and the presidency has been rusty, with speculations about Ganduje suspecting the hands of the presidency in his ordeal.

Only recently, he was quoted saying he would decisively deal with those behind the video, a threat that made one of the journalists that published the story to write an SOS letter to the IGP, seeking cover against any harm that may come his way from Ganduje.

Sources also said Ganduje had long marginalized members of the CPC faction from the affairs of his administration, a pointer to the belittling of the president’s members, in the alliance that gave birth to the APC amalgam.

Those who know Ganduje well accuse him of being the master of deception, because of the ease with which he projects pretext and falsehood. The regular, or frequent rash and derogatory remarks from his aides against the presidency, that only attract pretentious reproof from him, are cited as evidence of that distrust.

So in the light of this alliance with Tinubu, and the plan to deal with his perceived antagonists, would the Presidency go the Jafar Jafar way with Ganduje, or it would work on a different strategy?

Buhari may have his problem with the people of Kano, but I doubt if Ganduje is in a position to benefit from that, by attempting to cash in on such a misunderstanding, because he is equally neck deep in the anger book of the people. And cajoling the cynics may not necessarily help him to peeve the president.

Opinion

INEC, David Mark, And Coming Abachaian Coronation

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By Farooq Kperogi

With INEC’s overtly partisan, intentionally illegal, and possibly remote-controlled withdrawal of recognition for the David Mark-led ADC, Nigeria has officially reverted to full-on Abacha-era suffocation of even the wispiest pretence to competitive electoral politics.

Lawyers have said that the judgment of the appeal court, which INEC invoked as a convenient crutch to carry out a predetermined action, said the status quo should be maintained. In other words, the judgment says David Mark should remain the chairman of the ADC until the merit of the appeal has been determined.

However, it appears that INEC is in the know of what the final judgment will be and decided to jump the gun. Yet the INEC chairman is a professor of law and a SAN! He can’t even pretend to be neutral.

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It seems obvious that the ADC faction INEC will ultimately recognize, as I predicted in my column of two weeks ago, will be the faction that will merely be an extension of the APC, much like the PDP now is. They will either present dummy candidates or adopt Tinubu as their candidate, which is a distinction without a difference.

It is obvious that Tinubu wants a coronation, not a competitive election, in 2027. He is scared to death about a real electoral contest. We all know why.

Well, according to public records, it cost around ₦300–₦355 billion to conduct the 2023 presidential election. It is projected that it will cost almost ₦870 billion to conduct the 2027 election.

Why should Nigeria spend close to a trillion naira on a preset, make-believe, Abachaian coronation exercise? Let’s kuku cancel democracy and make Tinubu the supreme leader. At least we would save a trillion naira.

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El-Rufai/Uba Sani And Pantami’s Perceived Peace Of The Graveyard

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By Bala Ibrahim.

Yesterday was Sunday, a day recognized as the first day of the week, which in the Bible, holds supreme significance as the day of Jesus Christ’s resurrection. Some Christians call it the Lord’s Day. There are many interpretations given to show the significance of Sunday. But for the purpose of this article, attention would be given to the significance of yesterday’s Sunday, (29/03/2026), with special bias to the role it played in promoting reconciliation between parties and friends, as well as how, at the National Mosque, Abuja, the wall of religious divide was unconsciously demolished, as followers of different faiths scrambled over each other, in the competition for space to participate in the funeral rites of late Hajiya Umma El-Rufai, the deceased mother of Mallam Nasir El-Rufai.

By the Islamic tradition, when a Muslim dies, before he or she is taken to the grave yard, special prayers are offered on the deceased person’s body, at any convenient place, before proceeding to the cemetery. For late Hajiya Umma El-Rufai, the National Mosque Abuja, was the venue. And what happened there, is the prelude to this article.

If I say everyone that is anything in Nigeria was there, I think I am making an understatement. But that is not surprising, given the personal and political profile of the bereaved, who is Mallam Nasir El-Rufai. It may interest the reader to know that, among the early callers at the Mosque, were reputable Christians, with people like Peter Obi and Rotimi Amaechi, rubbing shoulders with Muslims, in the stampede to partake in the Islamic ceremonial practice. They know they don’t belong to the Islamic faith, but they want to share with Mallam Nasir El-Rufai, as an honour of solidarity, in the last rites given to his beloved mother. The duo of NSA Mallam Nuhu Ribadu and Governor Uba Sani were there face to face with El-Rufai. The atmosphere was solemn, sombre and clearly sorrowful.

Also present at the Mosque was Prof. Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami, former Minister and renowned Islamic cleric, who seized the opportunity to advance the imperative of reconciliation in Islam. He started in the Mosque and continued at the graveyard, to the extent of persuading El-Rufai to shake hands with Uba Sani, with a soft but casual commitment from both sides, on the pleaded forgiveness. It was difficult, very difficult, especially when perused through the prism of Mallam Nasir El-Rufai’s position.

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Undoubtedly peace is fundamental to Islam, because it serves as a source of inner tranquillity and social harmony. The Quran has laid emphasis on reconciliation and kindness. So every Muslim is enjoined to embrace reconciliation. However, in advancing the course of reconciliation, timing is important, I think. We must not only perceive peace as merely the absence of conflict. No, it also has something to do with our state of mind. A man standing before the lifeless body of his beloved mother, at the graveyard, under intense pressure, is not in the appropriate state of mind to commit to any peace deal. Unless we are referring to the probabial peace of the graveyard.

