Opinion

Northern Nigeria at the Crossroads: Leadership, Succession, and the Question of Survival -Zainab Buba

Zaynab Buba Galadima

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<p><&excl;-- BEGIN THEIA POST SLIDER --><&sol;p>&NewLine;<&excl;-- WP QUADS Content Ad Plugin v&period; 2&period;0&period;98&period;1 -->&NewLine;<div class&equals;"quads-location quads-ad4" id&equals;"quads-ad4" style&equals;"float&colon;none&semi;margin&colon;0px&semi;">&NewLine;&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p><div class&equals;"OTy4EpYE" style&equals;"clear&colon;both&semi;float&colon;left&semi;width&colon;100&percnt;&semi;margin&colon;0 0 20px 0&semi;"><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script> &NewLine;<&excl;-- TV --> &NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle" &NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block" &NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4403533287178375" &NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"4399361195" &NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"auto" &NewLine; data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins> &NewLine;<script> &NewLine; &lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi; &NewLine;<&sol;script><&sol;div>&NewLine;<p>&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p><div class&equals;"7xHEYulD" style&equals;"clear&colon;both&semi;float&colon;left&semi;width&colon;100&percnt;&semi;margin&colon;0 0 20px 0&semi;"><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script> &NewLine;<&excl;-- TV --> &NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle" &NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block" &NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4403533287178375" &NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"4399361195" &NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"auto" &NewLine; data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins> &NewLine;<script> &NewLine; &lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi; &NewLine;<&sol;script><&sol;div>&NewLine;<p>Northern Nigeria’s leadership crisis is not the absence of leaders&comma; but the absence of structured continuity&period; From independence in 1960&comma; the North understood leadership as stewardship&period; Under Sir Ahmadu Bello &lpar;Sardauna of Sokoto&rpar;&comma; and other Northern leaders such as Sir Abubakar Tafawa Balewa&comma; Hassan Usman Katsina&comma; Sir Kashim Ibrahim&comma; Chief Sunday Awoniyi&comma; Joseph Tarka and Aminu Kano&comma; governance was anchored on moral authority&comma; regional cohesion&comma; education&comma; and economic productivity&period; Institutions like the Northern Nigeria Development Corporation &lpar;NNDC&rpar;&comma; Ahmadu Bello University &lpar;1962&rpar;&comma; and regional marketing boards were deliberate tools for sustainability&comma; not personal gain&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The NNDC&comma; funded largely by proceeds from cotton&comma; groundnuts&comma; hides and skins exports&comma; financed industrial estates&comma; textile mills &lpar;Kaduna Textiles&comma; Arewa Textiles&rpar;&comma; and scholarship schemes&period; Graduates were absorbed into public service&comma; and employment guarantees&comma; official cars&comma; and housing schemes were not populist gestures but outcomes of a planned regional economy&period; These systems began to weaken after the 1966 coup&comma; and by the collapse of the First Republic&comma; the North lost its ideological anchor&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Military rule &lpar;1966–1979&rpar; centralized power&comma; dismantled regional economic autonomy&comma; and replaced mentorship with command loyalty&period; The abolition of marketing boards in the late 1980s under Structural Adjustment further destroyed Northern productive capacity&period; What followed was survival politics leaders focused on federal allocations rather than regional development&period;<&sol;p><div class&equals;"6dW6ZM7g" style&equals;"clear&colon;both&semi;float&colon;left&semi;width&colon;100&percnt;&semi;margin&colon;0 0 20px 0&semi;"><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script> &NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle" &NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block&semi; text-align&colon;center&semi;" &NewLine; data-ad-layout&equals;"in-article" &NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"fluid" &NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4403533287178375" &NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"6550225277"><&sol;ins> &NewLine;<script> &NewLine; &lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi; &NewLine;<&sol;script><&sol;div>&NewLine;<p>The North miscalculated profoundly with Muhammadu Buhari&period; From 2003 to 2015&comma; Northern elites rallied behind him as a symbol of integrity and discipline&period; He was projected as the solution&comma; but not as the builder of systems&period; When he finally won in 2015&comma; no clear succession plan or leadership school emerged&period; Buhari’s personal moral standing did not translate into institutional reform&comma; mentorship pipelines&comma; or a future-facing Northern agenda&period; The North lived in the moment&comma; not the future&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Yet&comma; Northern Nigeria still possesses experienced leaders who&comma; if united around vision rather than ambition&comma; could arrest the decline&semi; To mention a few&colon;<br &sol;>&NewLine;1&period; Atiku Abubakar – unmatched private-sector exposure&comma; national networks&comma; and understanding of fiscal federalism and economic restructuring&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;2&period; Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso – proven record in education&comma; human capital investment&comma; and institutional continuity&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&excl;-- WP QUADS Content Ad Plugin v&period; 2&period;0&period;98&period;1 -->&NewLine;<div class&equals;"quads-location quads-ad1" id&equals;"quads-ad1" style&equals;"float&colon;none&semi;margin&colon;0px&semi;">&NewLine;&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;<&excl;-- WP QUADS Content Ad Plugin v&period; 2&period;0&period;98&period;1 -->&NewLine;<div class&equals;"quads-location