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News Analysis: Kwankwaso’s 2027 Strategy — Inside the Plot to Dump Gov. Abba Into APC, Shatter Barau’s Dream

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

There has been speculation making rounds in the social media space concerning the defection of Governor Abba Yusuf of Kano State from the New Nigeria Peoples Party(NNPP) to the ruling All Progressives Congress(APC).

The speculation has recently become tensed, and even about to become factual with the viral video of Abdullahi Rogo, the Director General of Protocol to Governor Abba, stating that after their meeting with the Speaker of the Kano State House of Assembly and other members of Kwankwasiyya, they have agreed that Kwankwaso and Kano State Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf should join the APC.

Reports have it that the defection will happen in the first week of January, 2026.

What Will Happen to Barau’s Governorship Ambition if Gov. Abba Joins APC?

A lot of opinions have been shared concerning the aftermath of the much anticipated defection.

Should it happen as it has been speculated, will Barau proceed with plans to contest the 2027 governorship election with Gov. Abba?

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Speaking with a political analyst, Comrade Austin Patrick, he analysed that the anticipated defection is a calculated attempt to stop the real APC advocates from clinching the seat of power in Kano.

“Kwankwaso is orchestrating a masterstroke in Kano’s political arena. By strategically positioning Abba Yusuf toward the APC, he effectively sidelines existing APC aspirants for 2027—clearing the path for his own influence, whether from within the NNPP as the principal opposition figure or through alignment with power. It’s a dual-path gambit: victory from the front or triumph from the rear,” the Analyst said.

He further explained that if the defection happens, there will be factions in Kano APC–one loyal to the Kwankwasiya movement and another loyal to the Ganduje’s camp. He reiterated that the extent of the loggerheads between the two camps will make it hard for reconciliation to happen quick.

Asking what will be Barau’s fate if the defection happens, the Analyst stated:

“The party will declare the field open to both Senator Barau and the Governor, Yusuf Abba, to contest the primary election. Whoever wins from there, the party will support him.”

“But some people are of the opinion that Kwankwaso himself is not a party to the alignment which the public have been speculating about. What do you have to say about that?,” asked our correspondent.

“As I mentioned earlier, the anticipated defection is a calculated move by Kwankwaso and his protege, Gov. Abba. Whoever tells you that the Kwankwasiya leader is not in support of the Governor’s decision to defect is not telling you the truth,” Comrade Austin said.

“So, will Kwankwaso defect alongside his boy?,” our correspondent, again, asked.

“He doesn’t necessarily need to be in APC. The motive is to sabotage the chance of the real APC aspirants intending to contest against his boy, and that will be achieved if he let him go join them,” he replied.

Ultimately, the imminent defection will reshape the political landscape of Kano State in the forthcoming presidential and governorship election.

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Kaduna Federal High Court Grants El-Rufai 200million Naira Bail

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

Former Kaduna State Governor, Malam Nasir Ahmad El-Rufai, on Tuesday secured bail from a Federal High Court sitting in Kaduna, bringing to an end a detention that lasted nearly two months.

Meanwhile, a Kaduna State High Court adjourned ruling on a separate bail application to April 21.

Delivering the ruling, Justice Rilwan Aikawa granted the former governor bail after hearing arguments from both the defence and prosecution.

However, but ordered that he remain in the custody of the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission, ICPC, pending the fulfilment of the bail conditions.

El-Rufai’s lead counsel, Oluwole Iyamu (SAN), had urged the court to admit his client to bail, arguing that it is a constitutional right and that the former governor has strong ties within Nigeria, making him unlikely to abscond.

However, the prosecution, led by the ICPC, opposed the application, citing concerns that the defendant could interfere with witnesses or obstruct ongoing investigations if released.

The court subsequently granted bail with stringent conditions, including a N200 million bond with two sureties in like sum.

The sureties are to include a recognised traditional ruler and a federal civil servant not below Grade Level 15. Other conditions include the submission of landed property documents, deposit of international passports with the court, and a restriction on public comments relating to the case, among others.

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A family member of the former governor, Bello El-Rufai, told journalists that efforts were underway to meet the conditions.

“The conditions are many, close to 10 or more, but we hope to fulfil them,” he said.

The ICPC had, on March 18, filed a 10-count charge against El-Rufai at the Federal High Court bordering on alleged conversion and possession of public property, money laundering, and abuse of office.

El-Rufai’s legal ordeal began on February 16, when he was arrested by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, EFCC. Although he was initially granted bail, he was subsequently re-arrested by the ICPC and remained in custody for several weeks before his arraignment.

On March 27, the ICPC granted him temporary release on compassionate grounds following the death of his mother, Hajiya Umma.El-Rufai, in Cairo, Egypt.

He was, however, returned to custody after her burial.

Proceedings were further complicated when the defence filed a motion asking Justice Aikawa to recuse himself over alleged bias, a request that was later withdrawn.

