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APC Flagbearer:The Gambit And The Gimmick Of The Game

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APC National Chairman Senator Abdullahi Adamu

 

By Bala Ibrahim.

According to the article of Biswanath Saha, politics is nothing but a game of interest, as political scientists have defined it as the act of an individual or a group, which impacts the lives of others. This means, politics does not mean mere contesting elections but any act of an individual or any organisation, which has bearing on public life. For example, if a person shouts out inside the four walls of his/her house, it has nothing to do with politics, but if he/she does the same on the road then it is a kind of politics.

In Nigeria today, the ruling APC is playing out the politics of street shouting, in a way that would make or mar the lives of many, at least till the year 2027. The party is being carefully circumspect, by refusing to take open risks, through a gimmick that is aimed at beating PDP in the game.

The President and the party want to take power to a particular zone, but they don’t want the public to perceive or predict the direction of their breath. After all, PMB said he wouldn’t disclose the identity of his successor, for fear of the successor being killed.

Although the stratagem had commenced long ago, but the gambit slightly shifted to a subterfuge, after the emergence of Atiku Abubakar as the flag bearer of the PDP. With Atiku on the PDP ticket, in an election where Buhari would not be on the ballot, as such, credibility may not necessarily play pivotal, no party can afford the luxury of fielding a political weakly, hence the change in the calculations and permutations of the APC.

This is not to say Atiku is politically indomitable, no, Atiku is beatable, because he has been beaten several times. As a matter of fact, apart from the Adamawa gubernatorial election of 1999, Atiku Abubakar has never won any election in Nigeria. Even in that, he only won the PDP primaries to emerge as the party’s candidate, but the real winner of the election was Boni Haruna, who replaced him on the ballot, while Obasanjo picked him as the Vice President. So at best, Atiku was the de-facto winner.

Subsequently, Atiku was beaten in every election he stood, including the APC primaries of 2014, where he came third, having been beaten by Kwankwaso, who came second with 974 votes, while Atiku scored 954 votes. Atiku contested against Abiola and lost. He contested against Umaru Musa Yar’adua and lost. He contested against Goodluck Jonathan and lost. And lost more than once against Buhari.

But yes, in the context of Nigerian politics, Atiku Abubakar remains a poser, that cannot be taken for granted, hence the change in the calculations and permutations of the APC.

Another person that may throw a spanner in the works of the APC is it’s National leader, the Jagaba of Borgu, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu. Like Atiku, the need to trade with caution on Tinubu is not because he is matchless, no, it’s because of some reasons that are difficult to separate from those associated with Atiku.

As things stand today, Tinubu does not have the strength or political sagacity to deliver, or take full control of a monolithic south west. No way. In fact, without the help of the silent factor, if a free and fair election were to be conducted in Lagos today, Tinubu would loose to the PDP, which traditionally has been sharing the votes at almost 50/50 with him. And with the entry of Kwankwaso and his new party, the NNPP into Lagos now, the arithmetic would surely change the geography of the distribution of the votes in Lagos.

Tinubu’s support is largely from the without of his territory. The roll call of his supporters reads, Kashim Shetima, Aminu Masari, Abdullahi Ganduje, Nasir-El-Rufai, Babgana Zulum, and Co. Gone are the days when you hear people like Ambode, Fashola, Fayose, Aregbesola, or Prof. Yemi Osibanjo. Even the Afenifere, the Yoruba socio-cultural organization that used to be behind him, is today singing a different song about the Tinubu candidacy.

In the pursuit to get his successor, which is the focus of Nigeria now, and expected to be the high point of the APC convention that is billed for tomorrow, Monday, 06/06,2023, PMB had this to say to the all-powerful APC Governors:

“I urge all of you to hold consultations amongst yourselves and with the party, to build a consensus in a manner that would help the party reduce the number of aspirants, bring up a formidable candidate and scale down the anxiety of party members”.

Scale down the anxiety of party members? I think it’s more of how to scheme out Tinubu, without rocking the boat that would convey the combatants to crush the artilleries of Atiku.