quads-ad3" id&equals;"quads-ad3" style&equals;"float&colon;none&semi;margin&colon;0px&semi;">&NewLine;&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>3&period; &period; Sen&period; Jonah David Jang &lpar;rtd&period;&rpar; – he symbolizes minority participation in both military and democratic leadership&comma; particularly in navigating identity&comma; faith&comma; and regional diversity&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;4&period; Kashim Shettima – crisis governance experience from Borno&comma; exposure to insurgency management and national economic coordination&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;5&period; Gen&period; Theophilus Danjuma &lpar;rtd&period;&rpar; – A former Chief of Army Staff and Defence Minister&comma; Danjuma represents moral courage and principled leadership&comma; later channeling his influence into philanthropy&comma; national stability&comma; and institutional support through the TY Danjuma Foundation&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;6&period; Nasir El-Rufai – infrastructure reform&comma; urban governance&comma; and policy articulation&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;7&period; Rt&period; Hon&period; Yakubu Dogara – His leadership symbolized inclusion&comma; constitutionalism&comma; and the political relevance of Northern minorities in national decision-making&period; As Speaker&comma; he emphasized legislative independence&comma; rule of law&comma; and national unity across faith and ethnic lines&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;8&period; Aminu Tambuwal – legislative depth&comma; constitutional knowledge&comma; and executive experience&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;9&period; Ahmad Lawan – legislative continuity and federal budgeting experience&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;10&period; Bukola Saraki – institutional reform&comma; health sector interventions&comma; and bridge-building across regions&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;11&period; Aliyu Wamakko – grassroots mobilization and state-level governance&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;12&period; Babagana Zulum – security-informed leadership and humanitarian governance&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The tragedy is that these leaders operate in silos&comma; not as a collective Northern brain trust&period; Most times leadership without ideology&comma; even competence fragments&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Today&comma; Northern Nigeria bears the brunt of capital project neglect&comma; decaying rail and road networks&comma; underfunded schools&comma; overstretched security architecture&comma; and disproportionate poverty indices despite producing the bulk of Nigeria’s political leadership&period; Federal allocations meant for education&comma; security&comma; and infrastructure have been mismanaged by Northern elites who themselves benefited from free education&comma; scholarships&comma; and social justice structures of the old North&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>What went wrong&quest; The destruction of production-based economics&period; The North abandoned agriculture value chains&comma; textile manufacturing&comma; and vocational education for rent-seeking politics&period; Mentorship collapsed&period; Elders stopped acting as moral guardians&period; Young people were mobilized as political foot soldiers&comma; not future leaders&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>More dangerously&comma; the North has failed to interrogate the worst case scenarios&period; If Nigeria fractures under economic pressure&comma; insecurity&comma; or ethnic fragmentation&comma; what becomes of a region plagued by poverty&comma; porous borders&comma; arms proliferation&comma; and food insecurity&quest; Survival thinking demands preparation for the worst&comma; not blind faith in the status quo&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>To rebuild&comma; a credible Northern agenda must incorporate&colon;<br &sol;>&NewLine;• Human capital development &lpar;education&comma; skills&comma; research&rpar;<br &sol;>&NewLine;• Security sector reform and local intelligence structures<br &sol;>&NewLine;• Regional economic revival &lpar;agro-processing&comma; solid minerals&rpar;<br &sol;>&NewLine;• Leadership mentorship and succession institutions<br &sol;>&NewLine;• Moral reorientation and civic responsibility<br &sol;>&NewLine;• Intergenerational leadership pipelines<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Unity is not optional it is existential&period; 2027 is not about ambition&semi; it is about survival&period; For elites&comma; it is the final chance to correct history&period; For the poor&comma; it is a fight for dignity&period; For the youth&comma; it is a moment of becoming&period; Titles must fall&period; Ego must retreat&period; The North must sit at the table as equals&comma; not as lords&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>History shows what the North built&period; The present shows what neglect destroyed&period; The future will judge whether this generation had the courage to rebuild or allowed the house to collapse completely&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;-- END THEIA POST SLIDER -->&NewLine;<&excl;-- WP QUADS Content Ad Plugin v&period; 2&period;0&period;98&period;1 -->&NewLine;<div class&equals;"quads-location quads-ad5" id&equals;"quads-ad5" style&equals;"float&colon;none&semi;margin&colon;0px&semi;">&NewLine;&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script> &NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle" &NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block" &NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"autorelaxed" &NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4403533287178375" &NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"1004305389"><&sol;ins> &NewLine;<script> &NewLine; &lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi; &NewLine;<&sol;script>&NewLine;<&excl;-- WP QUADS Content Ad Plugin v&period; 2&period;0&period;98&period;1 -->&NewLine;<div class&equals;"quads-location quads-ad4" id&equals;"quads-ad4" style&equals;"float&colon;none&semi;margin&colon;0px&semi;">&NewLine;&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;

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