Meanwhile, at the Kaduna State High Court, proceedings in a separate case took a different turn as the presiding judge, Justice Darius Khobo, adjourned ruling on El-Rufai’s bail application to April 21, 2026.

Counsel to the defendant informed the court that the defence team was served with an amended charge in court and required time to study its contents. The prosecution, also led by the ICPC, had filed an amended nine-count charge, altering the scope of the case and dropping a co-defendant, Amadu Sule, from the trial.

Defence counsel, Ubong Akpan, explained that the adjournment was also due to the inability of the court to deliver the ruling as scheduled, citing the bereavement of the presiding judge.

“His lordship was bereaved and he was unable to put the ruling together. So, we understand these things happen,” Akpan said, adding that the defence remains optimistic ahead of the next hearing date.

El-Rufai is facing separate charges before the Kaduna State High Court bordering on abuse of office, fraud, intent to commit fraud, and conferring undue advantage.

There was heavy security presence at the court premises, with armed operatives stationed at strategic points to maintain order and restrict movement.

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Revoking Rainbow Centre’s Licence Over ADC Convention Is Abuse of Power-Atiku

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By Yusuf Danjuma Yunusa

Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, a leading presidential hopeful of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) for the 2027 election, has issued a blistering statement accusing the government and its agents of attempting to revoke the licence of Rainbow Event Centre – the scheduled venue for the party’s national convention today.

In a statement released Tuesday morning, Abubakar described the alleged move as a “shameful and cowardly abuse of public office,” and insisted that the convention will proceed despite what he called a pattern of political intimidation.

The full statement reads:

“The reports from the spokesperson of our great party, which exposes the plans of the government and its agents to revoke the licence of Rainbow Event Centre for the singular offence of hosting the African Democratic Congress convention slated for today, Tuesday, April 14, 2026, is a shameful and cowardly abuse of public office.

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Let it be said without equivocation: coercing a private business owner to deny a lawfully registered opposition party the use of a venue is not governance. It is not politics. It is the naked conduct of a regime that has lost the argument, lost the people, and now reaches for the boot because it has nothing else left.

The ADC has paid every fee. The ADC has signed every contract. The ADC has broken no law. Our only offence is that we are organising, we are growing, and we are preparing to retire this failed government at the ballot box in 2027.

This is how democracies are strangled, not in a single dramatic blow, but in a thousand petty, vindictive acts against opposition parties, against free assembly, and against the sacred right of citizens to choose their own leaders. To the international community, and every democratic partner of Nigeria: take note of what is being done here tonight, and in whose name.

We will not be intimidated. We will not be silenced. We will not bow to this creeping tyranny, and we will never bow to the petty tyrants behind it.

The convention will hold. The ADC will rise. And Nigeria will rise with it.
– AA”

Abubakar, a former vice president and veteran opposition figure, did not provide specific documentary evidence of the alleged licence revocation plot. However, his remarks come hours after the statement made by the National Publicity Secretary of their party, and before the ADC’s scheduled convention, which party officials say is expected to draw thousands of delegates from across the country.

Government spokespersons had not issued an official response at the time of this report.

Observers note that accusations of venue cancellations against opposition parties have been a recurring flashpoint in Nigerian politics, often raising questions about the fairness of the democratic space ahead of major elections.

The ADC has positioned itself as a coalition of disaffected groups and individuals aiming to challenge the ruling party in the 2027 presidential race. Today’s convention is seen as a critical test of the party’s organisational strength and resolve.

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Shaaban Sharada Distances Self From Barau/Abba/Shaaban Group’s Planned Gathering And Move To Endorse A New Deputy Governor

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Former federal lawmaker Shaaban Ibrahim Sharada has publicly disassociated himself from a political group known as Barau /Abba/Shaaban, which reportedly convened a meeting to endorse Kano State’s new Deputy Governor.

Sharada, who represented Kano Municipal in the House of Representatives between 2019 and 2023, issued the clarification on his verified Facebook page. In the statement, he emphasized that he has no affiliation with the group and no involvement in the planned gathering.

“I woulaaad like to take this opportunity to distance myself from a gathering that is said to be organized on, Tuesday, by the Abba, Barau, and Sha’aban Sharada grp They plan to declare their position regarding the current situation of endorsing new Deputy Governor of Kano under the leadership of Hon. Iliyasu Koki, which has already been published in the media,” Sharada wrote.

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He further stressed that he was unaware of the group’s formation and had no hand in organizing the meeting, adding that he did not even know its purpose.

The former lawmaker with prays for peace and well-being of Kano State:

“May Allah grant us health and peaceful living. Ameen, summa ameen.”

Sharada’s statement comes due to heightened political activity in Kano following the resignation of the former Deputy Governor Comrade Aminu Abdulsalam , with various factions and interest groups positioning themselves on the matter.

His distancing showcases the fluid alliances and tensions within Kano’s political landscape, particularly among figures associated with Senator Barau Jibrin.

 

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