The ambition of any reconciliation is to arrive at unity. And unity can only come after conflict, if there is healing. By definition, healing is the process of becoming healthy or whole again, encompassing the restoration of physical tissue, mental, or emotional well-being. A man under emotional pressure is not fit for commitment to any peace deal, I think. Unless we are referring to the probabial peace of the graveyard.

Peace of the graveyard is not genuine, because it could be deceptive, by resulting in forced calm, beneath which lies a deep tension. As a friend of the trio of El-Rufai, Nuhu Ribadu and Uba Sani, Sheik Pantami must go for a genuine, organic and sustainable peace agreement between the parties. More so, because they were genuine friends before.

All hands must be put on deck, to compel President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to come into the agreement. Because, he was the one who compelled Mallam Nasir El-Rufai to come into the Tinubu project in 2023. Indeed a lot of water had passed under the bridge. We should forget past misunderstandings or issues that are now irrelevant, and forgivable. Let’s move on from past disagreements and let go of grudges.That’s the only way to arrive at genuine reconciliation.

It may be recalled that the Muslim Rights Concern, MURIC, had long been appealing to the President, to come out clearly and reciprocate the gesture given to him in his time of need by Mallam Nasir El-Rufai. MURIC said they were the ones who persuaded El-Rufai to support Tinubu in 2023, as a result of which, he confronted the so called Buhari cabal, the then CBN Governor and other forces that were putting spanners in the work of the Tinubu project. The result of which is now President Tinubu. MURIC said El-Rufai does not deserve to be humiliated and went further to support their argument with the quote below:

“Noteworthy is a video clip showing how President Tinubu openly asked El-Rufai to join his government and this did not happen at a private meeting. It happened at a campaign ground, in the presence of thousands of party enthusiasts.”

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Opinion

Defection: Kwankwaso’s Legacy Under Scrutiny; A Critical Look at his Political Journey Since 1999

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Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso

 

When Nigeria returned to democratic rule in 1999, the people of Kano embraced the moment with hope and expectation after years of military governance. Among the prominent figures who emerged at the time was Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, whose leadership inspired confidence among many citizens eager for progress and representation.

More than two decades later, however, Kwankwaso’s political legacy continues to generate debate, with supporters highlighting his achievements and critics questioning the long-term impact of his leadership on Kano’s development.

Kwankwaso’s first tenure as governor (1999–2003) was marked by visible infrastructure projects, including roads and public buildings, which were widely welcomed by residents. At a time when tangible government presence was limited, these developments symbolised a new beginning. Yet, some analysts argue that while these projects addressed immediate needs, they did not sufficiently tackle deeper structural challenges, particularly the decline of Kano’s once-thriving industrial economy.

Historically a major commercial hub, Kano’s economy had been weakening due to years of policy neglect and infrastructural decay. Critics maintain that a more comprehensive economic strategy might have helped revive industries and reduce dependence on federal allocations.

Kwankwaso’s defeat in 2003 by Malam Ibrahim Shekarau marked a turning point. Observers note that while the loss strengthened his political network and grassroots appeal, it also raised questions about the sustainability of the systems established during his administration. Many of the projects, though impactful, were seen as lacking the institutional depth needed for long-term continuity.

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Returning to office in 2011, Kwankwaso expanded his development agenda with increased infrastructure and an ambitious foreign scholarship programme that benefited thousands of Kano youths. The initiative is widely regarded as one of his most significant contributions, opening educational opportunities for many.

However, critics argue that despite these efforts, broader economic transformation remained limited. Rising population growth, unemployment, and declining industrial capacity continued to challenge the state’s development trajectory.

Beyond governance, Kwankwaso’s political influence has also shaped Kano’s power dynamics. His role in building a strong political movement—popularly known as the Kwankwasiyya—has been praised for mobilising grassroots support but criticised by some for reinforcing a personality-driven political structure.

Political analysts further point to the tensions surrounding the Kano Emirate as a significant episode in the state’s recent history. The controversial removal of Muhammadu Sanusi II highlighted deep divisions within the state’s political and traditional institutions, with varying opinions on the factors that led to the crisis.

In recent years, Kwankwaso’s shifting political alliances—from the PDP to the APC and later to the NNPP—have also drawn mixed reactions. While such moves are common in Nigeria’s political landscape, critics argue that they have contributed to instability and uncertainty within Kano’s political structure.

The 2023 elections brought another dimension to the discourse, with the emergence of Abba Kabir Yusuf as governor under the NNPP platform. Subsequent political developments, including evolving relationships between state and federal actors, have further shaped public debate about governance priorities and political strategy.

Today, Kwankwaso remains one of Kano’s most influential political figures, with a legacy that reflects both notable achievements and enduring controversies. While many credit him with expanding access to education and improving infrastructure, others believe that the state’s long-term economic and institutional challenges require deeper reflection.

As Kano continues to navigate its future, the assessment of past leadership—including Kwankwaso’s role—remains central to ongoing conversations about development, governance, and political direction.

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