Between the trio of Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwaso, Kwankwaso is a stronger force to fear politically, I think.

So why is the APC playing gimmick, when in actual sense it knows the strength and weaknesses of the duo of Atiku and Tinubu?

Methinks the answer is known by all the political actors, but no one wants to make it public, hence the resort to the subterfuge of gimmick and gambit in the game.

Politics

Staying Loyal: Key to Winning Elections in Nigeria-Reno Omokri

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Obasanjo ,Yaradua and Jonathan during the May 29 2007 handover to President Yaradua

Reno Omokri

If you want to win an election in Nigeria, you can’t jump from party to party. Nobody who has done that has ever won an election at the centre in Nigeria from our amalgamation by the British in 1914 to now. Nobody! You can do so at the regional and state level, especially where your region has ethnic homogeneity. But in a pluralistic federation, you are toast if you do that.

Only those who have remained loyal to their parties have ever won elections as Presidents or Prime Ministers in Nigeria. Your party can go into coalition and merger with another party, or it can change its name and your reputation will remain intact. But when you leave your party to join another party, the people also leave you.

No matter what happens within your party, stay there and resolve the situation. Assert yourself th amere. Go from battleground to common ground. If you cannot lead your party out of a crisis, you will not be able to convince non-tribal critical thinking voters that you can lead the country out of crisis.

Tafawa Balewa was a member of the Northern Peoples Congress. He never changed parties. Shagari was a member of the National Party of Nigeria, which was an offshoot of the Northern Peoples Congress. He never changed parties.

Obasanjo, Yar’adua and Jonathan were members of the Peoples Democratic Party. They never changed parties.

Buhari was a member of the All Peoples Party, which later changed its name to the All Nigeria Peoples Party. The party eventually split, and Buhari went with the Congress for Progressive Change, which, in 2013, merged with other parties to form the All Progressives Congress.

Tinubu was a member of the Social Democratic Party, which was dissolved by Abacha in 1993. Following this, he helped found the Alliance for Democracy, which merged with other parties to form the Action Congress of Nigeria in 2006. The ACN merged with other parties to form the APC in 2013.

Nigerian Politicians should learn from history. The best predictor of the future is the past. Between now and 2027, any politician who leaves his party for another party, except where there is a merger, is just wasting his time and money if he contests for the Presidency.

A country struggling with political stability cannot afford a leader who also struggles with his own mental and political stability.

Sadly, in Nigeria, to leave your party in Presidential politics is to live in pity as a perennial candidate!

Reno Omokri is a former Adviser to President Jonathan

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Politics

When Two Kano Elephant fights, The Grass Suffers -Kabiru Anka

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By Kabiru Anka PhD.

 

The political Intrigues in Kano State in recent time can be rationalised within the dictim of the adage of “When two Elephants fight ,the Grass Suffers”.
It all began with series of litigations and media attacks aimed at former Governor of the state and the National Chairman of ALL Progressives Congress (APC) Abdullahi Umar Ganduje ostensibly by the NNPP lead State government of Abba Kabiru Yusuf

The government, using its organs gone filled multiple court cases against Governor Ganduje and his wife, creating a climate of turmoil and uncertainty in the state.

The fact that the government has taken such drastic measures, including an orchestrated suspension of Ganduje from his party at the ward level, highlights the magnitude of the crisis that has emerged at the national party level. Interest groups are now jostling to take advantage of the situation and capitalize on Ganduje’s vulnerabilities to potentially remove him from office.
However, amidst all these Intrigues is the underlying fact aimed at the demolition of the structure of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Kano State.
It didn’t stop at that , there is also the glaring evidence to stop work on all inherited projects of the former government even at great cost to tax the payers.
As a result, the political turmoil in Kano State has far-reaching implications not only for Ganduje but also for the overall stability of the APC in the state and of course the development of the people.
The power play between interest groups and the state government threatens to disrupt the political status quo and create a vacuum that could be exploited by opportunistic elements.
The situation in Kano State is a reflection of the complex and often treacherous nature of Nigerian politics. As Ganduje navigates through this storm of litigation and media attacks, it is crucial for all stakeholders to prioritize the interests of the people and work towards a resolution that upholds the democratic principles on which our society is built. Only through unity and cooperation can we overcome the challenges that lie ahead and forge a path towards a brighter future for Kano State and Nigeria as a whole than witch hunting a man who worked tirelessly for the sustainability of APC in Kano and success recorded during the last general elections.

The citizens of Kano deserve leaders who prioritize their well-being and work towards the common good, rather than engaging in power struggles and personal vendettas.
Moving forward, it is essential for all parties involved to engage in constructive dialogue and find common ground to resolve the political turmoil in Kano State. By focusing on the issues that truly matter to the people, such as infrastructure development, healthcare, education, and job creation, etc.

Ultimately, the future of Kano State rests on the ability of its leaders to rise above petty politics and prioritize the welfare of the citizens than running after a man who did his best to develop the state as governor.
Two many projects we leant have been abandoned while new ones are being flagged off. Ironically Ganduje completed many of the projects initiated by Kwankwaso. Indeed ,when two elephants fight the grass suffers.

Dr Kabiru Anka is political analysis based in Kano

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Politics

Gov. Gida-Gida and Ganduje: The Firing of Unwarranted Political Salvos-Adamu Aminu

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Former Governor Abdullahi Umar Ganduje and Successor Abba Kabir Yusuf

 

By Adamu Aminu.

It is extremely disheartening to see how recently our two elder statesmen, the Kano state Governor, His Excellency, Abba Kabir Yusif, politically known as Abba Gida-Gida, and his immediate predecessor, the ex-Kano and present APC National chairman, Dr. Abdullahi Umar Ganduje, are busy exchanging salvos directly at each other.

The exchanges of verbal brawls through their spokesmen emanated shortly after Governor Abba Kabir Yusif inaugurated two judicial commissions of inquiry to investigate cases of misappropriation of public property, political violence, and missing persons from 2015 to 2019 to 2023.

It was unfortunate; all the accusations and counter-accusations from both sides were riddled with harsh and demeaning words, deemed unrepeatable and unworthy to come from our respected leaders who are beating chests of leading Kano, the state that has reached the zenith of political maturity in the whole nation.

I was automatically dumbfounded by how the exchanged salvos and political sarcasm were randomly so directed at each other, without revisiting the fact that history never lies; someday, posterity will judge them.

This comes at a time when the warring parties should set aside their differences and make Kano their concern and priority, but they resorted to opening the doors of all blackmailing arsenals at their disposal, overtly directed at each other, without knowing that their utterances and accusations are doing more harm than good to Kano state in general.

This came at a time when our counterpart States in the South, like Lagos, Rivers, and others, have already set politics aside and deeply engaged in the execution of developmental projects for their people, but Kano, a state of whole-tenure politics, is dragging feet towards the fulfillment of promises during electioneering campaigns.

At this time when most Kano industries are not functional, there is no portable water, unemployment, poverty, hunger, and thuggery clogging the wheels of Kano’s economic development, instead, they resorted to engaged in trading bitter words and pointing accusing fingers at themselves.

I think it’s time for our Excellency, the state governor Abba Kabir Yusif, and his predecessor Dr. Abdullahi Umar Ganduje, to wake up from their slumbers and stop demeaning themselves politically.

Trading accusations of one’s incompetence, docility, and another’s accusation of land grabbing and rat-like behavior is not the utmost priority for Kano populace.

It’s time to stop deceiving ourselves with the longstanding Kano praise “Kano Tumbin Giwa, Ko dame Kazo An Fika,” which means Kano, the melting pot, whatever you came along with, you’re far left behind. Kano state in this modern era deserves to be far from where it is now.

I do hope and pray that Governor Abba and his predecessor Ganduje make Kano and Kanawas their utmost priority. They are our role models, exchanging incendiary remarks with each other will show that politics isn’t only a dirty game, it’s a dirty war of raining curses and abuses.

They should know that someday around this time, they will be no more; only their legacies will make them immortal in the memory of Kano populace.

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